Financial Performance - The total cloud backlog reached EUR 77 billion, up 30% year-on-year, indicating strong underlying business momentum [7][14][26] - Cloud revenue grew 26% year-on-year, primarily driven by the strong performance of the Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [27][29] - Total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% [29] Business Lines and Key Metrics - The Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue, highlighting its significance as a growth engine [27] - The number of customers using the AI copilot tool grew ninefold over the year, with 60% of existing cloud customers actively using SAP's AI offerings [6][54] Market Performance - Strong performances were noted in Brazil, France, Germany, India, Italy, South Korea, and Spain, while China, Japan, Saudi Arabia, the UK, and the US also showed significant strength [28] - The company outperformed the cloud market by 10 percentage points in 2025 [15] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The ongoing transformation of SAP's operating model, combined with AI integration, has positioned the company to capitalize on business AI opportunities [8][20] - The company is focused on a Partner-First approach for mid-market growth and expanding its sovereign cloud capabilities [12][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged geopolitical uncertainties and macroeconomic volatility but expressed confidence in the company's ability to drive growth through AI and cloud solutions [4][23] - The company expects a record free cash flow of approximately EUR 10 billion in 2026, supported by operational efficiency improvements [32] Other Important Information - The non-IFRS cloud gross margin for the full year expanded by 1.6 percentage points to 75%, driving cloud gross profit up by 29% [28] - A new two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion is set to start in February, reflecting confidence in the business's sustainable strengths [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about CCB growth and deal slippage - Management noted that the 25% CCB growth was impacted by a higher share of large deals with longer ramp periods and some government deals with termination clauses [38][40] Question: AI-driven cost efficiencies - The company aims to achieve EUR 2 billion in cost efficiencies through business growth without a restructuring plan, focusing on scaling operations with AI [44][46] Question: Customer adoption of AI offerings - Approximately 60% of existing cloud customers are actively using SAP's AI, with a significant increase in adoption noted [54][56] Question: Future cloud revenue growth trajectory - Management indicated that while some deceleration is expected, it will be less than in 2025, with a strong pipeline for 2026 [66][68]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total cloud backlog reached EUR 77 billion, up 30% year-on-year, indicating strong underlying business momentum [6][25] - Cloud revenue grew by 26% year-on-year, primarily driven by the strong performance of the Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [27] - Total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - More than two-thirds of Q4 cloud order entry included business AI, which increased by over 20 percentage points compared to Q3 [5] - The Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue for the year, reinforcing its position as a key growth engine [27] - Software licenses revenue decreased by 27%, contrasting with the growth in cloud revenue [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Brazil, France, Germany, India, Italy, South Korea, and Spain showed outstanding performances in cloud revenue, while China, Japan, Saudi Arabia, the UK, and the US were particularly strong [28] - The company outperformed the cloud market by 10 percentage points in 2025 [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging AI to enhance business resilience and productivity, with a clear strategy to embed AI into business processes [4][5] - The RISE and GROW with SAP initiatives remain core pillars of the transformation strategy, targeting large-scale enterprises and mid-sized companies [24] - The company aims to achieve a run rate of around EUR 2 billion in real cost efficiencies by the end of 2028 through internal AI usage [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged geopolitical uncertainty and macroeconomic volatility as challenges but expressed confidence in the company's ability to drive growth through AI and cloud solutions [4][24] - The outlook for 2026 anticipates a moderation in CCB growth but expects total revenue growth to accelerate, supported by a strong foundation [32] Other Important Information - The company plans to initiate a new two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion, reflecting