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Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (TEVA): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-04 02:34
Core Thesis - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited is undergoing a transformation from a debt-laden generics manufacturer to a company with a credible innovative pipeline, with Duvakitug as a key catalyst for valuation [2][5]. Company Overview - Teva develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes generic and biopharmaceutical products globally, including in the United States, Europe, and Israel [2]. - As of January 28th, Teva's share price was $33.07, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 27.45 and 11.70 respectively [1]. Product Development - Duvakitug (TEV-'574) has shown success in Phase 2b trials for ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease, positioning it as a significant valuation catalyst [2][5]. - The drug's mechanism targets both inflammation and fibrosis, addressing disease progression and structural damage in IBD patients [3]. Future Plans - Teva is preparing for Phase 3 trials of Duvakitug in H2 2025 and is expanding its program into two new Phase 2 indications, likely including systemic sclerosis and either atopic dermatitis or asthma [3][4]. - The strategic reach of Duvakitug is broadened by these new indications, although they face varying levels of competition [4]. Market Position and Potential - Teva's potential upside is limited by competition, particularly from Merck's tulisokibart and the need for an FDA-approved anti-fibrosis label claim [5]. - Despite these challenges, Duvakitug represents a substantial call option for Teva, with shares potentially reaching $29–31 over the next year if the drug progresses successfully [5]. Historical Context - A previous bullish thesis highlighted Teva's shift towards innovation, driven by growth from products like Austedo and Ajovy, with the stock appreciating 95.79% since coverage [6][7].
Analysts See Pipeline Catalysts Driving Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (TEVA)’s 2026 Growth Despite Revenue Headwinds
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-31 14:35
Core Viewpoint - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited is considered one of the best healthcare stocks to buy for 2026, with analysts optimistic about its growth potential despite some revenue headwinds [1][2]. Financial Performance - Teva reported strong Q4 2025 results, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.96, surpassing the forecast of $0.65, and revenue of $4.71 billion, exceeding expectations of $4.33 billion, aided by a $500 million milestone payment from Sanofi [3]. - However, the company projected lower revenue for 2026, estimating between $16.4 billion and $16.8 billion, along with adjusted EPS of $2.57 to $2.77, reflecting a significant impact from lost sales of its generic Revlimid due to increased competition [3]. Growth Drivers - Teva's innovative portfolio is a key growth driver, with Austedo generating $725 million in U.S. sales in Q4, marking a 40% year-over-year increase. The combined revenue from Austedo, Ajovy, and Uzedy reached $3.1 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to up to $3.6 billion in 2026 [4]. - Analysts highlight pipeline catalysts, including a potential FDA decision on Olanzapine LAI, which could unlock a $3 billion sales opportunity, supporting Teva's growth narrative [1][2]. Market Position - Teva is recognized as a global leader in generic and specialty medicines, focusing on the development, manufacturing, and marketing of drugs across various therapeutic areas, including central nervous system, respiratory, and oncology [5].
