Corteva (NYSE:CTVA) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 04, 2026 09:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsChris Parkinson - Managing DirectorChuck Magro - CEODavid Johnson - EVP and CFOJudd O'Connor - EVP, Seed Business UnitKim Booth - Head of Investor RelationsRobert King - EVP, Crop Protection Business UnitConference Call ParticipantsEdlain Rodriguez - Senior Equity AnalystOperatorThank you for standing by. My name is Kate, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to ...

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Core Insights - Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.21 per share, reflecting a decline of 34.4% year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to reach $4.23 billion, indicating a 6.3% increase compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 3.3%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts of their initial forecasts [2] - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3] Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenue- Crop Protection' to be $2.42 billion, a year-over-year increase of 9.8% [5] - 'Revenue- Seed' is projected to reach $1.82 billion, reflecting a 2.6% increase year-over-year [5] - 'Revenue- Seed- Other oilseeds' is expected to be $89.86 million, indicating a 3.3% increase from the previous year [5] Segment Analysis - 'Revenue- Crop Protection- Herbicides' is forecasted at $1.14 billion, a 10.9% increase year-over-year [6] - 'Revenue- Crop Protection- Insecticides' is expected to reach $557.11 million, reflecting a 13.7% increase [6] - 'Revenue- Crop Protection- Fungicides' is projected at $357.43 million, indicating an 11.7% year-over-year change [6] Additional Revenue Insights - 'Revenue- Crop Protection- Other' is estimated at $213.87 million, a 9.1% increase year-over-year [7] - 'Revenue- Seed- Soybean' is expected to be $155.13 million, showing a slight increase of 0.7% [7] - 'Revenue- Seed- Corn' is projected to reach $1.41 billion, indicating a minor decline of 0.1% [7] Operating Metrics - 'Operating EBITDA- Seed' is expected to be $106.13 million, compared to $93.00 million from the previous year [8] - 'Operating EBITDA- Crop Protection' is projected at $430.49 million, down from $461.00 million year-over-year [8] Market Performance - Corteva, Inc. shares have returned +9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a +0.8% change [9] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating expectations to outperform the overall market in the near future [9]

Company Overview - The PLANTERS brand, founded in 1906, has been a leading snacking solution with a diverse portfolio including peanuts, nut mixes, and seeds [7] - PLANTERS has been owned by Hormel Foods Corporation since 2021, which generates approximately $12 billion in annual revenue and is a member of the S&P 500 Index [9] Marketing and Brand Engagement - The NUTmobile serves as a mobile public relations tool, generating millions of media impressions and engaging with fans through local media [1] - The brand is currently seeking college graduates to become "Peanutters," who will act as brand ambassadors and storytellers while traveling across the country [2][3] - Last year's Peanutters traveled to 46 states and interacted with over 160,000 people, enhancing brand visibility and consumer engagement [3] Employment Opportunities - The Peanutters role offers a unique experience, including an annual salary, full-time benefits, and travel stipends, while providing real-world marketing and PR experience [3][4] - After their tour, Peanutters have the opportunity to apply for full-time positions at Hormel Foods [4] Brand Identity and Community Engagement - The PLANTERS brand emphasizes fun and creativity, aiming to create memorable experiences for consumers through engaging marketing strategies [3][5] - The iconic MR. PEANUT character and the NUTmobile are central to the brand's identity, appealing to consumers' sense of nostalgia and enjoyment [7]

Group 1 - The meeting emphasized the importance of agricultural modernization through technological innovation, aligning with the directives from Xi Jinping regarding rural work and the development of a strong agricultural province in Jiangsu [1][2] - The provincial government aims to integrate research, manufacturing, and promotion in key areas such as seeds, agricultural machinery, and marine fisheries, focusing on a "five excellence" strategy to enhance agricultural productivity [2] - Policies and financial support will be optimized to encourage more enterprises and young individuals to engage in agricultural modernization, thereby strengthening the agricultural sector [2][3] Group 2 - The establishment of the joint innovation center for seed technology was announced, highlighting collaboration between agricultural research institutions and enterprises [3] - Expert lectures were conducted by academicians from the Chinese Academy of Engineering, indicating a focus on knowledge sharing and expertise in agricultural technology [3] - The meeting included experience sharing from various agricultural companies, showcasing successful practices and innovations in the sector [3]

Group 1: Mission Produce, Inc. Overview - Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) has achieved a 10% revenue growth, indicating a rebound in a business historically affected by pricing volatility and supply-driven fluctuations [2][9] - The growth is primarily driven by stronger avocado volumes, supported by global sourcing and improved supply chain consistency, along with increasing contributions from blueberries and mangoes [3][9] - The company is leveraging its vertically integrated platform across multiple fruit categories, reducing reliance on any single crop or region [3] Group 2: Growth Sustainability and Strategy - Sustaining multi-segment growth will depend on execution and market conditions, as newer categories may carry higher costs and margin variability [4] - Mission Produce's focus on volume growth, per-unit margin discipline, and operational efficiency suggests a more balanced growth profile is developing [4] - If the company can continue to scale its non-avocado segments while maintaining profitability, the recent revenue increase may indicate the beginning of a broader, more resilient growth trajectory [4] Group 3: Market Performance and Valuation - Mission Produce shares have increased by 12.1% over the last six months, outperforming the industry growth of 0.1% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.30X, significantly higher than the industry average of 15.57X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVO's fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 10.13%, while fiscal 2027 indicates growth of 4.23% [11]

