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美国登月计划的吹哨人出现了
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-15 00:54
Core Viewpoint - The current U.S. lunar program, particularly the Artemis plan, faces significant engineering challenges, as highlighted by former NASA Administrator Michael Griffin, who warns that the program is accelerating in a direction that may be increasingly difficult to correct [1][9][21] Group 1: Engineering Challenges - Griffin, a key figure in the U.S. lunar program, asserts that the existing lunar plan is not feasible from an engineering perspective, indicating a systemic issue within the program [1][9] - The Artemis program is criticized for its complexity and the accumulation of new engineering nodes without adequate risk assessment, leading to a potential engineering inflation process [12][14][17] Group 2: Historical Context - The article contrasts the current Artemis plan with the earlier Constellation program, which was designed to separate crewed and cargo missions, thereby reducing complexity [6][8] - The Constellation program was halted due to political shifts, but its engineering logic is echoed in China's current lunar plans, suggesting a convergence in approaches to complex engineering problems [8][9] Group 3: Political and Commercial Dynamics - The integration of commercial spaceflight into the Artemis program is seen as a potential cost-saving measure, but the challenge lies in embedding commercial capabilities within a politically charged and complex lunar mission framework [11][12] - The upcoming appointment of Jared Isaacman as NASA's new administrator introduces a variable that may lead to a reassessment of the Artemis plan, although systemic constraints may limit significant changes [20][21]