ADAS激光雷达

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美股异动|禾赛盘前涨超2%,获高盛看高至36美元并上调盈测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-24 08:28
Core Viewpoint - Hesai (HSAI.US) shares rose over 2% to $29.86, driven by a Goldman Sachs report predicting accelerated adoption of lidar technology in China and large-scale production by global automakers by 2026-2027, with an expected shipment of 3 million ADAS lidar units overseas by 2030 [1] Group 1: Company Insights - Goldman Sachs forecasts that by 2030, overseas ADAS customers will contribute 10% of Hesai's shipments, 20% of its revenue, and 23% of its gross profit, with a gross margin 10 percentage points higher than domestic products [1] - The target price for Hesai has been raised from $26.3 to $36, with a "Buy" rating assigned [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The report highlights the rapid proliferation of lidar technology in the Chinese market, indicating a significant shift in the automotive industry towards advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) [1] - The anticipated large-scale production of lidar units by 2026-2027 is expected to reshape the competitive landscape in the automotive sector [1]
高盛:首予禾赛-W(02525)“买入”评级 目标价281港元
智通财经网· 2025-09-23 05:50
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reports that the adoption of LiDAR technology in the Chinese market is accelerating this year, with large-scale production expected globally by 2026-2027, predicting that overseas ADAS LiDAR shipments will reach 3 million units by 2030, equivalent to the scale of the Chinese market in 2025 [1] - Goldman Sachs initiates a "Buy" rating for Hesai (02525, HSAI.US) with a target price of HKD 281, and raises the US stock target price from USD 26.3 to USD 36, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - The firm forecasts that by 2030, overseas ADAS customers will contribute 10% of Hesai's shipment volume, 20% of revenue, and 23% of gross profit, with a gross margin 10 percentage points higher than domestic products [1] Group 2 - The projected revenue and net profit for Hesai by 2030 are expected to reach RMB 14 billion and RMB 3 billion, respectively, with a net profit margin estimated at 21% [1] - The net profit forecast for 2026-2027 has been raised by 11% to 17% [1]
大行评级|高盛:首予禾赛H股“买入”评级及目标价281港元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-23 03:53
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reports that the adoption of LiDAR technology in the Chinese market is accelerating this year, with large-scale production expected globally by 2026-2027 [1] - The forecast indicates that by 2030, overseas ADAS LiDAR shipments will reach 3 million units, equivalent to the scale of the Chinese market in 2025 [1] - It is projected that by 2030, overseas ADAS customers will contribute 10% of Hesai's shipments, 20% of its revenue, and 23% of its gross profit, with a gross margin 10 percentage points higher than domestic products [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs predicts Hesai's revenue and net profit will reach 14 billion and 3 billion respectively by 2030, with a net profit margin of 21% [1] - The net profit forecast for 2026-2027 has been raised by 11% to 17% [1] - Goldman Sachs has initiated a "Buy" rating for Hesai's H-shares with a target price of 281 HKD, and has increased the target price for its US shares from 26.3 USD to 36 USD, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
从被“杀人鲸”做空到港股热捧,禾赛科技180天大逆袭
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-16 12:56
Core Viewpoint - Hesai Technology (禾赛科技) successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, becoming the first dual-listed lidar company in both the US and Hong Kong markets, with a strong market response on its debut [1][2][4]. Company Overview - Hesai primarily provides 3D lidar solutions, including design, development, manufacturing, and sales of advanced lidar products, applicable in commercial and passenger vehicles, robotics, and other non-automotive sectors [3]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2023, Hesai achieved revenue of 7.1 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of over 50%, and net profit of 0.44 billion RMB, marking a return to profitability [4]. - The revenue structure shows that Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and robotics accounted for 62.7% and 34.1% of total revenue, respectively, both experiencing triple-digit growth due to industry demand [4]. Market Trends - The lidar market penetration in the ADAS sector is accelerating, with a projected installation of over 1.5 million units in China by 2024, a year-on-year increase of 179.7% [4]. - In the robotics sector, Hesai's lidar shipments reached 4.9 million units in Q2 2023, a staggering year-on-year growth of 743.6% [5]. Strategic Partnerships - Hesai signed a lidar order worth over $40 million with a leading US Robotaxi company, becoming its sole lidar supplier, with deliveries expected by the end of 2026 [2][4]. IPO Details - The IPO raised a total of 4.16 billion HKD, with significant oversubscription rates of 168.65 times for public offerings and 14.09 times for international placements [7]. - Approximately 50% of the funds will be allocated to R&D, 35% to production capacity, and the remainder for business development and operational costs [7]. Market Outlook - Domestic investment institutions are optimistic about Hesai's growth prospects, citing strong downstream demand and the company's leading market position [8]. - Analysts predict that the lidar market will continue to expand, driven by the increasing adoption of lidar in smart driving and robotics applications [8][9].
