Workflow
Titan HP
icon
Search documents
Teradyne Rises 9% in a Month: Here's Why the Stock is a Hold Now
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 16:41
Core Viewpoint - Teradyne's shares have shown a 9.2% increase over the past month, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector but underperforming the Zacks Electronics – Miscellaneous Products industry [1] Financial Performance - Teradyne reported first-quarter 2025 revenues of $686 million, a 14% year-over-year increase, which was at the higher end of the company's guidance range of $660-$700 million [2] - Gross margin was 60.6%, and earnings per share were 75 cents, reflecting a 47.1% year-over-year increase, both exceeding management's expectations [2] - Revenues and earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimates by 0.26% and 22.95%, respectively [2] Guidance and Market Conditions - The company provided conservative guidance for the second quarter of 2025, expecting revenues between $610 million and $680 million and earnings in the range of 41 to 64 cents per share [3] - Teradyne anticipates sluggish business due to challenging macroeconomic conditions, including tariff uncertainties and volatility in end-market demand [3] Competitive Position - Teradyne has underperformed compared to industry peers such as Flex, Greenland Technologies, and Stardust Power, which saw share gains of 21.1%, 31%, and 19.4%, respectively [4] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 earnings is 54 cents per share, indicating a 37.21% decline from the previous year [5] - Revenue estimates are pegged at $646.05 million, suggesting an 11.49% decline from the year-ago quarter [5] Demand Challenges - Weak and inconsistent demand in key business segments is impacting Teradyne's growth, particularly in the Memory Test segment, where revenues were flat year-over-year at $109 million [6] - The Mobile segment has seen some improvement, but overall demand remains subdued due to declining phone unit volumes [7] Growth Opportunities - System Level Test (SLT) is expected to drive growth in the AI accelerator and mobile device segments, with Teradyne's Titan HP being utilized for production testing [8] - Teradyne's VIP Total Addressable Market (TAM) for 2026 is projected to be $600 million, with SLT expected to contribute $60-180 million [9] - HBM4's adoption is increasing in AI compute and data center workloads, creating a high-value test market for Teradyne [11]
Teradyne(TER) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 17:29
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - First quarter sales were $686 million, towards the high end of guidance, with non-GAAP EPS of $0.75 above the high end guide of $0.68 [17] - Non-GAAP gross margins were 60.6%, exceeding expectations due to product mix [17] - Non-GAAP operating expenses were $275 million, up year-over-year but down sequentially due to spending controls [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Semi Test revenue was $543 million, with SOC revenue contributing $406 million and memory revenue at $109 million [19] - Product Test revenue was $74 million, down 4% year-over-year, while wireless test revenue was $29 million, up 20% year-over-year [20] - Robotics revenue was $69 million, declining both sequentially and year-over-year, with UR contributing $49 million and MiR $20 million [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - 19% of revenue was shipped to China, with 12% supporting multinational customers and 7% for indigenous Chinese customers [23] - The company expects a significant sequential decline in memory revenue in Q2 as the market digests installed HBM test capacity [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI, verticalization, and electrification as primary industry drivers for future growth [5] - A strategic partnership with ADI was announced to deploy UR cobots in AMRs to support collaborative automation initiatives [13] - The company is on track to close the acquisition of Quantify Photonics to enhance its position in silicon photonics testing [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns about the impact of trade policy on end market demand, leading to order pushouts [6] - Despite current uncertainties, management remains confident in long-term growth drivers such as AI and electrification [29] - The company is managing expenses prudently while continuing critical investments to drive growth [12] Other Important Information - The company has increased its share buyback target from $400 million in 2025 to up to $1 billion through the end of 2026 [28] - The restructuring in the robotics division has reduced the operating breakeven revenue from $440 million to $365 million [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Dynamics of tariff-related pushouts and pull-ins - Management noted that pushouts are primarily from customers in the auto and industrial sectors, with no significant pull-ins observed [33] Question: Clarification on HBM win - The HBM four performance test win is with a new customer, not an existing one, and involves a post-stack test at higher speed [38] Question: Gross margin and OpEx outlook - Management indicated that gross margin guidance for the full year is not provided due to uncertainty, but the first half is expected to align with prior expectations [41] Question: SLT wins and AI accelerators - Management clarified that SLT is expected to be a significant revenue driver in 2026, with current implementations addressing high failure rates in AI accelerator devices [50] Question: Impact of tariffs on competitive positioning - No significant competitive impact has been observed due to tariffs, and the company remains competitive in the market [62] Question: Memory market dynamics - Demand for NAND is expected to increase with mobile phone unit volume and AI-enabled smartphones requiring more local storage [75] Question: Robotics segment growth expectations - The company expects to significantly outgrow traditional industrial automation peers, despite current sluggish end market conditions [92]