TEVA's Q4 Earnings Beat, Branded Drugs Drive Revenue Growth
ZACKS· 2026-01-29 17:26
Core Insights - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (TEVA) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of 96 cents per share, significantly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 65 cents, with a year-over-year increase of 35.2% driven by higher gross profit and tax benefits [1][6] - Revenues for the fourth quarter reached $4.71 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.34 billion, marking an 11% increase from the previous year on a reported basis and a 9% increase on a constant currency basis [1][6] Revenue Drivers - The fourth-quarter top line was primarily boosted by a $500 million milestone payment from Sanofi related to the development of duvakitug, alongside strong sales from branded drugs such as Austedo, Ajovy, and Uzedy [2][6] - U.S. segment sales were $2.64 billion, up 34% year over year, driven by higher revenues from Austedo and the milestone payment from Sanofi, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.14 billion [7] Product Performance - Austedo recorded U.S. sales of $725 million, a 40% year-over-year increase, driven by volume growth and the launch of Austedo XR, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $585 million [8] - Ajovy sales reached $105 million, up 68% year over year, also surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $71 million [9] - Uzedy generated sales of $55 million in the fourth quarter, up 28% year over year, primarily due to volume growth [9] International Market Performance - The Europe segment reported revenues of $1.31 billion, down 3% year over year, with a 10% decline on a constant currency basis, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.32 billion [11] - The International Markets segment recorded revenues of $528 million, down 20% year over year, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $625 million, primarily due to the divestment of Teva's business venture in Japan [12] Margin and Operating Income - Adjusted gross margin was 60.3%, up 550 basis points year over year, driven by the milestone from Sanofi and higher Austedo revenues [14] - Adjusted operating income rose 31% year over year to $1.53 billion, with an adjusted operating margin of 32.5%, an increase of 490 basis points [15] Full Year Results and Guidance - For the full year 2025, revenues were $17.3 billion, a 4% year-over-year increase, exceeding the guided range of $16.8-$17.0 billion [17] - Teva expects total revenues for 2026 to be in the range of $16.4-$16.8 billion, reflecting continued strong momentum in its innovative portfolio [18] - Projected sales for Austedo in 2026 are estimated to be between $2.40-$2.55 billion, with Ajovy sales expected at approximately $750-$790 million [19]
Teva's Flagship Drugs Hit $1 Billion Milestone, Raises Confidence In 2026 Outlook
Benzinga· 2026-01-28 17:22
Financial Performance - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. reported total revenue of $4.71 billion for Q4 2025, exceeding analysts' expectations of $4.37 billion, with an 11% year-over-year increase in U.S. dollars or 9% in local currency [1] - The company achieved adjusted earnings of 96 cents per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of 68 cents and up from 71 cents reported a year ago [4] Revenue Drivers - The revenue increase was primarily driven by development milestone payments related to Phase 3 studies for duvakitug and higher revenues from key innovative products, partially offset by lower proceeds from certain product rights and reduced revenues from the International Markets segment due to a divestment in Japan [2] - Key brands collectively generated approximately $1 billion in revenues for the first time in Q4 2025, with Austedo sales increasing 34% to $2.26 billion, Ajovy sales reaching $673 million (+30% LC YoY), and Uzedy revenues at $191 million, up 63% [3][4] Future Outlook - For fiscal year 2026, Teva expects adjusted earnings of $2.57-$2.77 per share, compared to the Street estimate of $2.73 [5] - The company anticipates total sales between $16.4 billion and $16.8 billion, including specific revenue projections for Austedo, Ajovy, and Uzedy [6] - Teva's pipeline for 2026 includes multiple late-stage readouts across immunology and neurology, with potential value exceeding $10 billion [7]
ANIP vs. TEVA: Which Drug Stock Is the Better Buy Right Now?
