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Mizuho Securities sets a price target of $54 for DraftKings (NASDAQ:DKNG), indicating a potential upside of 63.88%.DraftKings and FanDuel experience over 20% stock price decline due to the rise of prediction markets.Despite challenges, DraftKings maintains a market capitalization of approximately $16.36 billion, showcasing its significant market presence.DraftKings (NASDAQ:DKNG) is a prominent player in the online sports betting and gaming industry. The company offers a range of products, including daily fa ...

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Core Insights - Allwyn has agreed to acquire a majority stake in PrizePicks, valuing the daily fantasy platform at $2.5 billion, amidst a chaotic U.S. gaming industry [1][4] Industry Overview - The U.S. gaming industry is experiencing significant turmoil, making it increasingly difficult to define and regulate sports gambling [1] - Prediction marketplaces like Kalshi are emerging, claiming to enable legal sports betting across all 50 states, while traditional fantasy sports brands are diversifying into conventional gaming and prediction markets [2] Company Performance - PrizePicks, founded in 2015, has become the largest daily fantasy sports operator in North America, operating in 45 states, with an adjusted EBITDA of $339 million for the year ending June 2025, reflecting a 60% increase from the previous year [3] Transaction Details - Allwyn will purchase 62.3% of PrizePicks for $1.6 billion in cash, with potential additional payments based on performance metrics, leading to an implied enterprise value of $4.15 billion [4] - The investment is expected to close in the first half of 2026, with PrizePicks continuing to operate as a standalone brand under its current leadership [8] Competitive Landscape - The current uncertainty in sports betting mirrors the rise of daily fantasy sports a decade ago, where companies like FanDuel and DraftKings transitioned to sports betting, allowing smaller operators to gain market share [5] - Competitor Underdog has recently raised funding, valuing the company at $1.23 billion, and is also expanding into sports betting and prediction markets [6] Allwyn's Strategic Moves - Allwyn, based in Switzerland, has a diverse portfolio that includes lottery games, iGaming, and retail casinos, and has made significant investments in the U.S. gaming market [7]

Core Insights - StubHub's gross merchandise sales (GMS) increased from $4.8 billion in 2022 to $8.7 billion in 2024, with revenues growing from approximately $1 billion to $1.8 billion during the same period [1][2] - The company is planning to raise around $850 million through an IPO, selling 34,042,553 Class A shares at an expected price range of $22 to $25 per share, which would value the company at about $9.2 billion [3] - StubHub aims to expand its business beyond secondary ticketing into primary ticket issuance, advertising, sports merchandising, and sports betting, with a valuation of its North American secondary ticketing business at approximately $17.5 billion [9][11] Financial Performance - StubHub reported a net income of $405.2 million in 2023, but net losses of $261 million in 2021 and $2.8 million in 2024 [6] - The company generated positive cash flow from operations, with net cash flow from operating activities turning positive at $261.5 million in 2024, up from a negative $47.5 million in 2022 [6] - StubHub's cash balance at the end of 2024 was about $1 billion, which is half of its long-term debt of $2.3 billion, indicating a negative working capital balance of $1.04 billion [7] Market Position and Strategy - StubHub operates the largest global secondary ticketing marketplace, facilitating ticket sales in over 90 countries and supporting 33 languages and 48 currencies [8] - The company is focusing on signing more rights holders to make its platform the primary outlet for initial ticket sales, as seen in recent agreements with the Association of Volleyball Professionals and the Outside Lands festival [10] - StubHub is also exploring new revenue channels, including advertising, sports merchandising, and potential entry into the wider market for tours and attractions [11][12] Competitive Landscape - StubHub faces significant competition from established players like Ticketmaster in secondary ticketing, and from companies like DraftKings and Fanatics in sports betting [13] - The company must navigate challenges such as dependence on high-profile events and potential reductions in discretionary spending among consumers due to economic uncertainties [14] Strategic Focus - While StubHub has a strong brand in secondary ticket sales, it should prioritize growing this core business and be cautious about diversifying into other areas to avoid overextension [15] - The company's effective working capital management and rising revenues position it as a suitable investment candidate, provided it maintains focus on its primary business [16]