confidence in sustainable business strengths [31] - Non-IFRS basic earnings per share increased by 36% to EUR 6.15 for the fiscal year 2025 [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about CCB growth and pipeline for Q1 - Management noted that the 25% CCB growth was impacted by a higher share of large deals with longer ramp periods and some deals with cancellation clauses, but bookings performance was ahead of plan [40][41] Question: AI-driven cost savings and R&D focus - The company plans to achieve EUR 2 billion in savings through business growth without a restructuring plan, focusing on scaling the business with AI [47][49] Question: Customer adoption of AI offerings - Approximately 60% of existing cloud customers are actively using the AI offerings, with a significant increase in adoption of the AI copilot tool [57] Question: TCB growth dynamics and BDC contribution - Management acknowledged a steep deceleration in TCB growth but emphasized the strong pipeline and expected contributions from the Business Data Cloud in 2026 [74]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q4 2025 was the best bookings quarter, resulting in a total cloud backlog of EUR 77 billion, up 30% year-on-year [5][25] - Cloud revenue grew 26% year-on-year in 2025, primarily driven by the strong performance of the Cloud ERP Suite, which increased by 32% [27][29] - Total revenue for the full year approached EUR 37 billion, up 11% [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Cloud ERP Suite accounted for 86% of total cloud revenue for the year, highlighting its position as a key growth engine [27] - More than two-thirds of Q4 cloud order entry included Business AI, with a significant increase in customer adoption of AI tools [4][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong performances in cloud revenue were noted in Brazil, France, Germany, India, Italy, South Korea, and Spain, while the US, UK, China, Japan, and Saudi Arabia also showed strength [28] - The company outperformed the cloud market by 10 percentage points in 2025 [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The ongoing transformation strategy, including RISE with SAP and GROW with SAP, remains a core focus for large-scale enterprises and mid-sized companies [24] - The company aims to leverage AI and the Business Data Cloud as key growth drivers, with expectations of significant revenue contributions from these areas [15][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged geopolitical uncertainty and macroeconomic volatility as challenges but emphasized the company's strong position and pipeline for future growth [3][23] - The company expects a record free cash flow of approximately EUR 10 billion in 2026, supported by operational efficiency improvements [32] Other Important Information - The non-IFRS cloud gross margin for the full year expanded by 1.6 percentage points to 75%, driving cloud gross profit up by 29% [28] - A new two-year share repurchase program of up to EUR 10 billion is set to start in February, reflecting confidence in the business [30] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Insights on CCB growth and pipeline for Q1 - Management noted that the CCB growth of 25% was influenced by a deal mix weighted towards larger transformations, which often have longer ramp periods [39] - The pipeline for Q1 is expected to be strong, with a better coverage compared to the previous year [41] Question: AI-driven savings and R&D focus - The EUR 2 billion in savings will be achieved through scaling the business rather than restructuring, with a significant focus on AI-driven tools in R&D [44][46] - Currently, 35% of code generation has been automated, and the profile of software developers is changing significantly [48] Question: Customer adoption of AI offerings - Approximately 60% of existing cloud customers are actively using the AI offerings, with 20% on the way to adoption [56] - The company is winning deals due to the integration of AI with business data, enhancing the value proposition for customers [60]

Core Insights - SAP SE reported strong financial results for Q4 and FY2025, highlighting significant growth in cloud services and overall revenue [1][5][17] Financial Performance - Q4 2025 total revenue increased by 3% to €9.68 billion, with a 9% increase at constant currencies [4][11] - Full year 2025 total revenue rose by 8% to €36.80 billion, with an 11% increase at constant currencies [7][17] - Cloud revenue for Q4 grew by 19% to €5.61 billion, and for the full year, it increased by 23% to €21.02 billion [11][17] - The Cloud ERP Suite revenue in Q4 was up 23% to €4.86 billion, and for the full year, it rose by 28% to €18.12 billion [11][17] - Operating profit for Q4 increased by 27% to €2.55 billion, while for the full year, it surged by 111% to €9.83 billion [13][18] - Free cash flow for Q4 was €1.03 billion, a significant recovery from a loss in the previous year, and for the full year, it increased by 95% to €8.24 billion [15][20] Cloud Backlog and Growth - Total cloud backlog reached €77.29 billion, up 22% year-over-year, and 30% at constant currencies [5][32] - Current cloud backlog grew by 16% to €21.05 billion in Q4, with a 25% increase at constant currencies [10][32] Shareholder Returns - SAP announced a new share repurchase program of up to €10 billion, set to begin in February 2026 [23][24] Customer Engagement and Market Position - SAP's "RISE with SAP" initiative continues to attract global customers, driving significant business transformations [25][26] - The company reported strong cloud revenue performance across various regions, particularly in APJ and EMEA [28][29] Non-Financial Performance - Customer NPS decreased by 3 points to 9, primarily due to lower scores from on-premise customers [21] - Employee Engagement Index increased to 76%, and total carbon emissions decreased to 6.3 Mt [22]

Core Insights - DXC Technology has been confirmed as a RISE with SAP Validated Partner, recognizing its capabilities in helping customers migrate SAP environments to the cloud [1][6] - The company is enhancing its engagement within the SAP ecosystem and is committed to its own RISE with SAP journey, focusing on upskilling its SAP Business AI consultants [1][4] Group 1: Partnership and Expertise - As a RISE with SAP Validated Partner, DXC's capabilities align with SAP's methodology, ensuring consistency, speed, and value for customers [2][6] - DXC has over 15,000 SAP-dedicated professionals supporting more than 1,000 SAP customers globally, showcasing its extensive expertise [5][6] - The company has been recognized as the top SAP partner for certified learners in Positioning SAP Business Suite, with a team of 2,200 SAP Business AI certified consultants across 37 countries [6][8] Group 2: Service Offerings and Customer Impact - DXC offers a seamless end-to-end approach to modernization through custom offerings like DXC Complete, enabling business process optimization and continuous improvement of SAP workloads [2][6] - The company successfully supported Whitehaven Coal in rolling out an SAP ERP system, helping the company double in size with minimal disruption [5] - DXC's experience in managing complex IT migrations allows it to guide customers through their modernization objectives effectively [6][7] Group 3: Commitment to Innovation - DXC is advancing its own SAP transformation while helping customers navigate theirs, emphasizing a simplified and efficient approach to realizing value [6][7] - The company has received a 2025 SAP Pinnacle Award for learning and skills growth, highlighting its commitment to innovation and capability development [8]

Core Thesis - SAP SE is positioned as a strong investment opportunity due to its transformation into a subscription-driven, cloud-first enterprise, which has reshaped investor valuation of the company [2][5] Company Overview - SAP SE is Europe's largest software company by market capitalization, valued at approximately €288 billion [2] - The company has transitioned from a legacy licensing model to a model focused on recurring licensing revenue, post-implementation support, and consulting/R&D, creating deep customer dependency and predictable cash flows [2][3] Transformation and Strategy - The core of SAP's transformation is the RISE with SAP program, which offers dual-path S/4HANA Cloud migration options, appealing to enterprises seeking both agility and control [3] - Approximately 85% of SAP's revenue is recurring, with cloud revenue projected to reach €21.6–21.9 billion, and the company maintains robust margins at 26.5% [3] Market Position - SAP operates in a €60–75 billion ERP market with high switching costs, facing competition from Microsoft Dynamics 365, Oracle, and Sage, but none match SAP's scale and integration depth [4] - Each S/4HANA migration further entrenches SAP's platform as the operational core of clients' businesses, driving recurring revenue and positioning SAP as essential for AI and data-driven transformations [4] Investment Perspective - The investment narrative for SAP is centered on predictable cash flows, strong pricing power, and customer stickiness, justifying its premium valuation [5] - As enterprises modernize and integrate AI, SAP's cloud and recurring revenue model provide stability and long-term growth potential [5] - SAP is viewed as a strategically essential player in enterprise software, with multiple levers for value creation and limited downside risk due to its entrenched ecosystem [6]

