Summary of TransUnion Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: TransUnion - **Industry**: Consumer information and credit reporting - **Position**: One of the big three global credit bureaus Key Points and Arguments Growth Performance - TransUnion experienced a growth of **3%** in both **2022** and **2023**, which was below expectations due to high inflation and rising interest rates creating uncertainty in the lending market [2][3] - The company anticipates a return to **high single-digit to low double-digit growth** in **2024** and **2025**, driven by stability in the U.S. financial services sector and increased lending volumes [3][4] Market Dynamics - The lending environment is stabilizing, with notable growth in **consumer lending**, particularly with fintechs [3][4] - Emerging verticals such as technology, retail, e-commerce, and media are contributing to growth, with a **7.5%** increase reported in the third quarter [5][6] Consumer Health - The consumer market is characterized as relatively healthy, with consumers meeting financial obligations due to employment and real wage growth [8] - Delinquency rates have returned to normal levels, with **40%** of consumers classified as super prime and **14%** as subprime, indicating a bifurcation in consumer credit quality [9][10] Product Diversification - TransUnion is diversifying its product offerings beyond credit reporting, focusing on identity resolution, marketing, and fraud prevention [15][16] - The **Trusted Call Solutions** product is expected to generate **$150 million** in revenue by **2025**, up from **$50 million** three years ago [16] Pricing Strategy - Pricing growth in U.S. markets is driven by a **5%** increase, primarily in the mortgage sector due to FICO pricing changes [17][18] - TransUnion plans to pass on costs associated with FICO's pricing changes to customers, which may impact margins but protect revenue [22][23] Future Outlook - The company is undergoing a transformation program aimed at optimizing its organizational model and modernizing technology, with an expected **$35 million** in cost savings by the end of **2025** [30][31] - The acquisition of a larger stake in a Mexican credit bureau is pending regulatory approval, which will allow TransUnion to consolidate revenue and EBITDA [34] AI and Innovation - TransUnion views itself as an **AI winner**, leveraging machine learning for product innovation and operational efficiencies, particularly in fraud detection [35][36] Risk Management - The company emphasizes the uniqueness of its data assets, which are critical for creating comprehensive consumer profiles and differentiating from competitors [38] Additional Important Insights - The company is cautiously optimistic about the stability of the lending market and is closely monitoring consumer behavior and market dynamics [11][12] - The transition to VantageScore in the mortgage market is contingent on changes by GSEs and lenders, which are expected to occur by early **2026** [24][25] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the TransUnion conference call, highlighting the company's growth trajectory, market dynamics, consumer health, product diversification, pricing strategy, future outlook, and innovation efforts.

Core Insights - TransUnion reported strong second-quarter results for 2025, exceeding analyst expectations with adjusted EPS of $1.08 and revenue of $1.14 billion, reflecting year-over-year increases of 9.1% and 9.5% respectively [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for Q2 2025 was $1.08, surpassing the estimate of $0.99, and up from $0.99 in Q2 2024, marking a 9.1% increase [3] - Revenue reached $1.14 billion, compared to the projected $1.1 billion and $1.04 billion in Q2 2024, representing a 9.5% year-over-year growth [3] - Adjusted EBITDA rose to $407 million, an 8.1% increase from $376.6 million in the previous year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 35.7%, slightly down from 36.2% [3][9] - Net income increased by 29% to $109.6 million from $85 million in the prior year [3] Business Segments - The U.S. Financial Services segment led growth with revenue of $419.9 million, up 17.1% year-over-year [6] - Mortgage revenue grew by 27%, despite a 10% decline in inquiry volumes, driven by price improvements and product mix [6] - The Consumer Interactive segment saw a modest revenue increase of 3.3% [7] - International operations reported a revenue growth of 7.4%, with the UK leading at 19% growth [8] Strategic Initiatives - TransUnion is enhancing its data and analytics capabilities and expanding its technological infrastructure, including the migration of over 90 U.S. Credit customers to the OneTrue cloud platform [5][11] - The company is focusing on product development, launching the TrueIQ analytics suite and TruValidate for fraud detection [12] - Market expansion efforts include the integration of Monevo and plans to acquire TransUnion de Mexico to increase exposure in growth markets [13] Outlook and Guidance - The company raised its full-year 2025 guidance, targeting revenue between $4.432 billion and $4.472 billion, with adjusted EBITDA between $1.58 billion and $1.61 billion [15] - For Q3 2025, revenue is expected to be between $1.12 billion and $1.135 billion, with adjusted EPS around $1.08 [15] - Free cash flow conversion is projected to reach approximately 70% for FY2025, improving to over 90% in 2026 [15]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, TransUnion exceeded all key financial guidance metrics, achieving 9% organic revenue growth on a constant currency basis, surpassing the 3% to 5% guidance [6][39] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 8%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 35.7%, ahead of the 34.8% to 35.3% guidance [40] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $1.08, a 9% increase and above the high end of guidance [40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. Market segment revenue grew by 10%, with Financial Services up 17% and 11% excluding mortgage [41] - Consumer lending growth accelerated to 18%, with auto growing by 19% and mortgage revenue increasing by 29% despite flat inquiry volumes [42][43] - Emerging verticals grew by 5%, with double-digit growth in insurance and mid-single-digit growth in tech, retail, and e-commerce [44] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market segment delivered 10% growth, with robust activity from FinTech lenders and healthy consumer demand for debt consolidation products [7][9] - International revenue grew by 6% on an organic constant currency basis, with India’s growth accelerating to 8% [10][46] - Canada and Africa each grew double digits, while Asia Pacific declined by 8% due to lapping one-time consulting revenue [47][48] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its 2025 strategic priorities, particularly in the fast-growing Trusted Call Solutions business [5][60] - TransUnion aims to enhance its product offerings and customer experience through innovation and modernization of technology [19][23] - The strategy includes deeper penetration of core verticals, scaling existing solutions, and broadening the product portfolio [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the U.S. lending environment remains stable but muted, with consumer lending showing signs of recovery [14][88] - The company raised its full-year revenue and adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance based on strong first-half results and continued business momentum [13][50] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth opportunities in India, anticipating a return to high teens organic growth by Q4 [106] Other Important Information - The leverage ratio declined to 2.8 times, with plans to delever to 2.5 times before the anticipated Mexico acquisition [11][49] - The company has repurchased $47 million in shares year-to-date, aligning with its balanced approach to capital deployment [12][49] - One-time charges related to the transformation program totaled $29 million in Q2, with a total of $315 million incurred to date [41] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the outperformance in lending types? - Management indicated that a combination of customer mix and new technology/product innovation is driving the outperformance, particularly in consumer lending and FinTech [66][67] Question: What is the momentum behind alternative data bureaus? - The momentum is attributed to re-platforming and innovation at Factor Trust, leading to increased business wins and a robust pipeline [72][74] Question: How is the Mexico acquisition performing? - The asset is performing well and is on plan, with the acquisition expected to close by year-end after clearing regulatory hurdles [75][77] Question: What are the initial learnings from the CI freemium rollout? - The rollout is progressing well, with expectations for mid-single-digit growth in the Consumer Interactive business as new offerings are optimized [81][82] Question: How is the consumer lending environment evolving? - The environment is stable but showing improvement, with consumer lending recovering and card activity becoming more optimistic [88][90] Question: What is the outlook for India? - India is expected to achieve a 10% growth rate for the full year, with high teens growth anticipated in Q4 due to improved lending conditions [106][108]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, TransUnion exceeded all key financial guidance metrics, achieving 9% organic revenue growth on a constant currency basis, surpassing the 3% to 5% guidance [6][39] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 8%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 35.7%, ahead of the 34.8% to 35.3% guidance [40] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $1.08, a 9% increase and above the high end of guidance [40] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. Market segment revenue grew by 10%, with Financial Services up 17% and 11% excluding mortgage [41] - Consumer lending growth accelerated to 18%, with auto growing 19% and mortgage revenue increasing by 29% despite flat inquiry volumes [42][43] - Emerging verticals grew by 5%, with double-digit growth in insurance and mid-single-digit growth in tech, retail, and e-commerce [44] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market segment delivered 10% growth, with robust activity from FinTech lenders and healthy consumer demand for debt consolidation products [7][9] - International revenue grew by 6% on an organic constant currency basis, with India’s growth accelerating to 8% [10][46] - Canada and Africa each grew double digits, while Asia Pacific declined by 8% due to lapping one-time consulting revenue [47][48] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its 2025 strategic priorities, particularly in the fast-growing Trusted Call Solutions business [5][60] - TransUnion aims to enhance its product offerings and customer experience through innovation and technology modernization [19][23] - The strategy includes deeper penetration of core verticals, scaling existing solutions, and broadening the product portfolio [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the U.S. lending environment remains stable but muted, with consumer lending