UCO(餐厨废弃油脂)
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全球减碳+SAF价格暴涨70%+政策三重催化!生物柴油开启千亿赛道
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-11-13 02:37
Core Insights - The biodiesel sector is experiencing significant positive developments, with core stocks showing notable price increases due to favorable policies and market conditions [1][4] - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) projects that Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) will contribute approximately 65% to the aviation sector's net-zero carbon target by 2050 [1] - The Chinese government has set ambitious targets for biodiesel utilization, aiming for 2 million tons by 2025 and 5 million tons by 2030, alongside mandatory blending standards [2] Industry Developments - The European SAF FOB price has risen over 58% since the beginning of the year, reaching $2840-$2860 per ton, while domestic prices have increased to $2450-$2650 per ton [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission's "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of biodiesel in renewable energy development [2] - The International Maritime Organization is promoting biodiesel as a key option for reducing emissions in the shipping sector [2] Technological Advancements - Third-generation biodiesel technologies have achieved conversion efficiencies exceeding 92%, significantly reducing pollutant emissions and ensuring compatibility with existing maritime and aviation equipment [3] - Leading domestic companies are extending their production capabilities into the SAF supply chain, enhancing product value [3] Market Activity - The demand for biodiesel is expanding into high-value applications, with increased trading activity in the sector as market expectations for growth rise [4] - Core stocks in the biodiesel sector are attracting significant investor interest, driven by policy and price catalysts [4] Company Spotlight: Shango Environmental - Shango Environmental (000803.SZ) is a leading player in the biodiesel raw material sector, focusing on the resource utilization of used cooking oil (UCO) [5] - The company has an annual production capacity of 60,000 tons of UCO and is well-positioned to benefit from the explosive growth in global SAF demand [5] - For the first half of 2025, the company anticipates a net profit of 40-45 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 214.28%-228.56% [5] Competitive Advantages - Shango has established a robust network for collecting used cooking oil, enhancing its raw material self-sufficiency [6] - The company is upgrading its production facilities to meet both domestic and international SAF production standards, supporting future market expansion [6] - Plans to increase biodiesel production capacity to 500,000 tons per year are in place, leveraging raw material advantages to extend the supply chain into SAF production [6]