Summary of SAP 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: SAP (NYSE: SAP) - **Event**: 2025 Conference held on December 03, 2025 Key Industry Insights - **Cloud Transition**: SAP is focusing on its cloud journey, with a significant portion of its customers transitioning to cloud-based solutions. The company has EUR 11 billion in maintenance left to convert to cloud services [6][24]. - **AI Integration**: AI is seen as a critical component of SAP's strategy, not merely as a tool for cloud adoption but as a core part of its future business model. AI is embedded in business processes to enhance value for customers [9][10][11]. Core Points and Arguments - **Customer Acceptance**: Customers have largely accepted the transition of mission-critical systems, such as ERP, to the cloud, with many opting for additional services like Business Technology Platform (BTP) and AI solutions during the initial transition [5][6]. - **AI as a Business Driver**: AI is positioned as a foundational element of SAP's offerings, with a focus on deeply embedding AI into business processes rather than treating it as an add-on [9][10]. - **Supply Chain Focus**: There is a strong emphasis on supply chain optimization, with AI providing a significant return on investment (30%) in this area. SAP's extensive business network is leveraged to enhance supply chain planning and responsiveness [16][18]. - **Agentic AI Strategy**: SAP is developing agentic AI capabilities that are tailored to specific business functions, allowing for both standard and customizable solutions [13][23]. - **Monetization Strategy**: SAP's monetization approach for AI includes a hybrid model combining consumption-based and per-user pricing, providing flexibility and predictability for customers [27][28][30]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Positioning**: SAP is well-positioned to capitalize on AI adoption due to its unique expertise and the integration of AI with its existing applications and data platforms [15][49]. - **Mid-Market Opportunities**: SAP is actively targeting the mid-market segment, which represents a significant growth opportunity, as it currently captures only 30% of its total addressable market (TAM) in this area [66]. - **Partnerships and Ecosystem**: SAP is enhancing its partner ecosystem to support mid-market growth, enabling partners to handle sales, presales, and implementation autonomously [67]. - **Future Risks**: The primary risk identified is the installed base of customers that may delay cloud adoption. SAP is focused on accelerating migration to the cloud to mitigate this risk [68][69]. Conclusion SAP is strategically positioned to leverage its cloud and AI capabilities to drive future growth, particularly in supply chain optimization and mid-market expansion. The company's focus on embedding AI into its core offerings and enhancing customer experiences through flexible pricing models is expected to strengthen its market position in the coming years.

Core Insights - SAP SE reported third-quarter 2025 non-IFRS earnings of €1.59 ($1.86) per share, a 29% increase year-over-year, although below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.69 [1] - Total revenues on a non-IFRS basis reached €9.08 billion ($10.6 billion), marking a 7% year-over-year increase (11% at constant currency), slightly above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.56 billion [1][2] Revenue Growth and Cloud Strategy - The cloud backlog surged 23% (27% at constant currency) to €18.8 billion, indicating strong market demand [3] - The Cloud and software segment, which constitutes 88.3% of total revenues, generated €8.02 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase (12% at constant currency) [3] - Cloud revenues reached €5.29 billion, up 22% year-over-year (27% at constant currency), driven by a 26% growth in Cloud ERP Suite revenues [4] Client Adoption and Market Expansion - The "RISE with SAP" program saw significant adoption among global organizations, including notable clients like Alphabet and Nestlé [5][6] - Major customer wins included engagements from brands such as BMW, Volkswagen Mexico, and Panasonic, showcasing SAP's expanding clientele [7] Financial Performance and Margins - Non-IFRS gross profit increased 7% year-over-year to €6.7 billion, with cloud gross profit rising 24% to €3.97 billion [10] - Non-IFRS operating profit rose 14% to €2.57 billion, with an operating margin of 28.3% [10] Cash Flow and Share Repurchase - As of September 30, 2025, SAP's cash and cash equivalents stood at €9.9 billion, up from €7.94 billion in June [11] - The company generated operating cash of €1.5 billion, a 7% increase year-over-year, and free cash flow rose 5% to €1.27 billion [11][12] Updated Financial Outlook - SAP revised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting cloud revenue to be near the low end of €21.6–€21.9 billion, reflecting a 26–28% increase from 2024 [14] - The company anticipates