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BigBear.ai Stock 65% Below Its 52-Week High: Buy the Dip or Stay Away?
ZACKSยท 2025-05-16 15:31
Core Viewpoint - BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has experienced significant stock decline in 2025, down 18.2% year to date, underperforming its industry and sector benchmarks, and trading nearly 65% below its 52-week high [1][4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, BigBear.ai reported revenues of $34.8 million, a 5% increase year-over-year, but fell short of analyst expectations by 3.2% [5]. - The company recorded an adjusted loss of $0.10 per share, wider than the consensus estimate of a $0.06 loss, with adjusted EBITDA losses increasing to $7 million from a $1.6 million loss the previous year [5][22]. - On a GAAP basis, the net loss narrowed to $62 million from $127.8 million a year earlier, influenced by non-cash charges [5]. Operational Challenges - BigBear.ai faces near-term headwinds due to market volatility and increased R&D and SG&A expenses, which have pressured profitability [4][6]. - Revenue remains inconsistent, influenced by the timing of government contracts and funding delays, which may persist through mid-year [6][9]. - Increased operating expenses, particularly from hiring and system integration, are impacting margins, with SG&A rising to $17.7 million from $13.6 million [7][9]. Strategic Developments - A significant contract with the Department of Defense for the Orion Decision Support Platform highlights BigBear.ai's capabilities in defense analytics [11]. - The company is expanding its presence in sectors like shipbuilding and logistics, enhancing operational efficiency through its analytics suite [12]. - International partnerships, such as with Smith Detection, are aiding in market penetration for security applications [13]. Product Portfolio and Innovation - BigBear.ai's expanding AI product portfolio, including solutions like Pangiam Threat Detection and ProModel AI, is driving revenue growth [16]. - Several R&D projects have transitioned to general availability, indicating progress in monetization and adoption [17]. Market Sentiment and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 loss per share has widened to $0.41, reflecting bearish sentiment [19]. - BBAI is trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 6.07, higher than its three-year median of 1.90, indicating a stretched valuation [20].
BigBear.ai(BBAI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 21:32
BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 04:30 PM ET Company Participants None - ExecutiveKevin McAleenan - CEO & DirectorJulie Peffer - Chief Financial Officer Operator Greetings, and welcome to the Big Bear AI Holdings Incorporated First Quarter twenty five Earnings Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce David Cronlow. Thank you, David. You may begin. None Thank yo ...
BigBear.ai(BBAI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 21:32
BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 04:30 PM ET Company Participants None - ExecutiveKevin McAleenan - CEO & DirectorJulie Peffer - Chief Financial Officer Operator Greetings, and welcome to the Big Bear AI Holdings Incorporated First Quarter twenty five Earnings Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce David Cronlow. Thank you, David. You may begin. None Thank yo ...
BigBear.ai(BBAI) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 20:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $34.8 million, up 5% year-on-year from $33.1 million in Q1 2024, primarily driven by additional revenue from the Department of Homeland Security and digital identity awards [21] - Gross profit increased by 6% from $7 million in Q1 2024 to $7.4 million in Q1 2025, with a gross margin of 21.3%, slightly up from 21.1% in Q1 2024 [22] - Net loss for Q1 2025 was $62 million, significantly improved from a net loss of $127.8 million in Q1 2024, mainly due to the absence of goodwill impairment charges that were $85 million in the previous year [24] - Adjusted EBITDA was negative $7 million for Q1 2025 compared to negative $1.6 million in Q1 2024, primarily driven by increased R&D expenses and recurring SG&A due to government funding delays [25] - Backlog at the end of Q1 2025 was $385 million, up 30% from Q1 2024, indicating continued customer confidence [26] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 were $108 million, up from $81 million in Q1 2024, providing increased financial flexibility [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focusing on core markets such as border security, defense, and manufacturing, where it continues to deepen its leadership and expand AI infrastructure [14][18] - In border security, advanced AI solutions have been deployed at major points of entry, enhancing operational efficiency and security [18] - The company is also modernizing the American industrial base and streamlining global supply chains, particularly in shipbuilding [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global security environment is driving renewed focus and investment in defense technology, creating opportunities for AI innovation [9] - There is a shift in federal procurement practices towards efficiency and the adoption of advanced commercial technologies [9] - The company is seeing early signs of strategic focus resonating in sectors where it has built deep relationships and understands the mission [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to mission expertise, international growth, business alliances, and relentless innovation in AI as core strategic priorities for 2025 [12][13] - The growth strategy focuses on strengthening core markets while selectively expanding into high-potential adjacencies [13] - The company aims to build flexible, mission-driven solutions that can adapt and scale with technology innovation [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the dynamic business and macroeconomic environment, which presents both opportunities and potential short-term risks [19] - The company reaffirms its full-year guidance for 2025, emphasizing a strong financial foundation and healthy backlog [30] - Management expresses confidence in the strategy and the ability to navigate market uncertainties while investing in future growth [31] Other Important Information - The company is focused on responsible capital allocation towards projects that aim to provide material improvement to shareholder returns [27] - The debt position has materially reduced, with a significant portion of convertible notes converted into equity, enhancing financial flexibility [27] Q&A Session Summary - No specific questions and answers were provided in the content, thus this section is not applicable.