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AMD vs. Semtech: Which Semiconductor Stock Is the Better Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 17:31
Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry is projected to grow from $631.01 billion in 2025 to $958.93 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 8.73% during this period, driven by demand for AI and data center technologies [2] - Shipment volume in the semiconductor market is expected to increase from 1.40 trillion units in 2025 to 2.29 trillion units by 2030, at a CAGR of 10.32% [3] AMD Insights - AMD's data center revenues surged 57.2% year over year to $3.674 billion in Q1 2025, accounting for 49.4% of total revenues, driven by the adoption of EPYC processors [4] - The launch of the AMD EPYC 4005 Series processors in May 2025 is aimed at enhancing performance and efficiency for small and medium businesses [6] - AMD's partnerships with major hyperscalers like Oracle and Google Cloud have expanded the use of its EPYC CPUs, contributing to its growth [5] Semtech Insights - Semtech's data center revenues reached a record $51.6 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, up 143% year over year, driven by demand for CopperEdge and FiberEdge products [7] - The launch of the CopperEdge portfolio in April 2025 includes solutions that enable 800G and 1.6T connectivity for AI/ML data centers, focusing on power savings and performance [8] - Semtech has strengthened collaborations with cloud service providers, enhancing its position in next-generation data center infrastructure [9] Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, AMD shares have decreased by 2.8%, while SMTC shares have fallen by 38.5%, attributed to a challenging macroeconomic environment [11] - Both AMD and SMTC shares are currently considered overvalued, with AMD trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 5.65X and SMTC at 3.09X [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's 2025 earnings is $4.02 per share, reflecting a 21.45% year-over-year increase, while SMTC's fiscal 2026 earnings estimate is $1.66 per share, indicating an 88.64% year-over-year increase [16] Earnings Performance - AMD has consistently beaten earnings estimates over the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 2.30%, while SMTC has a higher average surprise of 10.83% [17] - Semtech's stronger earnings surprise history and innovative solutions position it as a more attractive investment compared to AMD [18]
Semtech's Q1 Earnings Match Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 15:40
Core Viewpoint - Semtech Corporation (SMTC) reported strong first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings, with non-GAAP earnings of 38 cents per share matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate and revenues of $251.1 million exceeding expectations, indicating robust growth across all end markets, particularly in data centers [1][3][10]. Financial Performance - Non-GAAP earnings of 38 cents per share showed a significant improvement from 6 cents in the year-ago quarter, exceeding management's guidance of 37 cents [1][2]. - Revenues of $251.1 million surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.44% and increased by 22% year over year [3][10]. - Non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 53.5%, up 370 basis points year over year, while non-GAAP operating income surged 88.9% to $47.6 million [7]. Revenue Breakdown - Infrastructure market sales reached $72.8 million, accounting for 29% of net sales, with a year-over-year growth of 30% driven by data center demand [4]. - Industrial market sales were $142.8 million, representing 56.9% of net sales, up 24% year over year [4]. - High-end consumer market sales totaled $35.4 million, a 3% increase year over year, supported by strong design-in momentum for SurgeSwitch [5]. Product Line Performance - Signal Integrity sales were $73.5 million, up 26.1% year over year, making up 29.3% of net sales [6]. - Analog Mixed Signal & Wireless sales reached $90.6 million, a 20.3% increase year over year, accounting for 36.1% of net sales [6]. - IoT System and Connectivity sales were $86.9 million, reflecting a 19.9% year-over-year growth, comprising 34.6% of net sales [6]. Future Guidance - For Q2, Semtech expects net sales of $256 million (+/- $5 million), indicating a year-over-year rise of 18.5% [10]. - The company anticipates non-GAAP earnings of 40 cents (+/- 3 cents) per share, representing a year-over-year increase of 254.6% [12]. - Non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be around 53% (+/- 50 bps) for the upcoming quarter [11].