瑞银:升速腾聚创目标价至52.8港元 订单增长及利润率提升展望乐观
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 08:57
Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that SUTENG JUCHUANG (02498) management is optimistic about the company's prospects, supported by recent significant orders from BYD (002594) and Geely Automobile (00175) for its ADAS lidar business [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The company has received important orders from major clients, which is expected to provide solid support for the growth of its ADAS lidar business [1] - In the robotic lidar sector, the company is accelerating penetration into the automated mobile equipment field and is closely collaborating with MAMMOTION and Ninebot [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - The group aims to achieve a gross margin of 30% by 2026, with a long-term gross margin target of 35% [1] - Based on the smooth progress in order acquisition, UBS has raised its profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 by 4% and increased the target price from HKD 50 to HKD 52.8, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
图达通更新招股书:毛利率转正,新增国有车企定点订单
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-08-26 11:12
Core Viewpoint - Seyond Tuda's financial data update indicates a significant shift for the company, as it reports a gross profit of $3.197 million with a gross margin of 12.6% for Q1 2025, marking a transition from previous losses to profitability, reflecting a maturation in the lidar supply chain and increased acceptance of lidar technology by OEMs [1][3]. Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, Seyond Tuda recorded a gross profit of $3.197 million, achieving a gross margin of 12.6%, continuing the positive trend established in Q4 of the previous year [1]. - The company's costs decreased by 36.9% year-on-year, from $35.023 million to $22.099 million, attributed to product design optimization and economies of scale [1]. Market Position and Product Development - Seyond Tuda is the second-largest lidar supplier globally, with a 20.7% market share in China, and plans to deliver approximately 230,000 automotive-grade products in 2024 [1]. - The company has established a diverse customer base, including partnerships with NIO and several state-owned enterprises, which are expected to convert into actual sales by the end of 2025 [2]. - The introduction of the Hummingbird D1, a solid-state lidar product, marks a significant step towards the industrialization of solid-state lidar technology, with orders from leading OEMs [2]. Industry Implications - The positive gross margin for Seyond Tuda is indicative of a broader trend in the lidar industry, suggesting that lidar technology is moving from being a high-cost option to a more scalable solution for various automotive applications [3]. - The company's strategy of diversifying into multiple application scenarios, including commercial vehicles and robotics, helps mitigate the cyclical volatility of any single industry [2].
速腾聚创(02498):2Q25毛利率稳步提升,预计下半年机器人激光雷达迎交付高峰,维持买入
BOCOM International· 2025-08-22 08:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 41.89, indicating a potential upside of 21.4% from the current price of HKD 34.50 [1][10][11]. Core Insights - The company is expected to experience a peak in robot lidar deliveries in the second half of the year, with a significant increase in sales volume and revenue [2][6]. - The gross margin for lidar products is steadily improving, with the overall gross margin rising to 27.7% in Q2 2025, up 4.2 percentage points from the previous quarter [6][7]. - The company has made significant advancements in its self-developed SPAD-SOC chip, which is expected to enhance production capabilities and market competitiveness [6][7]. Financial Overview - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 1,120 million in 2023 to RMB 4,456 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 45.2% [5][13]. - The net profit is expected to improve from a loss of RMB 4,331 million in 2023 to a profit of RMB 263 million by 2027, indicating a turnaround in profitability [5][13]. - The company reported a revenue of RMB 455 million in Q2 2025, a 24% increase year-over-year, with a notable 133% increase in gross profit [6][7]. Market Performance - The stock has shown a year-to-date increase of 12.38%, with a 52-week high of HKD 50.40 and a low of HKD 11.02 [4][6]. - The average daily trading volume is approximately 6.78 million shares, indicating active market participation [4]. Sales and Production Metrics - In Q2 2025, the company sold 158,200 units of lidar, a 29% increase year-over-year, with robot lidar sales surging by 632% [6][7]. - The average selling price (ASP) for lidar products was approximately RMB 2,600, reflecting a slight decrease of 5% from the previous quarter [6]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve profitability by 2026, driven by scale effects and improved operational efficiencies [6][8]. - The upcoming release of the AC2 robot in the second half of the year is anticipated to capitalize on the growing demand for embodied intelligence in robotics [6].
