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独家洞察 | 美国「立规矩」了,稳定币合规时代开启?
慧甚FactSet· 2025-07-24 03:25
Core Viewpoint - The signing of the GENIUS Act by President Trump establishes a regulatory framework for stablecoins at the federal level in the U.S., aiming to facilitate the development of the crypto finance industry by removing regulatory barriers [1][4]. Group 1: Regulatory Framework - The GENIUS Act mandates that stablecoin issuers must hold at least a 1:1 ratio of reserve assets, including cash, bank deposits, U.S. Treasury securities, and other high-liquidity government assets [3]. - Bank issuers will be regulated by the Federal Reserve, while non-bank issuers will be overseen by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) [3]. Group 2: Market Impact - The act allows foreign stablecoins that meet technical and compliance standards to be used in the U.S., enhancing flexibility for cross-border payments [4]. - The signing of the act is expected to boost market trust and drive industry growth, with major U.S. tech and retail companies exploring stablecoin applications to reduce credit card fees, potentially saving billions annually [4]. Group 3: Future Projections - Current reports indicate approximately $250 billion in dollar-pegged stablecoins are in circulation, with over 80% of reserve assets in U.S. Treasury securities, creating an additional demand of about $200 billion for the Treasury market [5]. - Standard Chartered predicts that the stablecoin market could reach $2 trillion by 2028, with corresponding Treasury demand between $1.2 trillion and $1.6 trillion, positioning stablecoin issuers as the second-largest buyers of U.S. Treasuries after the Federal Reserve [5]. Group 4: Banking Sector Response - Despite the potential for stablecoins to enhance payment efficiency, some banks remain cautious, with JPMorgan questioning the necessity of stablecoins and Citigroup highlighting high exchange costs between stablecoins and fiat currencies [6]. - Some banks are considering forming industry alliances to launch compliant and interoperable stablecoins [6]. Group 5: Overall Implications - The passage of the GENIUS Act marks a significant step in U.S. stablecoin regulation, providing a clear legal framework for the crypto industry and laying the groundwork for payment innovation and financial modernization [6]. - As tech companies and traditional financial institutions accelerate their stablecoin strategies, the U.S. may gain a competitive edge in the future digital finance landscape, although challenges in practical application and regulatory refinement remain [6].