Tokenized equities are approaching the $1 billion mark, underscoring how real-world asset (RWA) tokenization is moving beyond pilots and into a fast-developing segment of crypto market infrastructure. A new report from Sentora and DL Research found that tokenized stocks reached roughly $963 million in market value as of January 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of nearly 2,878% from just $32 million a year earlier. The rise reflects growing demand for blockchain-based access to traditional fina ...

Binance is exploring plans to bring back stock trading on its platform four years after discontinuing the feature, according to a report from The Information. The world’s largest crypto exchange removed stock tokens in 2021 amid regulatory scrutiny, but now appears ready to re-enter equity markets as competitors push toward unified investment platforms. The timing aligns with a broader industry shift toward “everything exchanges” that combine crypto and traditional assets under a single platform. Coinba ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent turmoil surrounding a U.S. crypto market-structure bill has negatively impacted the stock prices of Coinbase Global Inc and Robinhood Markets Inc, raising concerns among investors about the future of crypto regulation in the U.S. [1][2] Group 1: Impact of the Draft Bill - Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong criticized the latest Senate Banking Committee draft, stating it would effectively ban tokenized equities, impose extensive DeFi surveillance, and shift authority from the CFTC to the SEC, which he believes would harm the crypto market [2][7] - The Senate Banking Committee has paused the markup of the legislation, with Committee Chair Sen. Tim Scott indicating that discussions will continue, while industry leaders express disappointment over the legislative gridlock [3][5] - A Galaxy Research note suggests that the chances of a bipartisan bill being passed are only 25%, warning that failure could delay comprehensive regulation until 2027 [4] Group 2: Importance of the Bill for Coinbase - The market structure bill is critical for Coinbase as it will determine whether the company can operate under clear regulations or continue facing case-by-case enforcement challenges [6] - A more constructive version of the bill could clarify asset classifications, create licensed pathways for crypto exchanges, and reduce regulatory risks, potentially benefiting Coinbase's revenue streams [8] Group 3: Importance of the Bill for Robinhood - For Robinhood, the bill is essential for fully integrating crypto into its brokerage services, as a clear federal framework could harmonize regulations and allow for compliant pathways for staking and tokenized equities [9] - Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev criticized the legislative gridlock, emphasizing the need for rules that protect consumers and foster innovation [5] Group 4: Stock Performance - On Thursday, Coinbase shares closed down 6.48% at $240.65, while Robinhood shares fell 7.79% to $111.97, although both companies saw slight recoveries in after-hours trading [13]

Core Insights - Coinbase aims to become the leading financial app globally by developing an "everything exchange" that encompasses various asset classes including crypto, equities, prediction markets, and commodities [2][3] - The company is positioning itself as a competitor to Robinhood and traditional brokerages by offering 24-hour stock trading with zero commissions [2] - A significant focus is on tokenized equities, which will allow for 24/7 trading and lower costs compared to traditional exchanges [3] Group 1: Strategic Priorities - The first priority is to achieve global dominance by expanding the everything exchange across multiple asset classes [2] - The second priority involves scaling the use of USDC stablecoin for everyday transactions, aiming to replace traditional banking fees [4][5] - The third priority leverages Coinbase's Ethereum layer-2 network, Base, to enhance on-chain activities and improve product quality [6] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Regulatory clarity and institutional adoption are converging to integrate crypto into the financial core, driven by factors such as spot crypto ETFs and stablecoin usage [6][7] - The recent approval of the GENIUS Act is seen as a catalyst for aggressive USDC adoption [5] - The stock price of Coinbase (COIN) is currently testing critical support at $218, following a 48% decline from its peak in July [10] Group 3: Price Analysis - COIN has shown a 3.32% increase after touching the lower Bollinger Band at $218.32, indicating potential for a bounce from this support level [10] - Immediate resistance levels are identified at $260.32, $251.52, and $284.73, with upside targets ranging from $260 to $340 on sustained breakout [11] - A break below $218 could lead to targets of $200, with further risks below $180 potentially opening up to $150-$160 [11]

