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CELH Strengthens Its Portfolio With Alani Nu: Will 2026 Keep the Pace?
ZACKS· 2025-11-24 16:08
Core Insights - Celsius Holdings, Inc. has significantly accelerated its growth trajectory through the acquisition and expansion of Alani Nu, which reported record revenues of $332 million in Q3 2025, driven by successful limited-time flavors and sustained organic growth [1][8] Group 1: Alani Nu Performance - Alani Nu's retail sales increased by 114% year over year and 15% sequentially, capturing a 7.2% share of the U.S. energy category, up 3.3 points from the previous year [2][8] - Seasonal flavors like Witches Brew have performed exceptionally well, enhancing the brand's cultural impact and consumer influence [2][3] - Retailers are increasingly embracing Alani Nu for its appeal among female consumers, with seasonal innovations boosting core SKU velocity [3] Group 2: Distribution and Transition - A significant transition of Alani Nu's U.S. DSD network to PepsiCo's distribution system is set to begin on December 1, 2025, which is expected to enhance ACV and create unified execution across Celsius, Alani Nu, and Rockstar [4][5] - PepsiCo is funding approximately $247 million in distributor termination fees, ensuring the transition remains cash-neutral [4] Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - Despite anticipated challenges in Q4 2025 due to inventory returns and warehousing shifts, management remains confident in Alani Nu's ability to maintain momentum and support Celsius Holdings' growth into 2026 [5] - Celsius Holdings' stock has surged 48% year to date, contrasting with a 13.5% decline in the industry [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Celsius Holdings' earnings indicates a year-over-year rise of 80% for 2025 and 20.7% for 2026, with recent upward revisions in earnings estimates [13][14] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Celsius Holdings trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 26.15, significantly higher than the industry average of 14.70, and carries a Value Score of A [10]
Coca-Cola Holds Value Share Lead Despite Latin America Flatline
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 18:11
Key Takeaways Coca-Cola's organic revenues rose 6% in Q3 2025, led by growth across all segments.Latin America's comparable currency-neutral operating income increased 3%.KO gained value share globally, with strong performance in Brazil and Argentina.The Coca-Cola Company’s (KO) Latin America business hit a soft patch in third-quarter 2025, with flat unit case volumes, despite solid brand execution. Growth in water, sports, coffee and tea categories was offset by a decline in Trademark Coca-Cola. In the thi ...
可口可乐(KO.US)FY25三季度电话会:2026年增长重点将放在推动销量驱动的均衡增长
智通财经网· 2025-10-21 23:56
Core Insights - Coca-Cola reported a 1% year-over-year increase in overall sales for Q3 FY25, with organic revenue growth of 6%, driven by pricing and product mix [1] - Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter were $0.82, exceeding market expectations of $0.78 by approximately 5.1% [1] - The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, expecting organic revenue growth of 5%-6% and a comparable earnings per share growth of about 8% at constant currency [1] Financial Performance - The revenue growth was primarily driven by a 4% contribution from price increases and a 2% contribution from product mix optimization [1] - The company is nearing its operational profit margin target of 30%-35% following the completion of its restructuring [5][6] Strategic Focus - In 2026, Coca-Cola plans to focus on balanced growth driven by volume, with pricing strategies returning to normal as inflation eases [1] - The company aims to maintain a balance between affordability and premium offerings while responding flexibly to market demands [1] Brand and Innovation - Coca-Cola boasts a strong brand portfolio with approximately 30 brands valued at $1 billion, nearly double that of its closest competitor [2] - Innovations such as Sprite Plus Tea and Bacardi mixed cola have significantly contributed to revenue growth [2] Market Dynamics - The company is actively addressing increased competition from local brands by enhancing regional responsiveness and resource allocation [4] - In Latin America, while the macroeconomic environment remains challenging, key markets like Brazil and Colombia have shown strong growth [4] Operational Efficiency - Coca-Cola is focusing on improving capital efficiency and cost control to ensure sustained profit margin improvements [6] - The company is leveraging AI and automation to enhance operational efficiency and plans to optimize its organizational structure in 2026 [7] Consumer Trends - The company is monitoring the impact of GLP-1 weight loss drugs on consumer behavior, noting a shift towards lower-sugar and protein-rich beverages [8] - The protein drink segment, particularly Fairlife and Core Power, continues to show strong growth, with a new facility in New York expected to enhance supply capabilities by 2026 [9] International Expansion - Coca-Cola is evaluating international expansion plans, particularly in the dairy sector, leveraging experiences from the U.S. market to grow brands like Santa Clara in Mexico [10]
Coca-Cola(KO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-21 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, organic revenue grew by 6% and unit cases increased by 1% [16] - Comparable earnings per share (EPS) rose by 6% year-over-year to $0.82, despite facing 6% currency headwinds [17] - Free cash flow, excluding fairlife contingent consideration payment, was $8.5 billion, an increase from the previous year [17] - The company expects organic revenue growth of 5% to 6% and comparable currency-neutral EPS growth of approximately 8% for the full year 2025 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America saw flat volume but improved sequentially for the second consecutive quarter, with strong revenue and profit growth [10] - Latin America experienced flat volume but gained value share, with notable growth in Brazil driven by Coca-Cola Zero Sugar [11] - EMEA continued to grow volume and delivered strong revenue and profit growth, while Asia-Pacific faced volume declines but gained value share [12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company gained overall value share for the 18th consecutive quarter, holding or gaining value share across all geographic segments [5] - In North America, the introduction of mini cans contributed $1 billion in revenue, addressing consumer affordability concerns [79] - The Asia-Pacific segment's organic sales were up 7%, but the growth was influenced by a mix effect due to varying performance across different markets [60] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its all-weather strategy, adapting to dynamic market conditions while driving growth through sharper execution and investments [4] - Recent refranchising efforts, including the sale of stakes in bottlers, are expected to unlock growth opportunities in India and Africa [8] - The marketing transformation emphasizes digital engagement and cultural relevance, with innovative campaigns and product launches [6][7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while the external environment remains complex, they are confident in navigating challenges and delivering on 2025 guidance [8] - Inflationary pressures and geopolitical dynamics are acknowledged as ongoing challenges, but the company remains optimistic about long-term growth potential [5][22] - The company anticipates a normalization of pricing as inflation moderates, with a focus on both affordability and premiumization [20] Other Important Information - The company is actively addressing the impact of GLP-1 drugs on beverage consumption, noting a shift towards diet and protein drinks [66] - The ongoing dispute with the U.S. Internal Revenue Service regarding royalties from the Brazilian affiliate is being vigorously defended, with management optimistic about the outcome [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on market momentum and consumer sentiment - Management indicated that sequential improvement in Q3 was largely due to increased focus on marketing and execution rather than a significant change in the external environment [26] Question: Local competition and affordability - Management acknowledged a shift towards more local competition and emphasized the need for tailored responses in different markets [33] Question: Update on Latin America, particularly Mexico and Brazil - Management reported progressive improvement in Latin America, with Brazil showing strong growth while Mexico is still facing macroeconomic challenges [38] Question: Refranchising efforts and margin implications - Management confirmed that recent transactions are key steps in completing the refranchising strategy, which is expected to enhance overall system performance and margins [42] Question: Coffee strategy and performance - Management noted that while the coffee category is attractive, the company is still evaluating its approach following mixed results from previous investments [48] Question: Consumer trends in Asia and pricing sustainability - Management explained that the pricing increase in Asia-Pacific is influenced by a mix effect, with expectations for volume growth in emerging markets over time [62]