28 May 2025 | 7:31PM BST Big Yellow (BYG.L) Subdued demand environment; Neutral BYG.L 12m Price Target: 1,110p Price: 987p Upside: 12.5% Post Big Yellow's FY24/25 results, we update our adj. EPS by 0% to -2% for FY26E to FY28E. We are -1% / -5% below Visible Alpha Consensus Data for FY26E / FY27E as we expect limited occupancy improvements in the near term. Our NTA/sh forecasts decrease by -2%. Our 12m PT is unchanged at 1,110p, implying 12% upside potential; we maintain our Neutral rating. Revenue growth c ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a fourth quarter loss of $82.3 million compared to a loss of $0.863 million for the same quarter last year [9] - Full year fiscal 2025 earnings were $367.1 million, down from $628.7 million in fiscal 2024 [9] - EBITDA for the Moving and Storage segment increased by $5.6 million for the quarter to $217.3 million, largely from revenue growth [9] - Full year fiscal 2025 EBITDA increased by just under $52 million to $1.6197 billion [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Equipment rental revenue increased by $29 million or just over 4% in the fourth quarter, with a full year increase of just over $100 million or about 2.8% [12] - Self-storage revenues were up $18 million or 8% for the quarter, with a similar 8% increase for the full year [14] - Average revenue per occupied foot improved by approximately 1.6%, with a 3% increase for the same store portfolio [14] - The average occupancy ratio across all locations declined about 2.5% to just over 77% [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company defleeted three-quarters of its pickup fleet due to profitability concerns [5] - Resale prices for vans and pickups are steady or improving, with expectations for a clearer path beyond October [6] - U Box revenue results were up just under $14 million, with both U Box moving transactions and related storage transactions growing [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to provide reliable, fuel-efficient vehicles and is seeking emissions regulation relief to better serve customers [5] - There is a focus on executing storage programs with precision, as storage remains a bright spot for the company [6] - The company plans to leverage its newly developed storage capacity and U Box offerings to drive growth [47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted signs of consumer optimism and a willingness to accept rate increases, indicating a potential for improved business [25] - Concerns were raised about the impact of tariffs on consumer behavior, but management observed that moving activity remains strong [56] - The company expects to see improvements in equipment acquisition costs as automakers normalize their production strategies [31] Other Important Information - Capital expenditures for new rental equipment for fiscal 2025 were $1.863 billion, a $244 million increase compared to fiscal 2024 [13] - Operating expenses in the Moving and Storage segment increased by $53.6 million, with personnel costs up $12.8 million [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Interpretation of fourth quarter strength - Management acknowledged the fourth quarter as the strongest in six years, indicating a positive trend in top-line business [24][25] Question: Outlook for top-line growth - Management expressed optimism for modest growth, with signs of consumer willingness to engage in moving transactions [25][26] Question: Concerns about depreciation - Management clarified that while depreciation is a normal part of the business, recent increases in equipment acquisition costs have impacted financials [28][30] Question: U Box growth attribution - Management noted that U Box moving transactions are growing faster than storage transactions, with both segments seeing over 20% growth [41][42] Question: Real estate investments and CapEx expectations - Management indicated that while there is no emergency need for construction, they will continue to leverage existing assets for growth [46][47] Question: Impact of tariffs on customer behavior - Management observed that despite potential uncertainties from tariffs, moving activity remains strong, suggesting consumer confidence [56] Question: Fleet age and maintenance expenses - Management indicated that while fleet age has increased, they are working to improve the quality and availability of their trucks [85][90]

National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 06, 2025 01:00 PM ET Company Participants George Hoglund - VP - IRDavid Cramer - President, CEO & TrusteeBrandon Togashi - EVP & CFOEric Wolfe - DirectorSamir Khanal - DirectorRobin Haneland - Senior Equity Research AssociateMichael Griffin - DirectorSalil Mehta - Equity Research AssociateRonald Kamdem - Managing Director & Head of US REITs and CRE ResearchRavi Vaidya - Vice PresidentOmotayo Okusanya - Managing Director Conference Call Partic ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported FFO per share of $0.64, which was a penny above the high end of guidance [6][10] - Same store revenue growth decreased by 0.4% year over year, an improvement from a decline of 1.6% in the previous quarter [8][10] - Average occupancy for the same store portfolio was down 50 basis points to 89.5%, narrowing from a decline of 120 basis points in the fourth quarter [9][10] - Same store operating expenses grew by only 0.6% year over year, better than expectations [10][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company closed on the acquisition of the remaining 80% interest in a joint venture, acquiring a portfolio of 28 early-stage lease-up stores [11] - The third-party management platform added 33 stores, ending the quarter with 869 third-party stores under management [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong markets such as New York City boroughs, Chicago, and Washington D.C. continue to show strength, while supply-impacted markets like Northern New Jersey, Phoenix, and Atlanta are stabilizing [7][12] - In Texas markets, Dallas is facing challenges due to supply and pricing decisions, while Austin shows signs of recovery [34][35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on optimizing its platform while maintaining high customer service standards [6][10] - The management expressed confidence in the long-term health of the self-storage industry due to the quality and geographic diversity of its portfolio [7][12] - The company is cautious about the economic environment, maintaining a conservative outlook for gradual improvement in operational metrics in 2025 [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted uncertainty in the economy affecting consumer decisions, which could impact storage demand [13] - The company does not foresee improvement in the housing market and expects a