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Philip Morris International Shares Tumble: Time to Run for the Hills or Buy the Dip?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-27 08:50
Core Viewpoint - Traditional cigarette sales are declining, but Philip Morris International is offsetting this with strong growth in its newer nicotine products, particularly the Zyn brand and heated tobacco units [1][10]. Group 1: Sales Performance - Zyn shipments in the U.S. increased by 40% to 190 million cans in Q2, with retail sales volumes growing by 26% in the quarter and 36% in June [1]. - Outside the U.S. and Nordic countries, Zyn shipments more than doubled, now available in 44 markets, with overall oral product shipments climbing 23.8% [2]. - Sales volumes of heated tobacco units (HTUs), including the Iqos system, rose nearly 9.2% to 38.8 billion units, with in-market sales increasing by 11.4% [4]. - E-vapor product Veev saw shipment growth more than double, driven by pod growth in Europe, now in 42 markets and holding the No. 1 market share in six European markets [5]. Group 2: Financial Metrics - Organic revenue rose 6.8% year over year to $10.1 billion, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) climbing 20% to $1.91 [6]. - Traditional cigarette volumes fell by 1.5% to 155.2 billion units, but segment organic revenue grew 2% to $6 billion, and gross profits increased by 5% to $4 billion due to price hikes [5]. - Management maintained its full-year guidance for organic revenue growth at 6% to 8% while raising adjusted EPS guidance to $7.43 to $7.56 [9]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The company expects a 3% to 4% decline in traditional cigarette volumes due to supply chain issues in Turkey and competition from illicit cigarettes in Indonesia [7][8]. - Despite the forecast for steeper declines in cigarette sales volumes, the smoke-free portfolio, particularly Zyn and Iqos, continues to show strong growth and better unit economics [10][11]. - The stock is viewed as undervalued with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio under 22 and a PEG ratio below 0.35, indicating potential for growth [12]. Group 4: Investment Considerations - The current share price offers a forward dividend yield of 3.3%, which, while lower than some competitors, positions the company as a unique growth stock in a defensive industry [13]. - The dip in stock price presents a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors [13].
The Stock Market Is Down in 2025: 3 Dividend Stocks Investors Can't Get Enough of
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-27 14:00
Core Insights - The article highlights the performance of dividend-paying stocks during market downturns, emphasizing their stability and ability to outperform the S&P 500 in 2025 [1][2] Group 1: AT&T - AT&T is a major U.S. telecom provider with 72.7 million post-paid phone subscribers and 9.3 million fiber optic broadband customers as of the end of 2024 [3] - The stock has a low beta of 0.42, indicating less volatility during market downturns, and offers a dividend yield of 4.1%, which is sustainable as it represents only half of the company's earnings-per-share estimate for 2025 [4] Group 2: Philip Morris International - Philip Morris is the largest tobacco company globally, selling products in 180 countries, and has a beta of 0.44, making it a reliable investment during economic downturns [5] - The company has consistently paid and raised its dividend since 2008, currently yielding 3.2%, and smoke-free products now account for 40% of total sales, indicating a shift towards long-term growth [6] Group 3: The Coca-Cola Company - Coca-Cola is a well-established blue-chip dividend stock with a diverse portfolio of beverages and a low beta of 0.45, making it a stable investment choice [7][8] - The company has a dividend yield of 2.8% and a payout ratio of 69% of 2025 earnings estimates, with a strong track record of increasing dividends over six decades [9]