Core Viewpoint - The NFL season's return is positively impacting DraftKings, with the company experiencing record numbers in sports betting, which is expected to boost its stock performance in the near term [1][3]. Industry Overview - The sports betting industry was valued at $100.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 11% from 2025 to 2030, reaching $187.39 billion [4]. - Legal betting in the U.S. is forecasted to grow by 8.5% during the current NFL season, amounting to $30 billion [9]. Company Performance - DraftKings' stock has increased over 26% in 2025 and has gained nearly 45% since its year-to-date bottom on April 4 [3][4]. - The company reported Q2 earnings with an EPS of 30 cents, surpassing analysts' expectations of 16 cents, and revenue of $1.51 billion, exceeding the forecast of $1.39 billion [10]. - Engagement on social media increased by 200% year-over-year in Q2 2025, and sportsbook net revenue rose by 45% year-over-year [11]. Financial Health - DraftKings has significantly reduced its losses, from $1.523 billion in 2021 to $507 million last year, a nearly 67% decrease [12]. - The company achieved a turnaround in net cash flow from operating activities, moving from a $420 million loss in 2021 to a $418 million gain in 2024, representing a 199.28% increase [13]. Stock Forecast - Analysts have a consensus price target of $55.12 for DraftKings, indicating a potential upside of 20.16% from the current price of $43.98 [14][16]. - The company has repurchased 6.5 million shares in the first two quarters of the year, indicating confidence in its financial position [15].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company recorded normalized EBITDA of $11,200,000, representing a $13,000,000 improvement compared to the previous corresponding period (PCP) [10] - Group revenue increased by 6% to $261,400,000, with gross profit rising to $137,000,000, up from $126,000,000, resulting in a gross profit margin of 52.4% [19][20] - The group achieved a record number of rolling twelve-month cash actives at 295,800, marking a significant milestone [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Australia, revenue reached $218,500,000, a 3% increase from the PCP, with gross profit also at a record of $114,500,000, up 2% [11] - The Australian business achieved a statutory segment EBITDA of $30,100,000, reflecting a 12% increase from the PCP [13] - In Canada, net win grew by 26% to $43,000,000, with sports betting net win at $17,000,000, up 11%, and iGaming net win at $26,000,000, increasing by 39% [16][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Australian wagering market experienced a material decline, estimated at around 7% for FY 2025, despite PointsBet gaining market share [26][27] - The Canadian market showed strong growth momentum, with a significant increase in cash active clients by 30% to 58,004 [17][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - PointsBet is focused on enhancing its mass market recreational segments in both Australia and Canada to create a more diversified and sustainable revenue base [10] - The company is actively encouraging reforms in the wagering industry regarding advertising, aiming for a sustainable framework that leverages digital and social media platforms [14][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the Australian market has not grown at a net win level, indicating challenges ahead but expressed hope for a return to growth based on recent positive trends [26][27] - The company anticipates continued market growth tailwinds in the regulated Canadian market, particularly with Alberta expected to go live [18] Other Important Information - PointsBet's board has recommended shareholders accept the MiXi Australia takeover offer, which provides a 50.6% cash premium over the share price prior to the announcement [4][6] - The company paid $115,300,000 in taxes and fees to Australian governments and sports bodies, representing 47.9% of its net win for the year [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the estimated decline in the Australian wagering market for FY 2025? - Management agreed with estimates of around 7% decline, noting that the last quarter showed some positive margins for operators, indicating potential for future growth [26][27] Question: What are the next steps if MiXi exceeds 50.1% ownership? - If MiXi achieves over 50.1% before the offer closes, it will trigger a two-week extension for the offer [28][29]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company recorded normalized EBITDA of $11.2 million, a $13 million improvement compared to the previous corresponding period (PCP) [10] - Group revenue increased by 6% to $261.4 million, with gross profit rising to $137 million, up from $126 million, resulting in a gross profit margin of 52.4% [18][19] - The gross profit margin decreased by 0.4 percentage points compared to the PCP [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Australia, revenue reached a record $218.5 million, up 3% from the PCP, with gross profit also at a record $114.5 million, up 2% [11] - The Australian gross win margin improved by 1.8 percentage points to 13.6%, while the net win margin increased by 1 percentage point to 10.4% [12] - In Canada, net win grew by 26% to $43 million, with sports betting net win at $17 million, up 11%, and iGaming net win at $26 million, up 39% [15][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Australian wagering market experienced a material decline, estimated at around 7% for the year, despite PointsBet gaining market share [26] - The Canadian market showed strong turnover growth, maintaining PointsBet's net win market share [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - PointsBet aims to diversify its revenue base by focusing on mass market recreational segments in both Australia and Canada [10] - The company is actively encouraging reforms in the wagering industry regarding advertising to leverage digital and social media platforms [14] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the Australian market has not grown at a net win level, but there are signs of improvement in the last quarter [26] - The company expects continued market growth tailwinds in the regulated Canadian market [17] Other Important Information - PointsBet paid $115.3 million in taxes and fees to Australian governments and racing bodies, representing 47.9% of its net win for the year [14] - The company had $22.7 million in corporate cash and net assets of $6 million as of June 30, 2025 [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the estimated decline in the Australian wagering market for FY 2025? - Management agreed with estimates of around 7% decline, noting that the last quarter showed some positive margins for operators [26] Question: What are the next steps if MiXi increases above 50.1%? - If MiXi goes through 50.1% before the offer closes, it would trigger a two-week extension for the offer [28][29]

For personal use only FY25 : RESULTS PRESENTATION | August 29 2025 N B C U N I V E R S A L M E D I A P A R T N E R S H I P & F Y 2 0 R E S U L T S P R E S E N T A T I O N │ A U G U S T 2 0 2 0 FY25 RESULTS PRESENTATION AUG 2025 IMPORTANT NOTICE AND DISCLAIMER This document and any oral presentation accompanying it has been prepared in good faith, however, no express or implied representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information in this document, in any accompanying pres ...

Welcome to the brainstorm episode 99. We're there and we're tackling subjects that Nick is an expert on. Not just an expert, an a not no not an addict, an avid fan.We're talking about >> really throwing me under the bus early on here. >> No, no, no. We're talking about Robin Hood and Khi partnering up.Um, you know, we talk about Poly Market a lot on here. less so Khi. So maybe you want to give Kalshi's background and what the announcement was.>> Yeah. So Khi is one of the main US players in the prediction m ...