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Teva Stock Trading Above 200- & 50-Day SMA for 2 Months: How to Play
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 17:16
Core Insights - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited's stock has shown bullish momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages since late October, with a golden cross achieved in mid-September, indicating potential for a sustained upward trend [1][2][7] Stock Performance and Drivers - The 50-day SMA remains above the 200-day SMA, signaling positive future gains for the stock [2] - A significant factor contributing to Teva's stock performance was the conclusion of pricing negotiations under the Inflation Reduction Act for its key drug, Austedo, which is set for Medicare price setting starting in 2027. Teva raised its 2025 sales expectations for Austedo and maintains a revenue target of over $2.5 billion by 2027, with projections to exceed $3 billion by 2030 [2][6] Product Performance - Teva's newest branded drugs, including Austedo, Ajovy, and Uzedy, have collectively seen a 33% year-over-year sales increase, reaching $800 million in the third quarter [5] - Austedo sales rose 33% in the first nine months of 2025, with expectations for annual revenues exceeding $2.5 billion by 2027 and over $3 billion by 2030. The launch of Austedo XR, a new formulation, is expected to further boost sales [6] - Ajovy sales increased by 27% in the first nine months of 2025, with anticipated growth from patient expansion and international launches [8] - Uzedy, launched in May 2023, achieved sales of approximately $136 million in the first nine months of 2025, with total sales expected between $190 million and $200 million for the year [9] Pipeline and Future Growth - Teva's branded pipeline includes promising products like olanzapine and duvakitug, with ongoing phase III studies for duvakitug in collaboration with Sanofi [10] - The company anticipates generating over $5 billion in revenues from its branded products by 2030 [11] - Teva's generics and biosimilars pipeline is strengthening, with successful launches of several high-value complex generics and biosimilars [12][13] Market Position and Valuation - Teva's U.S. generics/biosimilars business showed a 15% increase in 2024, although sales were nearly flat in the first nine months of 2025 due to competitive pressures [15] - The stock has risen 28.6% year-to-date, outperforming the industry average of 28.2%, and is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 10.39, lower than the industry average of 14.37 [20][23] Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings has increased from $2.55 to $2.61 per share for 2025, with stability at $2.73 for 2026 [26] - Despite headwinds, Teva's newer drugs are driving top-line growth, and the company is focused on cost savings and margin improvements, targeting an adjusted operating margin of 30% by 2027 [29][30]
3 Generic Drug Stocks to Watch Amid Changing U.S. Landscape
ZACKS· 2025-12-08 14:26
Generic drugmakers continue to navigate a challenging U.S. market defined by persistent price erosion, intense competition and structurally thin margins. While demand for generics remains steady, profitability has come under pressure as commoditized products face rapid price declines and limited differentiation.As a result, most generic manufacturers are leaning heavily on complex generics, injectables and biosimilars. These categories offer higher margins and, in many cases, limited-competition or exclusiv ...
TEVA Q3 Earnings & Revenues Beat, Austedo Sales View Raised, Stock Up
ZACKS· 2025-11-06 17:20
Core Insights - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of 78 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 68 cents, with a year-over-year increase of 14% driven by higher operating profits [1][7] - Revenues for the third quarter reached $4.48 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.35 billion, reflecting a 3% increase from the previous year on a reported basis and a 1% increase on a constant currency basis [1][7] Revenue Breakdown - The top line was supported by strong performance in branded drugs such as Austedo, Ajovy, and Uzedy, alongside increased revenues from generic products in the U.S., including biosimilars, although partially offset by lower revenues in European generics and reduced proceeds from certain product rights [2][5] - U.S. segment sales amounted to $2.48 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase, driven by higher revenues from generic products and the branded drug Austedo, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.25 billion [5][7] - Generic and biosimilar product revenues in the U.S. rose 7% year over year to $1.18 billion, bolstered by the company's biosimilar portfolio [6][7] Key Product Performance - Austedo sales in the U.S. reached $601 million, up 38% year over year, primarily due to volume growth, and significantly exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $524 million [7][8] - Ajovy recorded sales of $73 million, a 27% increase year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $65 million [8] - Uzedy generated sales of $43 million, up 24% year over year, while Copaxone sales were $62 million, down 9% year over year but still beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $41.5 million [9] International Market Performance - The Europe segment reported revenues of $1.24 billion, down 2% year over year, with a 10% decline on a constant currency basis, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.30 billion [10] - International Markets segment sales fell 9% year over year to $557 million, with a 10% decrease in constant currency terms, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $593 million [11] Margin and Expense Analysis - Adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 55.3%, an increase of 160 basis points year over year, primarily due to higher Austedo revenues [13] - Adjusted operating income rose 6.6% year over year to $1.29 billion, with an adjusted operating margin of 28.9% [14] Guidance Updates - Teva tightened its total revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $16.8-$17.0 billion, while raising the guidance for Austedo sales to $2.05-$2.15 billion [15][18] - The company maintained its full-year guidance for Ajovy sales at $630-$640 million and for Uzedy at $190-$200 million [18] - Adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 was raised to a range of $2.55-$2.65 per share [18]