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国际大行里昂看好中国科技股:聚焦联想、中芯国际等,业绩与前景获双重认可
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-08 05:45
Group 1: Industry Overview - The report by Credit Lyonnais highlights the growth in PC shipments driven by demand in both the US and Chinese markets, despite geopolitical influences [1] - The technology sector is recommended for investment, particularly in companies like AAC Technologies, SMIC, and Lenovo [1] Group 2: AAC Technologies - AAC Technologies is expected to see steady performance in the first half of 2025, driven by improvements in its optical business and contributions from new smartphone models [2] - The company is a key supplier for major brands, including Apple and Xiaomi, with its hybrid lenses being used in flagship devices [2] - Credit Lyonnais maintains a "outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 66.10 [2] Group 3: SMIC - SMIC's revenue for Q2 2025 is projected to grow by 1% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding previous guidance of a 4%-6% decline, due to strong demand for analog chips in industrial and automotive sectors [3] - The stock price adjustment has largely reflected negative factors from Q1 earnings, and the current valuation is stable [3] - The target price has been slightly raised to HKD 59.20 / RMB 119.80, benefiting from domestic AI computing demand and semiconductor localization [3] Group 4: Sunny Optical - Sunny Optical is experiencing strong profit margins in camera modules and a surge in automotive lens shipments, benefiting from the promotion of smart driving systems in China [4] - The average selling price (ASP) of mobile camera modules is expected to increase by over 20% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, offsetting declines in shipment volume [4] - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 88.70, reflecting a 23.4 times P/E ratio for 2026 estimates [5] Group 5: Lenovo - Lenovo's net profit for Q1 FY2025/2026 is expected to exceed previous estimates by 7%, driven by strong demand from hyperscale data center customers [6] - The IDG business is projected to grow by 7% quarter-on-quarter, attributed to early PC demand release [6] - Lenovo's PC business is anticipated to maintain strong growth in the second half of 2025, capturing market share from competitors [6][7] Group 6: AI PC Development - Lenovo launched a new high-end AI PC model in June, featuring advanced processing capabilities and integration with Google's language model [7] - The server business revenue is expected to reach USD 4.1 billion in Q1 FY2025/2026, with improved profit margins due to inventory value adjustments [7][8] - The target price remains at HKD 11.00, with a maintained "outperform" rating based on projected non-GAAP net profits [8]