gradual recovery without sharp reacceleration [13] - Management highlighted the resilience of the self-storage business, noting that demand drivers include everyday life events and business needs [18][19] Other Important Information - The balance sheet remains strong with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.8 times [12] - The company is monitoring the impact of macroeconomic factors on its operations and is prepared to adjust strategies accordingly [13][54] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the drivers of demand in the current environment? - Management indicated that demand is driven by everyday life events and business needs, despite a slow housing market [18] Question: What was occupancy in April? - Occupancy ended at 89.9% in April, showing a slight improvement [21] Question: How does the company view the leasing season? - Management expects a muted leasing season compared to pre-pandemic levels, with no significant growth anticipated [30] Question: What is the outlook for Texas markets? - Management noted that while Austin is recovering, Dallas faces challenges due to supply and competitive pricing [34][35] Question: How is the company managing expenses? - The company has been proactive in managing staffing and operational expenses, leading to better-than-expected results [50] Question: What is the strategy for acquisitions? - The company is open to acquisitions but faces challenges due to market volatility and seller expectations [53][54] Question: How does the company view potential recession impacts? - Management believes the self-storage business is resilient during economic downturns, with demand potentially increasing due to life changes [88][90]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a core FFO per share growth of more than 2% for the quarter, with a 200 basis point improvement sequentially compared to the previous quarter [6][15]. - Same store occupancy gap improved from down 80 basis points at the end of December to down 30 basis points by the end of March [6]. - Revenue growth in the same store pool turned positive after two years of deceleration, while revenue growth in the non-same store pool accelerated to nearly 11% [6][14]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Move-in volumes increased over 2%, indicating stronger customer conversion and engagement [5]. - Same store revenues turned positive after three consecutive quarters of declines, driven by higher rental rates [14]. - Same store expenses were well controlled, with only 30 basis points of growth, attributed to operational initiatives and moderated advertising spend [14]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted favorable industry dynamics, stating that self-storage is resilient to changing economic conditions due to its needs-based nature [9][10]. - Move-in rents have declined significantly, aligning with levels not seen since February 2013, which positions the company to benefit from rising rents and occupancy in an improving demand environment [11]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on digital transformation, with 85% of customer interactions now digital, and is utilizing AI to optimize staffing [7]. - The acquisition strategy is active, with $184 million in properties acquired or under contract, significantly ahead of the previous year's $35 million [8][12]. - The company is exploring international growth opportunities, exemplified by the proposal to acquire Abacus Storage King in Australia and New Zealand [8][12]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the self-storage industry, noting strong consumer trends and good payment patterns despite macroeconomic uncertainties [21][70]. - The company anticipates a 100 basis point impact on same store revenue growth due to fire-related pricing restrictions in Los Angeles, which will be back half weighted [15][48]. - Management is closely monitoring customer behavior and market conditions, indicating a cautious but optimistic outlook for the remainder of the year [70][71]. Other Important Information - The company expects retained cash flow to increase by 50% to approximately $600 million, which will be reinvested into development and acquisitions [13][108]. - The company is committed to maintaining operational efficiency through payroll optimizations and investments in solar power generation [88]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Level of conservatism in guidance - Management indicated that the guidance reflects a cautious outlook, with move-in rates down approximately 5% year-to-date, but positive trends in occupancy and move-in volumes were noted [20][22]. Question: Private capital raising environment for storage - Management acknowledged increased institutional interest in the sector, despite light transaction volumes in 2024 and early 2025 [25][26]. Question: Revenue indicators and advertising trends - Consistent positive trends in search and advertising indicators were reported, with year-over-year improvements in web visits and sales calls [31]. Question: Move-in rate strategy - Management explained that fluctuations in move-in rates are expected by market and month, with a focus on optimizing revenue [39][40]. Question: Development landscape and cost increases - The company noted a continued deceleration in national development completions, which is seen as healthy for the industry [42]. Question: Rent restrictions in LA - Management confirmed that the fire-related state of emergencies will last until early 2026, impacting revenue growth [47][48]. Question: Peak leasing season expectations - The company does not anticipate a significant uptick in peak leasing activity compared to previous years, given the current market conditions [50]. Question: ECRI program performance - The ECRI program is performing well, with stable price sensitivity and replacement costs observed [92]. Question: Business customer trends - Business customers make up approximately 15% of the portfolio, with no significant changes noted in their behavior [112][115].