Semtech(SMTC) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-27 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1, net sales reached a record $251.1 million, up 22% year over year and above the midpoint of the outlook [21] - Adjusted gross margin was 53.5%, up 30 basis points sequentially and up 370 basis points year over year [21] - Adjusted operating income was $47.6 million, resulting in an adjusted operating margin of 19%, up 680 basis points year over year [22] - Adjusted EBITDA was $55.4 million, up 68% year over year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.1%, up 600 basis points year over year [22] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share were $0.38, up from $0.06 a year ago [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Infrastructure net sales were $72.8 million, up 5% sequentially and up 30% year over year [8] - Data center net sales were a record $51.6 million, up 3% sequentially and up 143% year over year [8] - High-end consumer net sales were $35.4 million, flat sequentially and up 3% year over year [12] - Industrial net sales were $142.8 million, down 3% sequentially but up 24% year over year [16] - LoRa enabled solutions within the industrial market had net sales of $38.9 million, up 5% sequentially and up 81% year over year [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects short-term demand gaps in the CopperEdge segment but anticipates sustainable growth in the data center business due to capital expenditure growth by hyperscalers [9] - The IoT cellular portfolio is expected to benefit from growing 5G adoption rates, particularly in North America [18] - Connected services net sales remained stable, showcasing the deployment of AI tools for anomaly detection [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on portfolio optimization, strategic investment in R&D, and driving margin expansion [7] - Management emphasizes the importance of solidifying a winning culture, accelerating innovation, and leveraging technology leadership to enhance shareholder value [20] - The company is optimistic about the second half of the fiscal year, expecting growth driven by fiber edge products and incremental opportunities from LPO and CopperEdge [90][94] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges macroeconomic uncertainties that may impact the timing of portfolio optimization initiatives but remains committed to strategic priorities [68] - The company is confident in its ability to navigate through dynamic tariff policies and maintain stable product flow across the semiconductor supply chain [7] - Management expects net sales for Q2 to be around $256 million, reflecting a 19% year-over-year increase at the midpoint [25] Other Important Information - The company recorded a net debt decrease of $14.8 million to $396.2 million, with a focus on debt reduction [24] - The company successfully amended its revolving credit facility to increase total borrowing capacity by $117.5 million [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on the cellular module business - Management noted that the cellular module business experienced a seasonal decline but expects revenue to accelerate in future quarters due to competitive dynamics [32][34] Question: Update on AI connectivity and CopperEdge - Management highlighted strong engagement with over 20 customers for CopperEdge, with expectations for revenue ramp-up by Q4 [41][44] Question: Trends in the core data center business - Management expressed optimism for growth in the core data center business, driven by fiber edge products and expected incremental revenue from LPO [55] Question: LoRa market outlook - Management indicated that while LoRa sales may moderate slightly, the business remains strong with a projected quarterly run rate of $30 million to $35 million [60] Question: Expectations for seasonality in the second half - Management noted that seasonality is expected in the high-end consumer segment, while other markets may not show obvious seasonal trends [80] Question: Insights on surge switch product - Management explained that surge switch provides additional protection and is being designed into various applications, enhancing dollar content compared to typical protection products [97][100]
Semtech to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-22 15:41
Semtech Corporation (SMTC) is scheduled to report first-quarter fiscal 2026 results after market close on May 27.For first-quarter fiscal 2026, Semtech expects net sales of $250 million (+/- $5 million), indicating 21% year-over-year growth. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $249.79 million, indicating a rise of 21.20% from the year-ago quarter.SMTC anticipates non-GAAP earnings per share to be 37 cents (+/- 3 cents). The consensus mark for the same is pegged at 38 cents, unchanged over ...
