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思摩尔国际(06969):2025年中期业绩点评:雾化主业如期修复,HNB与雾化医疗蓄力长期增长
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-27 11:32
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 6.013 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.3%, while adjusted profit slightly decreased by 2.1% to 737 million HKD [1] - The company is benefiting from the global trend towards regulatory compliance, with its vaping business recovering as expected [1] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 0.20 HKD per share [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company's To B business revenue increased by 19.5% year-on-year to 4.74 billion HKD, with European revenue growing by 38.0% to 2.73 billion HKD [2] - In the U.S., revenue was 1.5% higher at 1.89 billion HKD, while domestic revenue decreased by 6.1% to 120 million HKD [2] - The self-owned brand business revenue grew by 14.1% year-on-year to 1.27 billion HKD, with European revenue increasing by 15.1% [3] Long-term Growth Potential - The successful commercialization of HNB products and steady progress in vaping medical applications are expected to drive long-term growth [3] - The company launched high-end HNB products in Japan, with plans for nationwide expansion and entry into more key markets in the second half of 2025 [3] Financial Forecasts - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 1.239 billion HKD, 1.822 billion HKD, and 2.565 billion HKD respectively, reflecting year-on-year changes of -4.9%, +47.0%, and +40.8% [4] - The diluted EPS is projected to be 0.20, 0.29, and 0.41 HKD for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 98, 67, and 48 [4]