ZACKS· 2026-01-16 14:56
Core Insights - ANI Pharmaceuticals (ANIP) and Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) are both key players in the pharmaceutical sector, focusing on generic and specialty medications [1][2] - ANIP's growth is primarily driven by its rare disease therapies, particularly Cortrophin Gel, while TEVA operates as a global leader in both branded and generic drugs [1][10] Summary of ANI Pharmaceuticals (ANIP) - ANIP has shown strong financial performance, particularly in its rare disease and generics segments [3] - The rare disease franchise, led by Cortrophin Gel, is the main growth driver, with projected sales of approximately $348 million for 2025, reflecting a 76% year-over-year increase [4] - For 2026, ANIP anticipates Cortrophin Gel sales to reach between $540 million and $575 million, indicating a 55-65% increase over 2025 [5] - The company also expects its recently acquired ophthalmology assets to contribute around $75 million in 2025, with growth anticipated in 2026 [6] - Total projected revenues for ANIP in 2026 are estimated to be between $1.055 billion and $1.115 billion, with about 60% from rare disease products [7] - The generics segment is expected to contribute 40% of revenues, with plans to launch 10-15 new generic products annually [8] - Competitive pressure is increasing in the rare disease market, particularly from Keenova Therapeutics' Acthar Gel, which has raised its sales growth outlook [9] Summary of Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) - TEVA is the largest generic drug company globally, holding a 7% market share in the U.S. generics market [12] - The company has been expanding its biosimilars portfolio, with several successful launches and a goal to double biosimilars sales by 2027 [15] - TEVA maintains a diversified portfolio of branded products, with growing market shares for newer drugs like Austedo, Ajovy, and Uzedy [16] - However, the generics business has faced challenges, including competitive pressure and a decline in certain markets [17] - TEVA's revenue estimates for 2026 are expected to remain flat, with EPS growth projected at 6% [21] Financial Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, ANIP shares have increased by 48%, while TEVA shares have risen by 49%, outperforming the industry average of 39% [22] - ANIP trades at a price/earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.74, slightly higher than TEVA's 12.39, indicating a premium valuation for ANIP [23] Investment Outlook - ANIP's sales momentum and earnings growth provide a competitive edge over TEVA, which is experiencing margin pressures [27] - ANIP holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), while TEVA has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), further supporting ANIP's favorable investment position [28]
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (NYSE:TEVA) FY Conference Transcript
2026-01-13 17:17
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (NYSE: TEVA) - **CEO**: Richard Francis - **Conference Date**: January 13, 2026 Core Industry and Company Strategy - Teva is transitioning from a leading global generics company to a leading biopharma company, a strategy initiated three years ago [2][3] - The "pivot to growth" strategy is based on four pillars: 1. Deliver on growth engines 2. Step up innovation 3. Create a generics powerhouse 4. Focus the business [3] Financial Performance - Teva has achieved 11 consecutive quarters of growth since early 2023, reversing a previous decline [5] - The company is experiencing a transformation in financials, with improvements in gross margin, free cash flow, EBITDA, and operating margin while reducing debt [6][30] - Revenue growth is primarily driven by the innovative business, which has doubled in the last three years [11] Innovative Products and Pipeline - Key innovative products include: - **Austedo**: Revenue expectations have increased from $1.4 billion to potentially $3 billion [9] - **Ajovy**: Targeting $1 billion in revenue with double-digit growth [9] - **Uzedy**: Projected to achieve $1.5-$2 billion in revenue [10] - Teva's pipeline includes several promising products: - **Duvakitug**: Entering phase 3 studies for ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD) [4] - **Anle138b**: Treatment for multiple system atrophy (MSA) with a significant unmet need [23] - **Anti-IL-15**: Targeting celiac disease and vitiligo, with multiple indications expected [19][25] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Teva is positioning itself in high-value markets, including a $9 billion market for schizophrenia treatments [14] - The company aims for over $10 billion in peak sales across its innovative portfolio [13] - Teva's generics business is expected to grow at a low CAGR of 1%-2%, with a focus on biosimilars [26] Future Outlook - Teva anticipates a stable generics business while focusing on innovative growth, with a long-term vision extending over 20 years [5][31] - The company expects to maintain a 30% operating margin and continue growing EBITDA and free cash flow through 2027 [30] - Upcoming product launches include Olanzapine in 2026 and Daria in 2027, with a steady cadence of new products expected [36][38] Key Financial Metrics and Guidance - Revenue for 2026 is projected to be at the lower end of guidance due to the loss of $1.1 billion from generic Revlimid [29][41] - Despite this loss, Teva expects to grow EBITDA and operating margin, indicating a successful transformation of its portfolio [30] Conclusion - Teva is on a transformative journey towards becoming a leading biopharma company, with a strong focus on innovation and a robust pipeline of products that address significant unmet medical needs. The company is well-positioned for future growth, despite challenges in the generics market.