美股异动丨禾赛盘前涨超1% 获多家机构首予“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-20 09:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the positive outlook for Hesai Technology (HSAI.US) as multiple institutions initiate coverage with "buy" ratings, indicating strong confidence in the company's future performance [1] - CMB International has initiated coverage on Hesai Technology with a target price of $27.52, citing the gradual realization of autonomous driving equity and strong industry certainty [1] - UBS has also initiated coverage with a "buy" rating and a target price of $35, while Goldman Sachs has maintained a "buy" rating, raising its target price from $23.3 to $26.3 [1] Group 2 - Hesai Technology and RoboSense lead the global market share in LiDAR technology, with both companies set to release ADAS LiDAR suitable for vehicles priced below 200,000 RMB, priced under $200, which is expected to drive industry growth by 2025 [1] - The stock price of Hesai Technology increased by 1.22% in pre-market trading, reaching $25.7, following the positive reports from various institutions [1] - The total market capitalization of Hesai Technology is approximately $3.363 billion, with a trading volume of 2.4803 million shares [1]
禾赛科技(A20721):2025 年第二季度业绩点评:净利润超预期,智驾与机器人双擎驱动增长
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-18 14:51
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported better-than-expected net profit, driven by growth in intelligent driving and robotics [2][7] - The company is positioned to benefit from the penetration of L4 commercial applications in intelligent driving and robotics [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q2 2025, the company achieved total revenue of $71 million, a year-on-year increase of 53.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 34.5% [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was $4.4 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 161.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 351.2% [7] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 42.5%, slightly down from 45.1% in the same period last year but up 0.8 percentage points from the previous quarter [7] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company maintained the top market share in ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) with total deliveries of 352,000 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 275.8% [7] - The company has secured new contracts with nine major automotive manufacturers for 20 models, with plans for delivery between 2025 and 2026 [7] - In the robotics sector, product deliveries reached 48,500 units in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 743.6%, marking a significant growth engine for the company [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to $36 million, $79 million, and $130 million respectively [7] - The corresponding P/E ratios based on the closing price on August 15, 2025, are projected to be 94, 43, and 26 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7]
从汽车智驾到机器人:激光雷达的“双轨革命”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 10:38
Industry Overview - The laser radar industry is expected to benefit from the trend of "intelligent driving equality" and significant cost reductions, with an estimated global deployment of approximately 3.2 million vehicle-mounted laser radars by 2025, doubling year-on-year [1] - The industry is characterized by a significant Matthew effect, indicating a stable market structure with limited potential for major changes [2][4] Short-term Trends - The trend of intelligent driving is gradually being realized, with strong industry certainty. The cost of laser radars has significantly decreased, entering the price range of 1,000 RMB, which accelerates penetration into vehicles priced below 150,000 RMB [2] - In the first half of 2025, the delivery of passenger car laser radars in mainland China is expected to reach 1.044 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 83.14% [2] - The delivery volume of Hesai's ADAS products in Q1 2025 is projected to be 146,087 units, up 178.5% year-on-year [2] Long-term Opportunities - Future focus should be on the rollout of regulations for L3 conditional autonomous driving, with Beijing already implementing such regulations in April 2023, likely leading to more local governments following suit [3] - The robot market is anticipated to be a larger incremental market, with laser radars successfully penetrating consumer-grade robots and expected to expand into more categories [3] - Optimistically, human-shaped robot shipments could exceed 10 million units by 2035, with simultaneous increases in laser radar installations [3] Technological Developments - The industry is facing market competition and cost pressures, with a focus on chip design and integration to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs [3] - Solid-state laser radars are becoming the mainstream direction due to their higher stability, smaller size, and lower costs, making them suitable for large-scale vehicle applications [3] Market Structure - Chinese companies, including Hesai, RoboSense, TuSimple, and Huawei, dominate the market, holding nearly 95% of the global market share, while foreign companies tend to focus on high-performance and complex solutions but face slower implementation and higher costs [4] - The current high concentration market structure led by Chinese laser radar manufacturers is expected to be maintained in the long term [4] - Hesai Technology (HSAI US) and RoboSense (2498 HK) are covered for the first time with buy ratings, as both companies are expected to release ADAS laser radars suitable for vehicles priced below 200,000 RMB in 2024, priced under 200 USD [4]