Robotics激光雷达

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速腾聚创25Q1业绩点评:ADAS营收承压,泛机器人业务拉动盈利改善,看好新产品放量
海通国际· 2025-06-03 13:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of HK$42.54, up from a previous target of HK$23.46, reflecting an 81% increase [2][6][15]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was Rmb328 million, representing a decline of 9.2% year-on-year and 36.2% quarter-on-quarter. However, profitability improved with a gross profit of Rmb77 million and a gross profit margin of 23.5%, which is an increase of 11.17 percentage points year-on-year [3][13]. - The decline in revenue was primarily due to a drop in shipments of automotive ADAS LiDAR, attributed to a customer solution switch. Conversely, the overall margin improvement was driven by the high-margin Robotics segment [3][14]. - The company expects the EM series to reverse the growth slowdown in the automotive ADAS LiDAR segment, while the Robotics segment is poised for a significant volume ramp-up, creating a second growth curve [4][14]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are Rmb2.366 billion, Rmb3.138 billion, and Rmb5.195 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of -0.42, 0.18, and 1.36 [6][15]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve significantly, reaching 27.1% in 2025 and stabilizing around 31.3% by 2027 [8][11]. - The company anticipates a substantial increase in shipments of both ADAS and Robotics LiDAR products, with total revenue expected to grow significantly in the coming years [8][11].