non-IFRS operating profit near the high end of €10.3–€10.6 billion, up 26–30% from 2024 [15]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, cloud revenue rose by 27%, marking five consecutive quarters of growth exceeding 25% [5][20] - Total revenue increased by 11% to €9.1 billion, with a share of predictable revenue rising to 87% [21][24] - Current cloud backlog exceeded €18.8 billion, up 27% [20] - Free cash flow increased by 5% to €1.3 billion, while operating profit rose by 19% to €2.6 billion [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The cloud ERP suite delivered 31% growth in Q3, representing 87% of cloud revenues [20] - Software licenses revenue decreased by 42% in Q3, indicating a shift towards cloud solutions [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud revenue performance was particularly strong in APJ and EMEA regions, with Brazil, France, Germany, India, Italy, and South Korea showing outstanding performance [22] - The U.S. public sector is showing early signs of improvement, with SAP NS2 awarded a major framework contract [10][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to accelerate total revenue growth through 2027, leveraging AI as a key enabler [4][18] - SAP's strategy focuses on providing software and cloud solutions without building infrastructure, partnering with cloud infrastructure providers instead [10][60] - The company is enhancing its AI capabilities, integrating AI into business processes to create high-value use cases [11][62] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the Q4 pipeline, noting that many deals are returning, particularly in the U.S. public sector and manufacturing [30][33] - The company anticipates reaching the lower end of its cloud revenue outlook for fiscal year 2025 due to delayed bookings but expects to exceed its operating profit target [25][24] Other Important Information - The acquisition of SmartRecruiters was completed, strengthening SAP's capabilities in talent acquisition [20] - The company is focusing on high-quality data and AI integration to enhance customer value [48][62] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on demand backdrop in U.S. public sector and manufacturing - Management noted positive early signs in the U.S. public sector and a strong Q4 pipeline, indicating a return of stalled deals [30][33] Question: Insights on backlog and cloud revenue expectations - Management expressed confidence in achieving a good Q4 and maintaining a strong pipeline for cloud revenue growth [35][52] Question: Uptake of SAP ERP transition option - Management indicated positive momentum in the pipeline, with high interest in the transition option helping to accelerate cloud adoption [39][41] Question: Competitive position versus Oracle - Management emphasized that SAP's strategy remains effective, focusing on software and cloud rather than infrastructure [60][62] Question: Free cash flow guidance and expectations - Management highlighted that Q4 cash flow may be impacted by tax payments and working capital fluctuations, but overall cash conversion remains strong [56][57]

Core Thesis - SAP SE is positioned as a leading enterprise software company that has successfully transitioned to a cloud-first model, enhancing its growth potential and market visibility [2][5]. Financial Performance - As of October 10th, SAP's share price was $265.53, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 41.67 and 33.11 respectively [1]. - Cloud revenue increased by 26% year-over-year, while cloud ERP grew by 33% year-over-year, indicating strong demand for its services [4]. - The cloud backlog has risen nearly 30% to €18 billion, providing visibility for future growth [4]. - Free cash flow is expected to rebound to €8 billion in FY2025, supported by expanding margins and a solid net cash position [4]. Customer Retention and Market Position - Over 85% of new bookings are cloud-based, with a customer retention rate exceeding 98%, which creates significant switching costs and a durable competitive advantage [3][4]. - SAP's systems are deeply integrated into corporate workflows, reinforcing its position in the market [3]. Growth Strategy - The company aims for long-term double-digit growth through the migration of over 300,000 customers to cloud subscriptions, expansion of AI features, and entry into new verticals and SMEs [5]. - Investment cycles are winding down, and operational efficiency is expected to improve as cloud operations scale [5]. Market Perception - Despite being undervalued in U.S. markets due to its operational complexity and European roots, SAP is recognized for its scale, resilience, and potential for compounding growth [5][6]. - The stock has depreciated approximately 9.23% since previous bullish coverage, but the long-term growth thesis remains intact [7].