This International Pharma Stock Just Hit 5-Year Highs
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-26 15:45
Core Viewpoint - Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) is experiencing significant stock performance, with a notable increase in value and strong technical indicators, making it an attractive investment opportunity [1][5][6]. Group 1: Company Overview - Teva Pharmaceutical is valued at $36.40 billion and operates globally, developing, manufacturing, and marketing both branded and generic drugs, as well as active pharmaceutical ingredients [1]. - The company's generic product portfolio includes various forms such as tablets, capsules, liquids, ointments, creams, injectables, and inhalants, while its branded products feature Copaxone, Austedo, Ajovy, and respiratory products like ProAir and Qvar [2]. Group 2: Stock Performance - TEVA has gained 56.90% since a new "Buy" signal was issued on October 29, indicating strong momentum [3]. - The stock is trading at new 5-year highs, with an increase of over 40% in the past year, and maintains a 100% "Buy" opinion from Barchart [5][6]. - TEVA has a Weighted Alpha of +79.48, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 84.17, suggesting strong technical momentum [6]. Group 3: Technical Indicators - TEVA's stock recently traded at $31.75, with a 50-day moving average of $25.24, and has made 14 new highs, gaining 20.66% in the last month [6]. - There is a technical support level around $31.50, indicating potential stability in the stock price [6].
TEVA Files NDA With FDA for Olanzapine LAI for Schizophrenia
ZACKS· 2025-12-10 15:46
Core Insights - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited has submitted a new drug application (NDA) to the FDA for olanzapine, a long-acting subcutaneous injectable for treating adults with schizophrenia [1][7] - The NDA is backed by phase III SOLARIS study data, demonstrating olanzapine LAI's efficacy, safety, and tolerability in adults aged 18 to 64 with schizophrenia [2][7] - If approved, olanzapine LAI could fill a significant treatment gap for schizophrenia patients, offering a once-monthly formulation [3][9] Teva's Market Performance - Year-to-date, Teva's shares have increased by 29.6%, outperforming the industry average rise of 27.9% [4] - Teva's existing product Uzedy, a long-acting subcutaneous atypical antipsychotic, has contributed significantly to revenue, with sales increasing by 82% year-over-year to $136 million in the first nine months of 2025 [8] Future Revenue Potential - Teva anticipates that its long-acting schizophrenia franchise, including Uzedy and olanzapine LAI, could generate peak sales of $1.5 to $2.0 billion [9] - The company expects to generate over $5 billion in revenues from its branded products by 2030 [12] Branded Drug Pipeline - Teva has seen growth in its branded drugs, with Austedo sales rising by 33% in the first nine months of 2025, and expectations for annual revenues to exceed $2.5 billion by 2027 [10] - The company is also advancing its pipeline with duvakitug, an anti-TL1A therapy for inflammatory bowel diseases, in partnership with Sanofi [11]
Teva Stock Trading Above 200- & 50-Day SMA for 2 Months: How to Play
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 17:16
Core Insights - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited's stock has shown bullish momentum, trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages since late October, with a golden cross achieved in mid-September, indicating potential for a sustained upward trend [1][2][7] Stock Performance and Drivers - The 50-day SMA remains above the 200-day SMA, signaling positive future gains for the stock [2] - A significant factor contributing to Teva's stock performance was the conclusion of pricing negotiations under the Inflation Reduction Act for its key drug, Austedo, which is set for Medicare price setting starting in 2027. Teva raised its 2025 sales expectations for Austedo and maintains a revenue target of over $2.5 billion by 2027, with projections to exceed $3 billion by 2030 [2][6] Product Performance - Teva's newest branded drugs, including Austedo, Ajovy, and Uzedy, have collectively seen a 33% year-over-year sales increase, reaching $800 million in the third quarter [5] - Austedo sales rose 33% in the first nine months of 2025, with expectations for annual revenues exceeding $2.5 billion by 2027 and over $3 billion by 2030. The launch of Austedo XR, a new formulation, is expected to further boost sales [6] - Ajovy sales increased by 27% in the first nine months of 2025, with anticipated growth from patient expansion and international launches [8] - Uzedy, launched in May 2023, achieved sales of approximately $136 million in the first nine months of 2025, with total sales expected between $190 million and $200 million for the year [9] Pipeline and Future Growth - Teva's branded pipeline includes