showing signs of recovery [14][88] - The company raised its full-year revenue and adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance based on strong first-half results and continued business momentum [13][50] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth opportunities in India, anticipating a return to high teens organic growth by Q4 [106] Other Important Information - The leverage ratio declined to 2.8 times, with plans to deleverage to 2.5 times before the anticipated Mexico acquisition [11][49] - The company has repurchased $47 million in shares year-to-date, aligning with its balanced approach to capital deployment [12][49] - One-time charges related to the transformation program totaled $29 million in Q2, with a total of $315 million incurred to date [41] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the outperformance in lending types? - Management indicated that a combination of customer mix and new technology/product innovation is driving the outperformance, particularly in consumer lending and FinTech [66][67] Question: What is the momentum for alternative data bureaus? - The momentum is attributed to re-platforming and innovation at Factor Trust, leading to increased business wins and a robust pipeline [72][74] Question: How is the Mexico acquisition performing? - The asset is performing well and is on plan, with the company targeting to close the acquisition by year-end [75][77] Question: What are the initial learnings from the CI freemium rollout? - The rollout is progressing well, with expectations for mid-single-digit growth in the Consumer Interactive business as new offerings are optimized [81][82] Question: How is the consumer lending environment evolving? - The environment is stable but showing improvement, with consumer lending recovering and card activity becoming more optimistic [88][90] Question: What is the outlook for India? - India is expected to achieve a 10% growth rate for the full year, with high teens growth anticipated in Q4 due to improved lending conditions [106][108]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - TransUnion exceeded all key financial guidance metrics for the sixth consecutive quarter, achieving high single-digit organic revenue growth of 9% on an organic constant currency basis, surpassing the 3% to 5% guidance [5][35] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 8%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 35.7%, exceeding the guidance of 34.8% to 35.3% [36] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose to $1.08, a 9% increase and above the high end of guidance [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. Market segment revenue grew by 10%, with Financial Services up 17% and 11% growth excluding mortgage [38] - Consumer lending and auto segments experienced double-digit growth, while card and banking grew in mid-single digits [6][38] - Emerging verticals grew by 5%, with insurance showing double-digit growth driven by recovery in marketing and consumer shopping activity [8][40] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market segment delivered 10% growth, with robust activity from FinTech lenders and a 29% increase in mortgage revenue despite flat inquiries [6][39] - International revenue grew by 6% on an organic constant currency basis, with India showing an acceleration to 8% growth [8][42] - Canada and Africa also reported double-digit growth, while Asia Pacific declined by 8% due to lapping one-time consulting revenue [44] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on execution and value creation, with an emphasis on product innovation and expanding its suite of solutions [57] - TransUnion aims to deepen penetration in core verticals, scale existing solutions, and broaden its product portfolio, particularly in Trusted Call Solutions [33][32] - The company is positioned to capitalize on significant growth opportunities in India, targeting over 20% annual growth in the medium term [15][109] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the U.S. lending environment remains stable but muted, with consumer lending showing signs of recovery [12][82] - The company raised its full-year revenue and adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance, reflecting strong first-half results and continued business momentum [11][57] - Concerns about inflation and interest rates were acknowledged, but management remains optimistic about the resilience of consumers and lenders [12][13] Other Important Information - The leverage ratio declined to 2.8 times, with plans to deleverage to 2.5 times before the anticipated acquisition in Mexico [9][46] - The company has repurchased $47 million in shares year-to-date, aligning with its balanced approach to capital deployment [10][46] - One-time charges related to the transformation program totaled $29 million in the quarter, with a total of $315 million incurred to date [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the outperformance across lending types? - Management indicated that a combination of customer mix and new technology/product innovation is driving the outperformance, particularly in consumer lending and FinTech [61][62] Question: What is the momentum for alternative data bureaus? - The momentum is attributed to re-platforming and innovation at Factor Trust, leading to increased business wins and a robust pipeline [67][70] Question: How is the Mexico acquisition performing? - The asset is performing well and is on plan, with the acquisition expected to close by the end of the year after clearing regulatory hurdles [72] Question: What are the initial learnings from the CI freemium rollout? - The rollout is progressing well, with expectations for mid-single-digit growth in the Consumer Interactive business as new offerings are integrated [74][78] Question: How is the consumer lending environment evolving? - The environment is stable but showing improvement, with consumer lending recovering and card activity becoming more optimistic [80][82] Question: What is the outlook for the mortgage market? - The mortgage market is at a bottom, with inquiries flat but revenue increasing due to pricing and pre-qualification traction [97][99] Question: What is the growth outlook for India? - India is expected to achieve a 10% growth rate for the full year, with potential for high teens growth in the fourth quarter as lending volumes recover [104][109]

