November 24, 2025 12:45 PM GMT M Idea China Consumer: Raw Materials Price Chartbook | Asia Pacific Raw Materials Price Movements (Oct-25) and Stock Implications In this month's summary of key raw material price trends and implications for relevant Hong Kong/China consumer stocks, we highlight the decline in milk powder prices, corn prices and hog/ pork/piglet prices, while metal prices saw an uptick. Implications for stocks: Yili (600887.SS, OW), Mengniu (2319.HK, OW): Similar to 2024, raw milk prices have ...

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26) on Monday closed up +0.04 (+0.27%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26) closed up +0.80 (+0.19%). Sugar prices settled higher on Monday as they continue to consolidate below last Wednesday's 1-month highs.  Sugar is supported by the recent news that India's food ministry said it was considering boosting the price of ethanol used for gasoline blending, which could encourage India's sugar mills to divert more cane crushing toward ethanol production rather than sugar, ...

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26) today is up +0.14 (+0.95%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26) is up +2.50 (+0.59%). Sugar prices are posting moderate gains today as they continue to consolidate below last Wednesday's 1-month highs.  Sugar is supported by the recent news that India's food ministry said it was considering boosting the price of ethanol used for gasoline blending, which could encourage India's sugar mills to divert more cane crushing toward ethanol production rather than sugar, thu ...

Core Insights - Sugar prices have shown recovery after early losses, supported by pre-weekend short covering and news from India's food ministry regarding ethanol pricing, which may lead to reduced sugar supplies as mills shift focus to ethanol production [1][3] Group 1: Price Movements - March NY world sugar 11 closed up +12 (+0.82%), while March London ICE white sugar 5 closed up +4.10 (+0.98%) [1] - Sugar prices have been consolidating below 3.5-week highs reached on Wednesday, indicating a period of stabilization after recent fluctuations [1] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - India's food ministry announced a reduction in sugar export quotas for the 2025/26 season to 1.5 million metric tons (MMT), down from earlier estimates of 2 MMT, which is a response to reduced domestic supplies due to late rains [3] - The International Sugar Organization (ISO) forecasts a sugar surplus of 1.625 million metric tons for 2025-26, driven by increased production in India, Thailand, and Pakistan, contrasting with a previous deficit forecast [4] - Brazil's crop forecasting agency, Conab, raised its sugar production estimate for 2025/26 to 45 MMT, indicating a robust output that is bearish for prices [6] Group 3: Market Sentiment - The Brazilian real's weakness has limited sugar price increases, as it encourages export sales from Brazilian producers [2] - The outlook for record sugar output in Brazil has contributed to bearish sentiment in the market, with recent reports indicating significant increases in sugar production and crushing rates [5][6]

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26) on Thursday closed unchanged, and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26) closed up +0.10 (+0.02%). Sugar prices settled little changed on Thursday as they consolidated recent gains.  On Wednesday, sugar prices rose to 3.5-week highs on positive carryover from Tuesday, when India's food ministry said it was considering boosting the price of ethanol used for gasoline blending, which could encourage India's sugar mills to divert more cane crushing toward ethanol production r ...

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26) today is up +0.02 (+0.14%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26) is up +1.00 (+0.35%). Sugar prices rallied to 3.5-week highs today on positive carryover from Tuesday, when India's food ministry said it was considering boosting the price of ethanol used for gasoline blending, which could encourage India's sugar mills to divert more cane crushing toward ethanol production rather than sugar, thus reducing sugar supplies. More News from Barchart However, sugar prices ...

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26) on Tuesday closed down -0.10 (-0.68%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26) closed up +2.10 (+0.50%). Sugar prices settled mixed on Tuesday.  Prices have a negative carryover from Monday when the International Sugar Organization (ISO) forecast a 1.625 million MT sugar surplus in 2025-26, following a 2.916 million MT deficit in 2024-25.  ISO said the surplus is being driven by increased sugar production in India, Thailand, and Pakistan.  In August, ISO had previously ...

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26) today is down -0.07 (-0.47%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26) is up +2.10 (+0.50%). Sugar prices today are mixed.  Prices have negative carryover from Monday when the International Sugar Organization (ISO) forecast a 1.625 million MT sugar surplus in 2025-26, following a 2.916 million MT deficit in 2024-25.  ISO said the surplus is being driven by increased sugar production in India, Thailand, and Pakistan.  In August, ISO had previously forecast a 231,000 MT d ...

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH26) today is down -0.16 (-1.07%), and March London ICE white sugar #5 (SWH26) is down -7.70 (-1.81%). Sugar prices are lower after the International Sugar Organization (ISO) today forecast a 1.625 million MT surplus in 2025-26, following a 2.916 million MT deficit in 2024-25.  ISO said the surplus is being driven by increased sugar production in India, Thailand, and Pakistan.  In August, ISO had previously forecast a 231,000 MT deficit for the 2025-26 marketing year.  ISO is f ...

Summary of Agricultural Commodities Fundamentals Update Industry Overview - The report focuses on the agricultural commodities sector, highlighting the expected volatility in 2026 as global agricultural availability continues to decline from already low levels established in 2025/26 [7][10][14]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Global Agricultural Availability**: - Global agricultural commodity availability is projected to decline further, indicating a tightening supply situation [8][10]. - Stocks-to-use (STU) ratios for major commodities such as soybeans, wheat, sugar, and palm oil are expected to decrease year-over-year (YOY) for the next two seasons [7][10]. 2. **Stocks-to-Use Ratios**: - The world STU ratios are near multi-year lows for 2026E/27E and 2027E/28E, with a decline from suppressed levels in 2025E/26E [7][10]. - Specific STU ratios for various commodities are projected as follows: - Soybeans: 19.4% in 2026/27 - Wheat: 29% in 2026/27 - Sugar: 14.7% in 2026/27 - Palm Oil: 17.5% in 2026/27 [8]. 3. **Inventory Projections**: - Global ending stocks projections through 2026/27 show significant inventory draws across the complex, with palm oil and corn experiencing the largest declines of -7.6% and -6.4% respectively [10][11]. - Adjustments in inventory projections indicate a marginal increase across most markets for 2025/26, except for cotton which saw a decline of 1.4% [12]. 4. **Market Dynamics**: - The report indicates that the agricultural commodities market is facing complex dynamics with varying trends across different commodities, necessitating close monitoring of supply and demand factors [10][14]. 5. **Regional Analysis**: - The report includes detailed balances for wheat production in key regions such as the US, Black Sea, Russia, and Ukraine, highlighting the production, consumption, and export dynamics [19][21][23][25]. Additional Important Content - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding the underlying factors affecting agricultural commodity prices, including weather conditions, geopolitical events, and changes in consumer demand [10][14]. - It also notes that the USDA data is incomplete due to a government shutdown, which may affect the accuracy of the projections [9][14][19][23]. This comprehensive overview provides insights into the agricultural commodities sector, highlighting the expected challenges and opportunities in the coming years.