First Quarter ended December 27, 2025 Quarterly Earnings Report Supplemental Financial Presentation January 28, 2026 Please view this presentation in conjunction with our Q1 2026 earnings release, which is furnished on Form 8-K, our related pre-recorded remarks and additional information regarding our non-GAAP financial measures, including GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations, available on our website at https://investor.scotts.com. 1 Safe Harbor Disclosure Statements contained in this presentation, which addre ...

Group 1 - ICL Group Ltd has expanded into the global food ingredient segment by acquiring Bartek Ingredients for approximately $90 million, with the first phase of the acquisition expected to close in Q1 2026 [1][2] - Bartek Ingredients operates the only vertically integrated production facilities for maleic anhydride and food-grade malic and fumaric acid in North America, generating annual revenue of $65 million [2] - The acquisition aligns with ICL's refined strategy focusing on specialty crop nutrition and specialty food solutions, indicating a commitment to long-term value and sustainable growth for shareholders [3] Group 2 - Analysts at Barclays have reiterated a Hold rating for ICL Group Ltd, setting a price target of $6, highlighting the company's role as a key player in agriculture through its focus on potash and phosphate-based fertilizers [4]

Group 1 - SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc (NYSE:SITE) is recognized as a leading investment opportunity in the fertilizer sector, with BofA Securities initiating coverage with a Buy rating and a price target of $147 [1] - The company holds an 18% market share in a fragmented market, indicating significant growth potential, and BofA believes that consensus estimates may underestimate the EBITDA margin upside due to improvements at its focus branches [2] - EBITDA estimates for SiteOne for 2026 and 2027 are projected to be 3% and 5% above consensus, respectively, driven by expectations of improved EBITDA margins [3] Group 2 - Barclays analysts upgraded SiteOne's stock to EqualWeight from Underweight, raising the price target from $120 to $134, citing significant progress in SG&A management and favorable pricing despite deflationary commodity conditions [4] - SiteOne is the largest national wholesale distributor of landscape, irrigation, and nursery supplies in the U.S. and Canada, offering a wide range of products to green industry professionals [5]

Group 1 - Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE: SMG) is recognized as a strong investment opportunity in the fertilizer sector, with a Buy rating reaffirmed by William Blair analyst Jon Andersen based on the company's promising 2026 guidance [1] - The company anticipates consumer sales growth in the low single digits, which is expected to enhance gross margins and maintain a leverage ratio in the 3s, with achievable projections and potential for further gross margin improvements [2] - Analysts project that Scotts Miracle-Gro will achieve an EBITDA of $700 million by 2028, driven by sales growth of 2%-3% and an EBITDA margin of 20% [2] Group 2 - The company supports President Trump's executive order to reschedule cannabis from a Schedule 1 to Schedule III drug, which is expected to bolster the regulated cannabis industry and contribute approximately $100 billion to the economy [3] - The rescheduling is anticipated to benefit Scotts Miracle-Gro's subsidiary, Hawthorne Gardening Company, which supplies products to legal cannabis operations, despite previous declines in capital spending from cannabis companies [4] - Scotts Miracle-Gro is a leading manufacturer and marketer of branded consumer products for lawn and garden care, including fertilizers, pesticides, seeds, and hydroponic growing supplies [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Ukrainian government has extended the import ban on Russian goods for another year, reflecting ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic measures against Russia [1] Group 1: Import Ban Details - The first resolution extends the import ban on certain Russian goods until December 31, 2026 [1] - The second resolution extends the tariff imposition on Russian products for the same duration [1] - The banned items include meat, fish, coffee, tea, chocolate, baby food, animal feed, alcoholic beverages, and cigarettes, as well as various industrial products, vehicles, fertilizers, and agricultural products [1]