promising products like olanzapine and duvakitug, with ongoing phase III studies for duvakitug in collaboration with Sanofi [10] - The company anticipates generating over $5 billion in revenues from its branded products by 2030 [11] - Teva's generics and biosimilars pipeline is strengthening, with successful launches of several high-value complex generics and biosimilars [12][13] Market Position and Valuation - Teva's U.S. generics/biosimilars business showed a 15% increase in 2024, although sales were nearly flat in the first nine months of 2025 due to competitive pressures [15] - The stock has risen 28.6% year-to-date, outperforming the industry average of 28.2%, and is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 10.39, lower than the industry average of 14.37 [20][23] Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings has increased from $2.55 to $2.61 per share for 2025, with stability at $2.73 for 2026 [26] - Despite headwinds, Teva's newer drugs are driving top-line growth, and the company is focused on cost savings and margin improvements, targeting an adjusted operating margin of 30% by 2027 [29][30]
TEVA(TEVA) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-12-04 16:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has transitioned from a leading generics company to a biopharma company, showing significant progress in financials and business setup over the past three years [2] - The gross margin is expected to grow from approximately 48% in Q1 2023 to around 54% by the end of the year, with projections of 57%-58% by 2027 [10][11] - The innovative portfolio grew by 33% in Q3, contributing to overall financial improvements [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Austedo, a key product, is projected to exceed $2 billion in sales this year, with peak sales expected to surpass $3 billion [2][17] - The generics business has stabilized and grown over the last three years, despite the loss of over $1 billion in sales from generic Revlimid next year [4][8] - The company is focusing on high-margin innovative products like Austedo, Uzedy, and Ajovy to drive EBITDA growth [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a significant opportunity in the untreated market for Austedo, with 85% of patients currently untreated [23] - The competitive landscape for Uzedy is described as congested, yet the product has shown strong performance due to its unique profile [39][40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to its "Pivot to Growth" strategy, focusing on innovative products and improving operational efficiency [2][4] - Future product launches, including Olanzapine and Duvakitug, are expected to drive significant revenue growth and enhance the product portfolio [35][46] - The company aims to maintain price discipline while ensuring access to its products, balancing value and market penetration [42][43] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving EBITDA growth despite the loss of significant sales from generics, emphasizing the importance of innovative product launches [8][9] - The company is optimistic about the impact of the IRA on its products, particularly Austedo, and is focused on patient engagement and adherence programs [17][24] - Management highlighted the importance of regulatory changes in the biosimilars market as a potential tailwind for future growth [56][61] Other Important Information - The partnership with Sanofi for Duvakitug allows the company to share development costs and profits, enhancing its financial outlook [49][50] - The company is focusing on capital allocation to ensure efficient investment in its innovative pipeline while reducing investment in generics [66][67] Q&A Session Summary Question: How should we think about 2026 in terms of pushes and pulls? - Management indicated that losing over $1 billion in sales from generics will impact the top line, but they are committed to growing EBITDA through innovative products and cost-saving programs [7][9] Question: What are the underlying drivers for the $2.5 billion guidance in 2027? - The company highlighted the significant untreated market for Austedo and the importance of patient education and adherence programs to drive growth [23][24] Question: How does the company view the competitive landscape for Austedo? - Management emphasized a disciplined approach to maintaining value while ensuring access, focusing on the quality of the product and physician engagement [21][42] Question: What is the potential impact of the label expansion into bipolar for Uzedy? - While the label expansion may not significantly impact peak sales, it enhances the brand's overall perception and could contribute to growth [44] Question: What are the expectations for the Duvakitug product? - Management expressed excitement about Duvakitug's potential, projecting it could be a $3-$5 billion product based on its competitive advantages [47]