Key Takeaways BBAI stock jumped nearly 86% in a month, far outpacing tech peers and broader market indices. Defense wins and global AI partnerships helped drive 5% revenue growth and a 30% jump in backlog. BBAI remains unprofitable but cut long-term debt by $58M and reaffirmed $160M-$180M revenue guidance.BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has been on a tear, with its stock surging nearly 86% over the past month. This sharp rally far outpaces the broader market, where the S&P 500 rose just 3.5%, the Zacks C ...

The underdog AI software maker still has a lot to prove.BigBear.ai (BBAI -2.87%) hasn't impressed too many investors since its public debut. The artificial intelligence (AI) software company went public by merging with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) on Dec. 7, 2021. Its stock opened at $9.84 on its first day, but it now trades at less than $4.Like many other SPAC-backed start-ups, BigBear.ai overpromised and underdelivered. In the company's pre-merger presentation, it claimed it would triple a ...

Core Viewpoint - BigBear.ai (BBAI) is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 6.45X, which is higher than its three-year median of 1.9X and slightly above the sector's average of 6.38X, indicating a premium valuation despite recent stock performance [1][8]. Valuation and Performance - Over the past three months, BBAI shares have increased by 22.7%, outperforming the industry average gain of 5.3%, driven by optimism around defense spending and AI-driven government services [3]. - The company has a backlog of $385 million, reflecting a 30% year-over-year increase, which indicates strong customer demand and revenue visibility [13]. - Despite the positive backlog, the company reported a wider loss of $7 million in Q1 2025 compared to a loss of $1.6 million in the same period last year, highlighting operational challenges [15][18]. Strengths and Growth Opportunities - BigBear.ai operates at the intersection of AI, national security, and critical infrastructure, benefiting from long-term trends in defense spending [7]. - The company has secured significant contracts, including a recent agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense, validating its relevance in critical AI solutions [7]. - Strategic partnerships with major technology firms like Amazon, Palantir, and Autodesk enhance the credibility and effectiveness of its AI solutions, indicating increasing enterprise adoption [12]. Challenges and Risks - Variability in federal procurement processes has led to delays in funding and contract awards, impacting operational efficiency and increasing SG&A expenses [15]. - Revenue growth has been modest at 5% year-over-year, with total revenue reported at $34.8 million, which missed expectations by 3.2% [16]. - Increased R&D spending has pressured margins, with adjusted gross margin dipping to 28.6% from 29.1% year-over-year [17]. Financial Position - The company's cash position improved significantly, reporting $108 million at the end of Q1 2025, more than doubling from year-end 2024, while also reducing debt by converting $58 million in convertible notes into equity [14]. - Despite the improved liquidity, the company faces a substantial net loss of $62 million, although this is an improvement from a loss of $127.8 million a year earlier [18]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 loss per share has widened to 41 cents from 21 cents over the past 60 days, indicating declining investor confidence [19]. - The stock's current valuation appears to price in more progress than the company has delivered, raising concerns about profitability visibility and operational execution [21].

BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 04:30 PM ET Company Participants None - ExecutiveKevin McAleenan - CEO & DirectorJulie Peffer - Chief Financial Officer Operator Greetings, and welcome to the Big Bear AI Holdings Incorporated First Quarter twenty five Earnings Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce David Cronlow. Thank you, David. You may begin. None Thank yo ...

BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 04:30 PM ET Company Participants None - ExecutiveKevin McAleenan - CEO & DirectorJulie Peffer - Chief Financial Officer Operator Greetings, and welcome to the Big Bear AI Holdings Incorporated First Quarter twenty five Earnings Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce David Cronlow. Thank you, David. You may begin. None Thank yo ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $34.8 million, up 5% year-on-year from $33.1 million in Q1 2024, primarily driven by additional revenue from the Department of Homeland Security and digital identity awards [21] - Gross profit increased by 6% from $7 million in Q1 2024 to $7.4 million in Q1 2025, with a gross margin of 21.3%, slightly up from 21.1% in Q1 2024 [22] - Net loss for Q1 2025 was $62 million, significantly improved from a net loss of $127.8 million in Q1 2024, mainly due to the absence of goodwill impairment charges that were $85 million in the previous year [24] - Adjusted EBITDA was negative $7 million for Q1 2025 compared to negative $1.6 million in Q1 2024, primarily driven by increased R&D expenses and recurring SG&A due to government funding delays [25] - Backlog at the end of Q1 2025 was $385 million, up 30% from Q1 2024, indicating continued customer confidence [26] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 were $108 million, up from $81 million in Q1 2024, providing increased financial flexibility [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focusing on core markets such as border security, defense, and manufacturing, where it continues to deepen its leadership and expand AI infrastructure [14][18] - In border security, advanced AI solutions have been deployed at major points of entry, enhancing operational efficiency and security [18] - The company is also modernizing the American industrial base and streamlining global supply chains, particularly in shipbuilding [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global security environment is driving renewed focus and investment in defense technology, creating opportunities for AI innovation [9] - There is a shift in federal procurement practices towards efficiency and the adoption of advanced commercial technologies [9] - The company is seeing early signs of strategic focus resonating in sectors where it has built deep relationships and understands the mission [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to mission expertise, international growth, business alliances, and relentless innovation in AI as core strategic priorities for 2025 [12][13] - The growth strategy focuses on strengthening core markets while selectively expanding into high-potential adjacencies [13] - The company aims to build flexible, mission-driven solutions that can adapt and scale with technology innovation [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the dynamic business and macroeconomic environment, which presents both opportunities and potential short-term risks [19] - The company reaffirms its full-year guidance for 2025, emphasizing a strong financial foundation and healthy backlog [30] - Management expresses confidence in the strategy and the ability to navigate market uncertainties while investing in future growth [31] Other Important Information - The company is focused on responsible capital allocation towards projects that aim to provide material improvement to shareholder returns [27] - The debt position has materially reduced, with a significant portion of convertible notes converted into equity, enhancing financial flexibility [27] Q&A Session Summary - No specific questions and answers were provided in the content, thus this section is not applicable.