Group 1 - Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE: SMG) is recognized as a strong investment opportunity in the fertilizer sector, with a Buy rating reaffirmed by William Blair analyst Jon Andersen based on the company's promising 2026 guidance [1] - The company anticipates consumer sales growth in the low single digits, which is expected to enhance gross margins and maintain a leverage ratio in the 3s, with achievable projections and potential for further gross margin improvements [2] - Analysts project that Scotts Miracle-Gro will achieve an EBITDA of $700 million by 2028, driven by sales growth of 2%-3% and an EBITDA margin of 20% [2] Group 2 - The company supports President Trump's executive order to reschedule cannabis from a Schedule 1 to Schedule III drug, which is expected to bolster the regulated cannabis industry and contribute approximately $100 billion to the economy [3] - The rescheduling is anticipated to benefit Scotts Miracle-Gro's subsidiary, Hawthorne Gardening Company, which supplies products to legal cannabis operations, despite previous declines in capital spending from cannabis companies [4] - Scotts Miracle-Gro is a leading manufacturer and marketer of branded consumer products for lawn and garden care, including fertilizers, pesticides, seeds, and hydroponic growing supplies [5]

Core Insights - Corteva Inc. has entered a multi-million-dollar joint venture with Hexagon Bio to develop new crop protection solutions inspired by nature [1][2] - The partnership aims to combine Corteva's billion-dollar nature-inspired crop protection franchises with Hexagon Bio's natural product discovery platform, utilizing microbial genetics, AI, chemistry, and synthetic biology [2] - The collaboration is expected to enhance Corteva's crop protection innovation and meet the growing demand for sustainable agricultural solutions [3] Company Overview - Corteva, Inc. is a global pure-play agriculture company that offers innovative seed, crop protection products, and digital solutions to enhance productivity and sustainability in farming [4] - The company's innovations include nitrogen stabilizers, phosphorus-unlocking microbes, and nutrient-guidance platforms, which help improve yields and soil health while reducing fertilizer use [4] Market Analysis - Citi analyst Patrick Cunningham has reaffirmed a Hold rating on Corteva with a price target of $70, while Jefferies has reiterated a Buy rating with a price target of $85 [3] - The positive outlook from analysts follows the European Union's provisional agreement on new genomic techniques, which is expected to accelerate product launches significantly [3]

Company Performance - Hardman Johnston Global Equity Strategy reported a portfolio return of 5.02% for Q3 2025, underperforming the MSCI AC World Net Index which returned 7.62% [1] - Corteva, Inc. (NYSE:CTVA) experienced a one-month return of 1.35% and a 52-week gain of 19.24%, closing at $67.44 per share with a market capitalization of $45.799 billion on December 26, 2025 [2] Company Challenges - Corteva, Inc. was identified as a top individual detractor from relative performance, with shares declining due to plans to separate into two distinct businesses: Seeds and Crop Protection Chemicals [3] - Concerns arose regarding the potential for additional value creation as shares were already trading at a premium, compounded by ongoing headwinds such as increased regulatory scrutiny and challenging comparisons following record-high U.S. corn acreage [3] Hedge Fund Interest - Corteva, Inc. was held by 57 hedge fund portfolios at the end of Q3 2025, an increase from 52 in the previous quarter, indicating growing interest among hedge funds [4] - Despite this interest, the company is not listed among the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds, with the company being compared unfavorably to certain AI stocks that are perceived to offer greater upside potential and less downside risk [4]

Group 1 - The discussion highlights the profitability issues faced by farmers, particularly regarding machinery and fertilizer costs, which are influenced by imports from countries like Canada [5][6][8] - There is a plan to bolster domestic fertilizer production through severe tariffs on foreign imports, aiming to make fertilizer more affordable for American farmers [6][7] - The administration emphasizes the need to address skyrocketing input costs that are affecting farmers, while foreign-owned companies in the meatpacking sector continue to profit significantly [8][9] Group 2 - The administration expresses a preference for homegrown produce over cheaper foreign alternatives, although some products cannot be grown domestically due to climate limitations [11] - There is a focus on making American farmers stronger, with discussions around potential tariff revenue to provide additional relief [12][13] - The administration claims that the current economic situation is favorable, with significant investments flowing into the country, amounting to $18 trillion, which is unprecedented [21][22] Group 3 - Concerns are raised about the impact of Obamacare on health care premiums, with expectations that 22 million Americans will see their insurance costs rise due to expiring subsidies [23][24] - The administration's plan involves redirecting funds from insurance companies to individuals, allowing them to purchase their own health care, which is positioned as a more favorable approach [26][27][36] - The administration criticizes the current health care system as being overly beneficial to insurance companies, which have seen significant stock price increases [25][35] Group 4 - The discussion touches on the challenges faced in appointing U.S. attorneys due to the blue slip process, which is seen as a barrier to appointing qualified candidates [39][40] - The administration expresses frustration over the inability to appoint Republican U.S. attorneys in states with Democrat senators, highlighting a perceived imbalance in the political appointment process [41][42] - There is a call for reforming the blue slip process to allow for a more equitable appointment of U.S. attorneys, emphasizing the need for highly qualified candidates [43]