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Will Digital Engagement Drive Starbucks' Customer Spend Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 17:36
Core Insights - Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) is enhancing its digital ecosystem to boost transactions, increase ticket size, and improve customer experience [1] Group 1: Customer Engagement and Loyalty - In Q3 of fiscal 2025, Starbucks reported nearly 34 million 90-day active Rewards members in the U.S., with non-discounted transactions growing within this base [2] - The U.S. ticket size increased by 2% as the company reduced discounted transactions by about one-third, indicating stronger spending without heavy promotions [2][5] Group 2: Operational Improvements - Starbucks is implementing operational enhancements such as Green Apron Service and SmartQ to improve order speed and accuracy, achieving faster handoffs with about 80% of in-cafe orders completed in under four minutes [3] - Drive-thru times are below four minutes, and Mobile Order and Pay transactions are delivered more accurately and on time [3] Group 3: Future Plans and Digital Upgrades - The company plans further digital upgrades in 2026, including a reimagined Rewards program, a new mobile app, and additional improvements to Mobile Order and Pay [4] - The pickup-only store format will be phased out in favor of community coffeehouses paired with strong digital convenience [4] Group 4: Delivery Growth - Delivery remains a fast-growing digital channel for Starbucks, with transactions increasing by over 25% year over year, contributing significantly to incremental sales [4][9] Group 5: Market Performance and Valuation - Starbucks shares have gained 7.7% in the past three months, contrasting with a 3.1% decline in the industry [6] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 2.72, below the industry's average of 3.79, while competitors Dutch Bros and Chipotle have higher ratios of 6.22 and 4.39, respectively [10] Group 6: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SBUX's fiscal 2025 EPS indicates a decline of 30.5% year over year, while the estimate for 2026 shows a rise of 18.2% [12]
Is McDonald's Digital and Loyalty Push Paying Off in Key Markets?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 14:50
Core Insights - McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is focusing on digital and loyalty capabilities as a key growth strategy amidst macroeconomic challenges and varying global traffic trends [1] - The company remains confident in the long-term value of digital engagement despite current consumer weaknesses affecting comparable sales [1] U.S. Market Performance - In the U.S., McDonald's app-based digital offers and the McValue platform have helped stabilize guest counts, even as total U.S. comparable sales declined by 3.6% during the quarter [2] - The recent $5 Meal Deal and Buy One, Add One for $1 promotions were primarily driven through the app, highlighting its importance in customer engagement [2] International Market Performance - Internationally, digital loyalty adoption has led to market share gains in countries like France, Germany, and Canada, despite a decline in quick-service restaurant (QSR) traffic [3] - Canada experienced significant success with the "Hockey Showdown" digital campaign, boosting both engagement and sandwich category sales [3] Customer Satisfaction and Strategy - Customer satisfaction scores reached all-time highs in the U.S. and key international markets, reflecting the effectiveness of digital channels and personalized rewards [4] - McDonald's is leveraging data-driven marketing and loyalty expansion to navigate industry challenges and enhance competitiveness [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitors such as Starbucks and Yum! Brands are also enhancing their digital and loyalty strategies, with Starbucks' Rewards program having over 34 million active U.S. members [5][6] - Yum! Brands reported that Taco Bell's loyalty membership surpassed 60 million globally, and digital sales accounted for 45% of total sales, indicating strong loyalty integration [7] Financial Performance - McDonald's shares have increased by 16.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 10.6% [8] - The company's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is currently at 22.93, lower than the industry's 25.89 [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MCD's 2025 earnings per share has seen an increase over the past 30 days [12]