Financial Performance & Guidance - Second quarter revenue reached $1.14 billion, a 10% increase[43] - Organic constant currency revenue grew by 9%, or approximately 6.5% excluding mortgage impacts[10, 44] - Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $407 million, up 8%[43] - The company is raising full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $4.432 billion - $4.472 billion, representing a 6% to 7% increase[13, 62] - Full-year Adjusted EBITDA is guided to $1.580 billion - $1.610 billion, a 5% to 7% increase[67] - Adjusted Diluted EPS for the full year is expected to be $4.03 to $4.14, a 3% to 6% increase[67] Segment Performance - U S Markets revenue increased by 10% to $890 million, with Financial Services growing by 17%[10, 45] - International revenue grew by 6%, with India accelerating to 8% growth[10] Strategic Initiatives - Trusted Call Solutions (TCS) revenue is expected to scale from approximately $50 million in 2022 to an expected $150 million in 2025[27] - The company is targeting approximately $250 million in revenue for Trusted Call Solutions by 2028[42] - The company repurchased $47 million in shares year-to-date through mid-July[10, 57]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong first quarter performance with 9% organic growth in 2024, and volumes in the first quarter were consistent with this trend [6][9] - The company maintained a conservative posture for 2025, guiding for revenue growth conservatively and incorporating contingencies in financial forecasts [18][20] - The company achieved positive growth of 3% in both 2022 and 2023 despite challenging macroeconomic conditions [9][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mortgage segment is facing challenges due to rising costs and concerns about credit report pricing, but the company has maintained stable pricing practices [30][32] - The auto segment experienced a pull forward in volumes due to demand ahead of potential tariff implementations, with expectations for continued higher demand [53][55] - NuStar has shown improved revenue performance due to successful integration of marketing and fraud solutions, with organic growth between 4% and 6% since acquisition [58][60] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer credit markets are currently healthy but show signs of concern among consumers and lenders regarding future economic conditions [5][12] - In India, the company expects a return to high teen organic growth rates by the end of 2025, driven by improved lending conditions under the new RBI governor [86][90] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has diversified its portfolio significantly and integrated acquisitions to enhance its market position [9][24] - The focus on technology and workforce restructuring is expected to yield ongoing cost savings and maintain EBITDA and EPS performance [28][27] - The company is optimistic about expanding its services in emerging markets and enhancing its product offerings in response to market needs [66][70] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns about potential economic downturns but emphasized the company's preparedness to weather such conditions [20][21] - The company is cautious about consumer credit origination growth for the remainder of 2025, citing mixed signals from leading indicators [11][12] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to changing economic policies and consumer behaviors to maintain growth [16][40] Other Important Information - The company is focused on enhancing its freemium product offerings to compete effectively in the consumer market [74][76] - The company has seen significant growth in breach services, although it remains lumpy due to the unpredictability of large breach events [82][83] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company positioned in a potential stagflation environment? - Management indicated that the company is well-positioned to handle stagflation due to its diversified portfolio and previous performance during similar conditions [21][24] Question: What are the expectations for consumer credit origination growth in 2025? - Management acknowledged the healthy state of consumers but noted concerns about future lending volumes due to economic uncertainties [12][14] Question: How does the company view the competitive landscape in mortgage credit reporting? - Management discussed the challenges posed by rising costs and the need for a broader reflection on mortgage origination costs [30][36] Question: What is the outlook for the auto segment? - Management confirmed that auto volumes have been consistent with guidance and expressed optimism about demand due to tariff concerns [55][56] Question: What is driving the recent success in NuStar? - Management attributed NuStar's success to the integration of services and improved market positioning following the acquisition [58][60]