Economic and Currency Trends - The U.S. dollar is experiencing a decline, marking a third consecutive session of losses against major currencies such as the euro, yen, and Swiss franc, influenced by U.S.-China tensions and Federal Reserve remarks [1][2] - The dollar weakened by 0.49% to 0.793 against the Swiss franc, reflecting ongoing trade tensions and market uncertainty [2] - The dollar index fell by 0.33% to 98.35, with U.S. Treasury yields near multi-week lows, indicating pressure on the dollar amid a potential prolonged U.S. government shutdown [4] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller supports another interest rate cut at the upcoming policy meeting due to mixed job market signals [3] - The Fed's Beige Book indicates emerging economic weakness, including rising layoffs and reduced spending among middle and lower-income households, which may influence future rate decisions [4] U.S.-China Trade Relations - The dominant narrative remains U.S.-China trade tensions, with China increasing pressure ahead of a meeting between Presidents Xi Jinping and Donald Trump, raising questions about potential negotiation strategies [2] European Economic Developments - French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu survived two no-confidence votes, allowing him to deliver a budget and temporarily suspending controversial pension reforms, which positively impacted the euro, pushing it to a one-week high at $1.1688 [6]

Currency Market Insights - The U.S. dollar is experiencing a third consecutive daily loss against the euro, while it is slightly increasing against the yen due to ongoing U.S.-China tensions and dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials [1] - The dollar index is down 0.05% at 98.64, indicating a potential weekly decline of around 0.3% [2] - U.S. Treasury yields are near multi-week lows, with the benchmark 10-year yield just above 4%, which is putting pressure on the dollar amid concerns over a prolonged U.S. government shutdown [3] Rare Earths and Trade Relations - Investors are closely monitoring China's recent expansion of rare earth export controls, which has been criticized by U.S. officials for potentially disrupting global supply chains [5] - There is speculation that China's export controls may be a bargaining tactic to gain concessions from the U.S. [5] - The escalation in Sino-U.S. trade tensions is prompting reactions from European governments, highlighting the potential impact on global supply chains and European output [6] European Political Developments - The euro reached a one-week high, increasing by 0.09% to $1.1651, following the survival of French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu in a no-confidence vote [7]

ByEmese Bartha, Dow Jones NewswiresU.S. Treasury yields declined in early trading as the government shutdown continues."Whilst we foresee the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield finding its way higher towards 4.5% from a structural perspective, we do think the shutdown will prevent that move from materialising for now," ING rates strategists wrote in a note.At the same time, the strategists don't expect that the 4% level can be broken on the downside without more reliable data to work with, they said. ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin is expected to become a recognized reserve asset alongside gold within the next decade, although gold will maintain its lead in official holdings for the time being [1][3] - The U.S. dollar constitutes 57% of global reserves, but there are emerging signs of diversification, particularly with a notable decrease in China's U.S. Treasury holdings by $57 billion in 2024 [1][3] Group 1: Bitcoin and Gold Dynamics - Bitcoin and gold are seen as complementary hedges against inflation and geopolitical risks due to their scarcity and low correlation with other assets [2][4] - Gold reached a record high of $3,763, increasing over 40% year-to-date, indicating strong demand for precious metals [2] Group 2: Bitcoin's Volatility and Adoption - Bitcoin's volatility, which has historically hindered its status as a reserve asset, is decreasing, with its 30-day volatility hitting historic lows in August while prices exceeded $123,500 [3][4] - The adoption trajectory of Bitcoin is expected to mirror that of gold, transitioning from skepticism to widespread acceptance, facilitated by regulation and macroeconomic trends [4]