Core Insights - Coinbase Global Inc. is launching traditional stock trading on its platform, aiming to become a comprehensive trading solution for both cryptocurrencies and stocks [1][10] - The competitive landscape includes Robinhood Markets Inc., which currently dominates the stock trading space with a market cap of approximately $107 billion compared to Coinbase's $66 billion, indicating a significant valuation gap [2][15] - Coinbase's stock trading initiative is seen as a strategic move to diversify its revenue streams, especially as its crypto trading revenue is vulnerable to market fluctuations [4][17] Company Strategy - Coinbase's CEO, Brian Armstrong, envisions tokenized equities as the future, which would allow stocks to be traded on blockchain networks, offering benefits like 24/7 trading and lower costs [5][6] - The company is seeking SEC approval for blockchain-based stocks and plans to introduce perpetual futures for stocks early next year [7] - Analysts have raised concerns about Coinbase's traditional stock trading approach, suggesting it may be a temporary measure while awaiting regulatory approval for tokenized equities [8][9] Market Reaction - Following the announcement, Coinbase's shares rose by about 1% in after-hours trading, while Robinhood's shares increased by 1.5%, indicating that the market is not overly concerned about immediate competition [3] - The market's valuation gap between Coinbase and Robinhood reflects investor sentiment regarding their respective capabilities and market positions [15] User Experience - The integration of stock trading into Coinbase allows users to manage both crypto and stock portfolios in one app, simplifying account management and tax reporting [10][20] - The 24-hour trading feature is highlighted as a significant advantage for users who require flexibility in trading hours [11] - Coinbase's announcement included additional features such as prediction markets and an AI portfolio advisor, which may enhance user engagement and trading experience [13][20] Competitive Landscape - The competition between Coinbase and Robinhood is expected to drive innovation and improvements in features and tools for traders on both platforms [14][19] - Analysts have recently cut Coinbase's price targets due to concerns over Bitcoin ETF outflows and overall market conditions, emphasizing the need for Coinbase to prove its execution capabilities outside the crypto realm [16][17] Industry Trends - The financial markets are evolving, with a growing convergence between crypto and traditional assets, and tokenization becoming a more tangible reality [22] - Coinbase's move into stock trading is part of a broader trend of platforms developing infrastructure for a new financial system, with regulatory frameworks gradually adapting to these changes [22][23]

Group 1 - Coinbase faces challenges in prediction markets compared to Robinhood, with 50% of Robinhood users planning to fund bets with new cash versus 37% for Coinbase [1] - Analysts express concerns about potential cannibalization of crypto sales impacting Coinbase's sales from prediction markets, leading to a price target reduction from $320 to $280 [2] - Coinbase is expected to launch new products that may enhance its competitiveness against Robinhood, which has already entered the prediction market space [3] Group 2 - Mizuho analysts note that Robinhood and Coinbase users are significantly more likely to engage with prediction markets compared to non-users, indicating a strong overlap in user demographics [5] - The recent decline in Bitcoin prices, from an all-time high of over $126,000 to $87,690, has influenced market trends and expectations for Coinbase [4]

Core Insights - Coinbase is set to launch a prediction market and tokenized equities on December 17, marking a significant expansion into new financial products [1] - The prediction market sector is experiencing increased adoption, with trading volume reaching $28 billion year-to-date through October, and studies indicating these markets outperform traditional polling by approximately 30% [2] - The U.S. predictive analytics industry is valued at around $14 billion and is projected to grow to $32.85 billion by 2030 [2] Industry Developments - Competitors like Gemini and Crypto.com are also enhancing their offerings in the prediction market space, with Gemini receiving approval to introduce its own prediction markets [3] - The leading platform Polymarket was previously forced out of the market in 2022 but has been approved to return following the acquisition of a regulated exchange [4] - State regulators are increasingly scrutinizing prediction markets, with the Washington State Gambling Commission recently declaring them an "unauthorized activity" [5] Regulatory Environment - Federal lawmakers are targeting political betting, a popular segment within prediction markets, with proposed legislation like the Ban Gambling on Elections Act introduced amid significant wagering on the 2024 election [6] - Concerns have been raised about the potential for corruption and the undermining of democratic processes due to election betting, with some countries already prohibiting such activities [7] - Polymarket has faced allegations of inflated trading volumes due to wash trading, with estimates suggesting that up to 25% of trades may be artificial [7]

Core Insights - Coinbase Global Inc. is set to launch prediction markets and tokenized equities, indicating a strategic move to diversify its offerings amid a challenging trading environment [1][2] - The company is developing these features in-house, without external partnerships, and has teased a livestream event for users [2] - The prediction markets segment is becoming increasingly competitive, with other platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket seeing significant growth in trading volumes [3][4] Company Developments - Coinbase is reportedly working on its tokenized equities offering internally, which suggests a focus on enhancing its product suite without relying on third-party collaborations [2] - Screenshots of early versions of the new features have circulated, generating anticipation ahead of the planned livestream [2] Industry Trends - The cryptocurrency trading landscape is evolving, with exchanges like Gemini and Crypto.com also expanding into prediction markets and event-based contracts [4][5] - The push into new revenue streams reflects a broader trend of exchanges seeking to adapt to fee compression and increased regulatory scrutiny [5] Stock Performance - Coinbase's stock (COIN) closed down 2.21% at $269, with a slight premarket bounce of about 0.5% [9] - The stock is attempting to stabilize above the $264 support level, which has been tested multiple times [10] - Despite some support, the overall market structure remains bearish, with COIN trading below key moving averages [11][12] Technical Analysis - Key resistance levels for COIN are identified at $275.88 and a breakout zone between $292 and $303, with Fibonacci targets above that range at $284, $301, and $318 [14][15] - Momentum indicators suggest a neutral market sentiment, with the RSI around 44, indicating a slight bearish tilt [16] - A sustained move above $275 would signal a potential shift in buyer control, while a break above $292 is necessary to challenge the prevailing downtrend [18][19]

