VLCC船型期租
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中远海能午前涨近3% VLCC期租租金保持高位 船东情绪高涨对后市乐观
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 04:09
Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a significant increase in VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) charter rates since November, with one-year charter rates surpassing the highest levels seen since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, reflecting a strong bullish sentiment in the oil transportation market [1] Group 1: VLCC Market Dynamics - According to Clarksons, VLCC charter rates for 1-3 year terms have rapidly increased, indicating a consensus among shipowners and charterers about a sustained upward cycle in the oil transportation market [1] - The supply side of VLCC remains tight, with a high proportion of older vessels and new supply primarily aimed at replacing these older ships [1] - The demand side is bolstered by ongoing sanctions from Europe and the U.S. against Russian and Iranian crude oil exports, leading to increased compliance market demand [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The domestic crude oil import demand and potential inventory replenishment needs are expected to be released, contributing to a positive outlook for the VLCC market over the next 2-3 years [1] - Recent increases in oil production from the Middle East and South America, along with intensified U.S. sanctions on Russia, have led India to reduce its imports of Russian oil in favor of Middle Eastern and Gulf imports, benefiting compliant VLCC operations [1] - The VLCC-TCE (Time Charter Equivalent) rate for the Middle East to China route has recently surged to over $120,000, setting a new record, and is expected to lead to the highest profitability for crude carriers in a decade by Q4 2025 [1]