UV胶粘剂

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光引发剂行业:供给事件频出,景气有望修复
Changjiang Securities· 2025-06-18 13:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the chemical industry [8] Core Insights - The light initiator industry is experiencing frequent supply disruptions, with significant events such as a fire at Jiangxi Yangfan's subsidiary leading to production halts, and Ningxia Wokailong facing operational difficulties. Despite these challenges, the industry's high concentration and growing demand suggest a potential recovery in market conditions, making it a point of interest for investment opportunities [2][7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The light initiator industry is crucial for light-curing materials, which include UV coatings, inks, adhesives, and composites. The market has seen stable growth, with the output value increasing from 3.11 billion in 2018 to 4.59 billion in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of 8.1% [10] Supply Disruptions - Recent supply disruptions include a fire incident at Jiangxi Yangfan and operational challenges faced by Ningxia Wokailong, which has been listed as a dishonest executor due to unfulfilled obligations. These events are expected to improve the supply-demand balance in the industry [7][10] Market Dynamics - Historical price elasticity in the light initiator market indicates significant upward potential, especially as the current market conditions are at a low point. The report notes that in 2017, prices surged due to high demand and limited supply, with notable increases in various product prices [10] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on key players like Jiu Ri New Materials, which holds a leading position in the market with a projected production of 19,851 tons in 2024, capturing approximately 34% of the domestic market share. The company is expected to increase its sales by 20.2% year-on-year, indicating a strong competitive advantage [10]