Core Insights - Tokenization is emerging as a significant trend in the crypto space, acting as a bridge between traditional finance and decentralized finance [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has highlighted both the opportunities and risks associated with tokenized assets [5] Group 1: Definition and Process of Tokenization - Tokenization involves converting real-world assets like cash, treasuries, or equities into blockchain-based tokens that can be globally transferred and settled instantly [2] - The tokenization process consists of three steps: immobilizing the underlying asset with a custodian, issuing a smart contract-driven token on a blockchain, and allowing the token to circulate freely while maintaining digital claims on the reserve [3] Group 2: Benefits of Tokenization - Tokenized assets can potentially make markets faster and cheaper by minimizing the need for intermediaries such as clearinghouses and registrars [5] - Early research indicates significant cost savings in tokenized financial markets, with programmable settlement rails enabling near-instant clearing and more efficient collateral use [6] Group 3: Risks Associated with Tokenization - The IMF warns that the speed and automation of tokenized platforms may increase volatility, potentially leading to market instability [6] - Automated trading systems have previously caused sudden market declines, known as flash crashes, suggesting that tokenized platforms could be more volatile than traditional trading systems [7]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, revenues doubled year-over-year to nearly $1.3 billion, marking a record high [10][12] - Year-to-date revenues increased by 65%, and earnings per share rose by 150% [12][13] - Adjusted EBITDA margins reached 75%, indicating strong profitability [12] - Record net deposits exceeded $20 billion in the quarter, surpassing last year's total of $50 billion with another quarter remaining [10][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Trading volumes for equities, options, and crypto saw double to triple-digit growth [13] - Prediction Markets achieved over $100 million in annualized revenue within a year, tracking towards a $300 million run rate based on October volumes [12][13] - Robinhood Gold subscribers increased to a record 3.9 million, representing over 75% year-over-year growth [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International customer base grew to nearly 700,000 funded accounts, with significant growth in the U.K. and EU markets [11] - Assets under management reached over $300 billion, benefiting from a generational wealth transfer of $120 trillion [7][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to become a global financial ecosystem, targeting over half of its revenue from non-U.S. markets in the next decade [8][9] - Focus on expanding product offerings, including Robinhood Banking and Prediction Markets, to enhance customer engagement and wallet share [7][8] - Plans to leverage tokenization and private market access through Robinhood Ventures to tap into new growth opportunities [9][48] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing product velocity and customer engagement, with expectations for continued strong performance in Q4 [11][18] - The company is actively monitoring regulatory developments and is prepared to adapt its strategies accordingly [2] - Management highlighted the importance of building resilience in their platform following recent outages, emphasizing ongoing improvements [25][26] Other Important Information - The CFO announced plans to retire, with Shiv Verma set to take over the role, ensuring continuity in leadership [18][20] - The company is focusing on enhancing its user experience and product discoverability, particularly in the Prediction Markets segment [77] Q&A Session Summary Question: How quickly do you expect to roll out Robinhood Banking to users? - The rollout will be relatively fast, governed by customer feedback, with early results being positive [24] Question: How are you strengthening platform resiliency after the recent AWS-related outage? - Significant progress has been made in system resilience, allowing many customers to manage risk despite performance degradation [25][26] Question: How do you see the evolution of Robinhood as a super app for the next generation? - The goal is to be the primary financial account for customers, minimizing reasons for withdrawals and expanding product offerings [30] Question: What is the strategy for maintaining leadership in Prediction Markets amidst new entrants? - The company leverages its existing customer base and distribution advantages to maintain a competitive edge [33][34] Question: Can you discuss the demand for private markets and plans for Robinhood Ventures? - There is significant customer demand for access to private markets, and the company is working on innovative solutions to meet this need [46][49] Question: When do you expect tokenized equities to scale, and what implications might they have for revenue? - The company is ramping up the number of tokens available and anticipates greater interoperability in the future [52][70]