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a core FFO of $2 per share, representing a 2% increase year over year [4][11] - Same store occupancy remained at historically high levels, ending the quarter at 93.4%, an improvement of 100 basis points from Q1 2024 [4][11] - Same store revenue growth was positive at 0.3% [4] - Same store NOI decreased by 1.2% compared to Q1 2024 due to a divergence between controllable and uncontrollable costs [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company completed $153.8 million in wholly owned acquisitions, adding 12 high-quality stores to its portfolio [5] - The Management Plus platform added 113 stores gross, achieving a net addition of 100 properties, bringing the third-party managed portfolio to 1,675 stores [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that street rates improved from negative 9% in Q3 last year to negative 6% at year-end, with an average slightly negative in Q1 but flat by the end of the quarter [20] - Occupancy in April was reported at 93.7%, a slight increase from the end of Q1 [42] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a diversified portfolio with exposure to various market stages, which helps mitigate volatility [8] - The multichannel approach to external growth, including wholly owned acquisitions, joint ventures, bridge lending, and third-party management, continues to provide opportunities for expansion [7] - The company is focused on maximizing FFO through proven operational strategies and maintaining its industry-leading platform [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the self-storage sector's resilience during economic downturns due to its need-based demand drivers [7] - The company has not seen any change in customer health or behavior to date, with high same store occupancy and stable delinquency rates [9] - Management acknowledged concerns about interest rates and economic uncertainty but remains optimistic about the company's ability to execute its diversified investment strategy [7][9] Other Important Information - The company executed two bond offerings totaling $850 million, demonstrating continued access to public debt markets [12] - The company anticipates continued pressure from property taxes and uncontrollable costs, but expects to manage these through operational efficiencies [12][14] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the improvement in street rates? - Management noted that street rates improved from negative 9% to negative 6%, with a slight average negative in Q1 but flat by the end of the quarter [20] Question: What instructions are being given for the spring leasing season? - Management stated there has been no change in strategy, focusing on maximizing revenue through established systems and processes [25][26] Question: Can you provide an update on the performance of former Life Storage assets? - Management reported that rentals at former Life Storage stores are up 10.4%, with improvements in both organic and local search results [28][30] Question: What are the acquisition yields for the quarter? - Initial yields for acquisitions ranged from 2.3% to 6.5%, stabilizing in the upper 6% to 7% [35] Question: How is the company managing expenses? - Management indicated that controllable expenses were reduced by 1.9% year over year, while uncontrollable expenses increased by 8% due to property tax pressure [12][48] Question: What is the outlook for demand in various markets? - Management indicated that markets absorbing supply, such as Atlanta and some Florida markets, may face more difficulty compared to those with less supply [105] Question: How does the company view international expansion? - The company is open to international opportunities but requires that they be accretive and scalable [129]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a same store NOI growth of 4.2% for the quarter, with total NOI from the commercial real estate portfolio at $33.2 million, a 4.6% increase from Q1 of the previous year [9][14] - Total FFO was $0.36 per share for Q1 2025, which includes $0.06 from land operations and $0.30 from CRE and corporate [14][15] - G&A expenses decreased by $200,000 or 3.4% compared to the same period last year, totaling approximately $7 million [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company executed 42 leases representing approximately 237,000 square feet of GLA and $5.6 million of ABR [11] - Leased occupancy was 95.4%, up 80 basis points sequentially and 140 basis points year-over-year [12] - Economic occupancy at quarter end was 93.9%, reflecting a 100 basis point increase from the previous quarter and a 160 basis point increase from the same period last year [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company transferred a five-acre lot at Maui Business Park into its ground lease portfolio, signing a 75-year lease with a self-storage developer [10] - The ground lease transaction is expected to contribute nearly $0.01 in FFO for 2025 [10][27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on improving its CRE portfolio performance, pursuing internal and external growth, and streamlining its business and cost structure [9] - The management emphasized a commitment to a Hawaii-focused asset class diverse strategy, with the self-storage investment representing a strategic move into a new asset class [10][27] - The company is actively looking for additional growth opportunities despite macroeconomic uncertainties [17][43] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the current macroeconomic uncertainty but noted that tenant metrics remain positive, with no significant concerns reported from tenants [20][29] - The company is taking proactive measures to mitigate potential impacts from tariffs on construction costs by pre-purchasing materials [30][55] - Management expressed confidence in navigating challenges due to their experience and historical resilience [20] Other Important Information - The company raised its total FFO guidance to a range of $1.17 to $1.23 per share, while maintaining guidance for same store NOI growth of 2.4% to 3.2% [17] - The company paid a first-quarter dividend of $0.025 per share and declared a second-quarter dividend of the same amount [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide details on the self-storage transaction and the equity investment opportunity? - The self-storage deal involved converting non-income producing land into long-term rental income through a 75-year ground lease, with an opportunity to invest about 20% of the equity capital stack [24][27] Question: What are the current concerns from tenants regarding macroeconomic conditions? - Management reported no significant concerns from tenants, with leasing activity remaining robust despite some soft data discussions [29][38] Question: How does the company view its guidance in light of strong Q1 performance? - The company maintained a cautious approach in its guidance due to macroeconomic uncertainties, despite a strong Q1 performance [39][42] Question: Are there any anticipated fluctuations in occupancy or FFO due to move-outs? - Management indicated no known issues that would impact occupancy or FFO significantly for the remainder of the year [59] Question: Is there potential for additional legacy issues impacting future earnings? - While there is always a possibility of legacy issues arising, management does not anticipate any extraordinary impacts in the near term [65][66]

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