Company Overview - The Andersons is a materially stronger company poised for continued profitable growth, with a balanced, diversified portfolio rooted in North American ag and renewables supply chains[11] - The company reported revenue of $116 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $317 million for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2025[20] - Adjusted EPS was $256 for the same period[20] - The company expects run-rate EPS to reach $700 by 2028[64] Agribusiness Segment - The Agribusiness segment's adjusted EBITDA was $195 million for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2025, representing 53% of the company's total adjusted EBITDA[20, 69] - The segment traded 33 million tonnes of commodities and sold 19 million tons of fertilizer[69] - The segment has 275 million bushels of grain storage capacity[69] Renewables Segment - The Renewables segment's adjusted EBITDA was $175 million for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2025, representing 47% of the company's total adjusted EBITDA[20, 103] - The segment produced 506 million gallons of ethanol at 4 facilities[103] - The segment merchandised 335 million gallons of 3rd-party ethanol[103] Financial Strategy - The company has a long-term debt to EBITDA target of less than 25x[197] - The company deployed approximately $11 billion in capital, with 45% allocated to capital expenditures and 45% to return cash to shareholders[200] - The company anticipates $30 million - $35 million annual impact from 45Z tax credit in 2025, increasing to $90 million - $100 million annually from 2026-2028, cumulating to $300 million+[210]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: The conference call primarily discusses the implications of China's anti-involution policy on various sectors, particularly those facing overcapacity such as cement, steel, chemicals, alumina, lithium-ion batteries, new energy vehicles, and solar cells [3][34]. - **Economic Context**: The anti-involution policy aims to address issues of overcapacity, price wars, and margin erosion in China, pushing local producers to seek alternative overseas markets due to high inventories and price declines [1][9]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Overcapacity Issues**: Significant overcapacity is noted in sectors like cement, steel, chemicals, and aluminium, with specific vulnerabilities identified in fertilisers, household appliances, and integrated circuits [3][34]. - **Export Dynamics**: The movement of goods from China is expected to accelerate, with exports expanding to more sectors by 2026 as domestic demand remains sluggish [2][10]. - **Five-Year Plans**: The analysis of China's Five-Year Plans reveals a strategic focus on manufacturing and industrial production capacity, which has contributed to global oversupply and aggressive price undercutting in various sectors [15][16]. - **Export Performance**: Emerging sectors such as new energy vehicles and solar cells are experiencing significant export growth, with NEVs seeing a 688% increase in exports, while solar cells have surged by 170% [20][62]. Sector-Specific Observations - **Cement**: Exports increased by 105% due to producers seeking overseas markets amid declining domestic demand. However, enforcement of capacity controls may not fully alleviate oversupply pressures [63]. - **Fertilisers and Chemicals**: Fertiliser exports have declined sharply, particularly urea, due to government policies prioritising domestic supply. The value of exports surged due to global supply constraints [64][65]. - **Steel**: Steel exports rose by 75%, indicating a significant drop in domestic consumption. The shift towards higher-value products is noted, but overcapacity remains a risk [67][68]. - **Household Appliances**: Exports grew by 26%, driven by advancements in smart technology. Companies like Midea and Xiaomi are expanding overseas to mitigate domestic challenges [58][59]. - **Lithium-Ion Batteries**: Exports increased by 26%, with CATL positioned to benefit from rising demand, although competition is intensifying [42][45]. Additional Important Insights - **Price Trends**: Broad-based declines in the Producer Price Index (PPI) across upstream industries signal oversupply and weak demand, particularly in coal, petroleum, and steel [28][29]. - **Global Competition**: The rapid expansion of Chinese companies in international markets may lead to increased pricing competition and contribute to oversupply pressures globally [59]. - **Policy Implications**: The anti-involution campaign is expected to reshape competitive dynamics, encouraging firms to focus on innovation and brand strength rather than price wars [54]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and data points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the challenges and opportunities within the Chinese industrial landscape.

Core Insights - Nutrien Ltd. (NYSE:NTR) is recognized as one of the best Canadian dividend stocks for long-term investment [1] - Wells Fargo initiated coverage of Nutrien with an Equal Weight rating and a price target of $64, slightly reduced from $65, despite strong Q3 results [2] - Analysts maintain a positive long-term outlook for Nutrien due to increasing global food demand and the company's unique position in supplying essential nutrients [3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Nutrien reported net earnings of $1.7 billion and generated adjusted EBITDA of $4.8 billion for the first nine months of the year [4] - The increase in adjusted EBITDA was driven by improved fertilizer selling prices, stronger upstream fertilizer volumes, and better performance in the Retail segment [4] - The company prioritized shareholder returns, distributing approximately $1.2 billion through dividends and buybacks during the same nine-month period [4] Company Overview - Nutrien operates as the world's largest producer and distributor of crop inputs, supplying fertilizers and seeds, along with a variety of agricultural retail services [5]

Trade Policy Adjustment - The US government rolled back tariffs on various everyday staples, including coffee, tea, tropical fruits, cocoa, spices, bananas, oranges, tomatoes, certain beef types, and fertilizers [1] - The US government exempted these items due to limited domestic production [2][3] - Critics question the initial imposition of tariffs on these items [3] Revenue and Rebate Program - The President touted billions of dollars in revenue generated from tariffs [4] - A proposed $2,000 rebate check program for Americans requires congressional approval [4] - The timing for the distribution of these checks is projected for sometime next year [4]

Fiscal Year 2025 Performance - The company met or exceeded all previously provided financial guidance[21] - The company's share of the total Lawn & Garden category increased by 1%[21, 24] - Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA grew by $71 million, a 14% increase, reaching $581 million[21] - Non-GAAP adjusted EPS grew by 63% to $3.74 per share[21] - Free cash flow was $274 million in excess of Non-GAAP adjusted earnings[21] - Debt paydown of $120 million drove interest expense down by $30 million, reducing the leverage ratio to 4.1x[21] - Full year net sales reached $3.41 billion, a 4% decrease compared to the previous year[62] Q4 2025 Performance - Net sales were $387.4 million, a 7% decrease compared to Q4 2024[59] - Adjusted gross margin rate improved by 1,030 bps to 7.2%[59] - Adjusted net loss was $(113.1) million, an improvement compared to $(131.5) million in Q4 2024[59] Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook - The company expects low single-digit sales growth in the U S Consumer segment[87] - The company anticipates a non-GAAP adjusted gross margin rate of at least 32%[86, 87] - The company projects adjusted EPS to be between $4.15 and $4.35 per share[87]