Contact Levi & Korsinsky by April 22, 2025 Deadline to Join Class Action Against Semtech Corporation(SMTC)
Prnewswire· 2025-04-22 09:45
NEW YORK, April 22, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Levi & Korsinsky, LLP notifies investors in Semtech Corporation ("Semtech Corporation" or the "Company") (NASDAQ: SMTC) of a class action securities lawsuit.CLASS DEFINITION: The lawsuit seeks to recover losses on behalf of Semtech Corporation investors who were adversely affected by alleged securities fraud between August 27, 2024 and February 7, 2025. Follow the link below to get more information and be contacted by a member of our team:https://zlk.com/pslra-1/semt ...
Lost Money on Semtech Corporation(SMTC)? Join Class Action Suit Seeking Recovery - Contact The Gross Law Firm
Prnewswire· 2025-04-21 09:45
NEW YORK, April 21, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The Gross Law Firm issues the following notice to shareholders of Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ: SMTC).Shareholders who purchased shares of SMTC during the class period listed are encouraged to contact the firm regarding possible lead plaintiff appointment. Appointment as lead plaintiff is not required to partake in any recovery.CONTACT US HERE:https://securitiesclasslaw.com/securities/semtech-corporation-loss-submission-form/?id=143814&from=4CLASS PERIOD: August 27, 2 ...
Lost Money on Semtech Corporation(SMTC)? Join Class Action Suit Seeking Recovery - Contact Levi & Korsinsky
Prnewswire· 2025-04-18 09:45
NEW YORK, April 18, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Levi & Korsinsky, LLP notifies investors in Semtech Corporation ("Semtech Corporation" or the "Company") (NASDAQ: SMTC) of a class action securities lawsuit.CLASS DEFINITION: The lawsuit seeks to recover losses on behalf of Semtech Corporation investors who were adversely affected by alleged securities fraud between August 27, 2024 and February 7, 2025. Follow the link below to get more information and be contacted by a member of our team:https://zlk.com/pslra-1/semt ...
SMTC Deadline in 5 Days: Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP Reminds Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Investors of Filing Deadline in Class Action Lawsuit
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-04-17 20:01
RADNOR, Pa., April 17, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The law firm of Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP (www.ktmc.com) informs investors that securities class action lawsuits have been filed in the United States District Court for the Central District of California against Semtech Corporation (“Semtech”) (NASDAQ: SMTC) on behalf of those who purchased or otherwise acquired Semtech securities between August 27, 2024, and February 7, 2025, inclusive (the “Class Period”). The lead plaintiff deadline is April 22, 20 ...
April 22, 2025 Deadline: Contact The Gross Law Firm to Join Class Action Suit Against SMTC
Prnewswire· 2025-04-17 09:45
NEW YORK, April 17, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The Gross Law Firm issues the following notice to shareholders of Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ: SMTC).Shareholders who purchased shares of SMTC during the class period listed are encouraged to contact the firm regarding possible lead plaintiff appointment. Appointment as lead plaintiff is not required to partake in any recovery.CONTACT US HERE:https://securitiesclasslaw.com/securities/semtech-corporation-loss-submission-form/?id=143330&from=4CLASS PERIOD: August 27, 2 ...
Kirby McInerney LLP Urges Investors in Semtech Corporation (SMTC) to Inquire About Their Rights in Class Action Lawsuit
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-04-17 00:00
Core Viewpoint - A class action lawsuit has been filed against Semtech Corporation due to alleged undisclosed issues with its CopperEdge products, which have negatively impacted sales and led to a significant drop in stock price [1][5]. Company Performance - Semtech's stock price was cut from $80 to $60 by Robert W. Baird & Co. due to slower-than-expected uptake of its active copper cables, resulting in a decline of $5.99 in share price on February 7, 2025 [3]. - Following a Current Report filed on February 7, 2025, Semtech disclosed that net sales from its CopperEdge products for fiscal year 2026 are expected to be lower than the previously estimated $50 million, leading to a further drop of $16.91 in share price, approximately 31%, closing at $37.60 on February 10, 2025 [4]. Legal Issues - The class action lawsuit alleges that Semtech failed to disclose heating issues with its CopperEdge products, which caused NVIDIA to reduce its purchases and develop its own processing unit [5].