Key Takeaways PEP's steady momentum meets CELH's rapid energy-drink growth and expanding reach. CELH gains from a deeper Pepsi partnership that boosts distribution and visibility. PEP delivers balance through broad categories, cost discipline and consistent execution. With consumers rapidly shifting toward healthier, performance-oriented drinks, PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) and Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) have emerged as two highly relevant names to watch. PepsiCo, a global staple with a market cap of about $200 b ...

Core Insights - Celsius Holdings, Inc. reported a significant revenue increase of 173% year over year, reaching $725.1 million in Q3 2025, driven by new brand additions and growth in its existing portfolio [1][10] Revenue Performance - Alani Nu was the top performer with sales of $332.0 million, while the core CELSIUS brand experienced a 44% growth in the quarter [2][10] - Rockstar Energy contributed approximately $11 million in revenues and about $7 million in other income during its first month under Celsius ownership [2] Revenue Growth Analysis - Management indicated that the reported revenue growth was substantially higher than scanner data from U.S. retail stores, with the CELSIUS brand showing only a 13% increase compared to the reported 44% [3] - The discrepancy was attributed to inventory timing, a distributor reset from the previous year, promotional schedules, and expanding international sales [3] Charges and Future Outlook - Celsius Holdings incurred a PepsiCo-funded distributor termination charge of $246.7 million related to integrating Alani Nu into PepsiCo's direct-store-delivery network, with expected distribution benefits to materialize in early 2026 [4][10] - The company anticipates potential short-term disruptions in Q4 2025 due to integration, promotions, and timing issues [4] Market Position and Valuation - Despite the impressive revenue figures, part of the growth stemmed from acquisitions and timing effects rather than solely organic sales, raising questions about the sustainability of this growth in the coming quarters [5] - Celsius Holdings' stock has surged 69.2% year to date, contrasting with a 14.1% decline in the industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 30.26, significantly higher than the industry average of 14.56 [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects year-over-year earnings growth of 57.1% for 2025 and 38.5% for 2026 for Celsius Holdings [15]

Core Viewpoint - Celsius experienced a significant stock selloff, with shares dropping nearly 8% after a 25% decline the previous day, despite reporting strong third-quarter results. Analysts suggest that the selloff may be overdone, given the company's positive long-term growth outlook [2][6][8]. Financial Performance - For the third quarter, Celsius reported a total revenue increase of 173% year-over-year, with Alani Nu sales growing by 114% and Celsius brand retail sales up by 13% [5][6]. - The company's market share rose to 21%, up from 10% two years ago, indicating substantial growth in its retail presence [5]. Strategic Moves - Celsius has expanded its portfolio by acquiring Alani Nu in April and Rockstar Energy in August, enhancing its market position [4]. - The transition of Alani Nu's distribution to PepsiCo is set to begin in December, which may introduce short-term volatility in inventory and logistics costs [7][9]. Analyst Perspectives - Analysts from TD Cowen, Morgan Stanley, and Roth Capital view the current stock selloff as a temporary issue, with price targets set at $55, $64, and $70 respectively, indicating confidence in the company's long-term growth potential [9][10][12]. - Deutsche Bank's analyst noted that while there may be short-term distortions in inventory and shipment timing, consumption trends remain strong, suggesting a positive outlook for the brand [11].

Core Insights - Celsius Holdings reported an adjusted EPS of $0.42, exceeding expectations of $0.28, and revenue of $725.1 million, slightly above the consensus of $724.0 million, indicating strong investor confidence in the company's growth strategy [2][7] - The integration of Alani Nu has significantly contributed to Celsius's transformation into a diversified beverage platform, with Alani Nu achieving $332.0 million in sales during the quarter [3][7] - The company experienced a gross margin expansion of 530 basis points to 51.3%, reflecting improved operational efficiency and product mix [5][7] Revenue Growth - Celsius achieved a remarkable revenue growth of 173% year over year, with the CELSIUS brand growing 44% organically, driven primarily by Alani Nu's sales [3] - International revenue increased by 24%, particularly in Nordic markets, indicating successful geographic diversification [4] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin improvement to 51.3% demonstrates operational leverage and a favorable product mix, while operating cash flow was reported at $75.7 million and free cash flow at $70.3 million [5][7] - Despite the positive cash flow metrics, GAAP net income showed a loss of $61.0 million, attributed to one-time distributor termination costs related to the PepsiCo transition [6][7] Market Positioning - Celsius trades at a forward P/E of 157.68, significantly higher than Monster Beverage's 42.16, reflecting market expectations for sustained growth despite the lack of proven profitability at scale [7]

Celsius Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CELH) shares plunged on Thursday as a $246.7 million distributor termination overshadowed a top-line beat in the third quarter.CELH is among today's weakest performers. Check the analyst take hereInvestors also balk at a sharp rise in long-term debt and warnings that inventory shifts tied to the PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP) transition could distort near-term results."We strengthened our long-term partnership with PepsiCo and united CELSIUS, Alani Nu, and Rockstar Energy under on ...

