Core Insights - SkyWater Technology (SKYT) and Semtech Corporation (SMTC) are positioned to benefit from the growing semiconductor market, particularly as the U.S. increases domestic chip production [1][2] - Semiconductor sales are projected to grow 11.2% year over year, reaching $700.9 billion in 2025 and $760.7 billion in 2026, driven by demand for AI hardware, electric vehicles, and industrial automation [2] SkyWater Technology (SKYT) - SkyWater is enhancing its market position through product innovation and expanded manufacturing capabilities, with a focus on its ThermaView platform for thermal imaging [4] - The company reported Q1 2025 revenues of $61.3 million and a gross margin of 24.2%, with advanced computing now accounting for 10% of total revenues [5] - The acquisition of Infineon's Fab 25 is expected to significantly increase SkyWater's capacity, adding approximately 400,000 wafer starts per year and making it the largest U.S.-based pure-play foundry service provider [6] Semtech Corporation (SMTC) - Semtech is experiencing growth in next-gen data center infrastructure, reporting record data center revenue of $51.6 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, a 143% increase year over year [7] - The CopperEdge product line offers over 90% power savings and is designed for high-density AI/ML data centers, with new ICs launched to support advanced connectivity [8] - Semtech's collaboration with major cloud platforms positions its technologies at the core of next-generation compute infrastructure, enhancing its growth potential in AI-centric markets [9][10] Market Performance and Valuation - Both SKYT and SMTC shares have declined year-to-date, with drops of 25.8% and 21.3% respectively, attributed to a challenging macroeconomic environment [11] - SMTC shares are currently overvalued with a Value Score of D, while SKYT holds a Value Score of B; SMTC's Price/Sales ratio is 3.87X compared to SKYT's 1.43X [13] - Earnings estimates indicate a projected loss of one cent per share for SKYT in 2025, while SMTC's earnings for fiscal 2026 are estimated at $1.66 per share, reflecting an 88.64% year-over-year increase [16] Conclusion - Both companies are well-positioned to capitalize on long-term growth trends in the semiconductor market, with SkyWater benefiting from its unique foundry status and Semtech showing stronger near-term visibility due to record data center performance [17][18]

Financial Performance & Outlook - SkyWater reported Q1 2025 revenue of $613 million, exceeding the midpoint of their guidance[131] - The company anticipates approximately 5% revenue growth for the combined ATS and Wafer Services business in fiscal year 2025, with a potential variance of ± 2%[40] - SkyWater expects Tools revenue to be around $30 million, primarily concentrated in the second half of the year and related to the Florida operations[140] - For Q2 2025, SkyWater projects total revenues in the range of $55 million to $60 million, with ATS revenues between $49 million and $53 million, Wafer Services revenues between $5 million and $6 million, and Tools revenue just under $1 million[40] Strategic Initiatives - SkyWater announced the acquisition of Infineon's Austin Fab 25 for $110 million, which is expected to add approximately $300 million in annual revenue[104] - The company secured $120 million in DOD program funding for a 300mm wafer fan-out initiative, with initial ATS revenues anticipated in the second half of fiscal year 2025[96] - SkyWater's customer-funded CapEx model has resulted in expected total funding of approximately $322 million from 2020 to 2026[97] Market & Technology Focus - SkyWater is targeting a $9 billion thermal imaging market opportunity by 2027, leveraging its ThermaView platform[25] - The company is actively involved in enabling the quantum revolution, providing custom technology development and manufacturing for superconducting qubits and photonics qubits[36, 38, 143] - SkyWater is expanding its capabilities in advanced packaging, including fan-out wafer-level packaging and hybrid wafer bonding, to support AI processors and heterogeneous systems[95]

Core Insights - SkyWater Technology (SKYT) and Marvell Technology (MRVL) are significant players in the semiconductor industry, with SKYT focusing on specialty foundry services and MRVL on custom silicon solutions for data centers and AI infrastructure [1][2] Summary of SKYT - SkyWater Technology has been enhancing its business through new product development and strong execution, particularly in the Wafer Services segment, which has seen increased customer interest in thermal imaging and diagnostics [3][5] - The company is transitioning from legacy programs to new technology platforms, with the ThermaView platform contributing to business growth and the planned acquisition of Fab 25 in Austin expected to increase capacity and support sectors like electric vehicles and medical devices [4][6] - In Q1 2025, SkyWater reported revenues of $61.3 million, a 13% year-over-year increase, with a gross margin of 24.2% and over $4 million in adjusted EBITDA [5] - Advanced computing, primarily from quantum projects, now constitutes 10% of total revenues, with partnerships aiding expansion in this area [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SKYT's 2025 loss is 1 cent per share, with revenues projected at $307.15 million, indicating a 10.26% year-over-year decline [7] Summary of MRVL - Marvell Technology is experiencing strong momentum in its data center business, driven by rising demand for AI applications and innovations in custom silicon programs [8][11] - The company has seen recovery in traditional segments, although automotive and industrial revenues declined by 12% sequentially, and consumer revenues dropped by 29% sequentially in fiscal Q1 2026 [10] - In fiscal Q1, Marvell reported revenues of $1.90 billion, a 63% year-over-year increase, with the data center segment contributing 76% of total revenues and a non-GAAP gross margin of 59.8% [11] - The custom silicon business is growing rapidly, particularly in AI, but operates at lower gross margins, which may impact overall profitability [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MRVL's fiscal 2026 earnings is $2.79 per share, with revenues expected to reach $8.21 billion, reflecting a 42.43% year-over-year growth [13] Price Performance and Valuation - In the past month, MRVL shares increased by 7.4%, while SKYT shares decreased by 5.8%, suggesting potential upside for SKYT [14] - MRVL's forward 12-month P/S ratio is 6.61X, significantly higher than SKYT's 1.17X, indicating that SkyWater is relatively undervalued [17] - SKYT's Value Score of B suggests it is an attractive option for value investors, compared to MRVL's Value Score of D [17] Investment Outlook - SkyWater presents a stronger investment case for 2025, driven by new product adoption, expanding quantum partnerships, and the upcoming Fab 25 acquisition [19] - While Marvell benefits from AI-driven growth, its lower-margin custom silicon and segment softness may hinder profitability, making SkyWater a more compelling choice for long-term investors focused on value [20]