Celsius (NasdaqCM:CELH) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 06, 2025 08:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsJohn Fieldly - Chairman and CEOJarrod Langhans - CFOPaul Wiseman - Head of Investor RelationsConference Call ParticipantsKaumil Gajrawala - AnalystSean McGowan - Senior Research AnalystGerald Pascarelli - AnalystJon Andersen - AnalystBonnie Herzog - AnalystEric serotta - AnalystMichael Lavery - Senior Research AnalystOperatorWelcome to the Celsius Holdings third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. All lines ha ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, consolidated revenue was approximately $725 million, up 173% year-over-year [17] - Gross margin for the quarter was 51.3%, compared to 46% a year ago, reflecting improvements in inventory optimization and lower promotional spend [19] - Year-to-date consolidated sales increased by roughly 75%, with Alani Nu accounting for the majority of that growth [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Celsius brand's U.S. scanner growth rate was 13%, while revenue growth was reported at 44% [17][18] - Alani Nu revenue nearly doubled, up 99%, driven by strong limited-time offerings [18] - Rockstar Energy contributed approximately $11 million in revenue in its first month under Celsius ownership, with a total impact of about $18 million in Q3 [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The combined portfolio represented over 20% share of the U.S. energy drink market, growing 31% year-over-year, nearly twice as fast as the overall category [8] - Celsius Holdings' portfolio gained more than two share points year-over-year in Walmart alone [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its partnership with PepsiCo, enhancing its role as the strategic energy drink captain within Pepsi's portfolio [5][6] - Plans to optimize the Rockstar Energy brand and stabilize its market presence while continuing to grow Celsius and Alani Nu [22] - The company aims to build a portfolio that reaches more consumers during more occasions, emphasizing collaboration and organizational excellence [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth trajectory for 2026, despite anticipated challenges in Q4 due to integration activities and promotional timing [22] - The company is optimistic about the international expansion, particularly in markets like Australia and the U.K., where performance has exceeded expectations [14][77] Other Important Information - The company recorded approximately $247 million in distributor termination expenses during the quarter, fully funded by PepsiCo [20] - Management highlighted the importance of seasonal flavor offerings and marketing campaigns in driving consumer engagement and sales [10][12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on core Celsius growth and scanner data - Management acknowledged the variance between reported revenue growth and scanner growth, attributing it to various factors including inventory movements and promotional activities [25][28] Question: Pricing strategy amidst market changes - Management discussed the ongoing evaluation of pricing strategies in response to cost pressures and tariff impacts, emphasizing the need for a revenue management team [36][37] Question: Details on Q4 integration and inventory management - Management indicated that Q4 would be a noisy quarter due to integration activities and inventory transitions, with a phased approach to Alani's rollout in the Pepsi system [40][46] Question: Comments on gross margins and inflation impacts - Management provided insights on the expected pressure on gross margins due to tariffs and inflation, while also highlighting opportunities for efficiency improvements through integration [68][72] Question: International expansion plans - Management outlined the strategic investments in international markets, emphasizing the growth potential in Australia and Europe [77] Question: Alani Nu's distribution ramp-up and collaboration with PepsiCo - Management expressed confidence in Alani Nu's growth potential and the improved collaboration with PepsiCo to avoid past inventory optimization issues [81][84]

Celsius (NasdaqCM:CELH) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 06, 2025 08:00 AM ET Speaker1Welcome to the Celsius Holdings third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Thank you. I will now hand the call over to Paul Wiseman, Investor Relations. Please ...

Safe harbor & Non-gaap measures Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains statements by Celsius Holdings, Inc. ("Celsius Holdings", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") that are not historical facts and are considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements may address, among other things, our prospects, plans, business strategy and expected financial and operational results. You can identify these sta ...

Core Insights - Investors are showing a bullish sentiment towards Celsius Holdings (NASDAQ:CELH), with significant options trading activity indicating potential upcoming developments [1][2] - The overall sentiment among large traders is predominantly bullish, with 80% of trades being calls and only 10% being puts [2] - Major market movers are focusing on a price range between $57.5 and $70.0 for Celsius Holdings over the past three months [3] Options Activity - A total of 10 uncommon options trades were identified, with 8 calls amounting to $376,968 and 2 puts totaling $187,650 [2] - The mean open interest for Celsius Holdings options trades today is 1,421.25, with a total volume of 1,930.00 [4] Company Overview - Celsius Holdings operates in the energy drink segment of the global nonalcoholic beverage market, with 95% of its revenue generated in North America [11] - The company owns three energy drink brands: Celsius, Alani Nu, and Rockstar Energy, focusing on product innovation and marketing while outsourcing manufacturing and distribution [11] Market Analysis - Analysts have set an average price target of $68.33 for Celsius Holdings, with individual targets ranging from $55 to $76 [13][14] - Current trading volume stands at 1,224,176, with the stock price at $58.13, reflecting a decrease of 1.89% [16]