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A "Smoke-Free" Partnership Could Breathe New Life Into This Dividend King
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-05 10:10
Core Viewpoint - Altria Group's collaboration with South Korean tobacco giant KT&G could enhance its smoke-free product offerings and secure its high dividend yield for the future [3][6][9] Financial Performance - Altria is a Dividend King with over 50 consecutive years of dividend growth and currently has a forward yield of 6.45% [1] - In Q2 2025, Altria's net revenue fell by 3.6% year-over-year, and GAAP earnings per share decreased by 36.2% [4] - Despite a recent increase in sales of its On! tobacco pouch product, volumes remain significantly lower than market leader Zyn, with On! reporting 52.1 million cans shipped compared to Zyn's 190.2 million cans [5] Strategic Developments - Altria announced a memorandum of understanding for a non-binding global collaboration with KT&G, focusing on the development of non-tobacco nicotine pouches and acquiring an equity stake in Another Snus Factory Stockholm AB [6][7] - The partnership may allow Altria to expand the On! brand globally and explore international growth opportunities for the Loop brand [8] Market Position and Valuation - Altria's potential for growth in non-U.S. markets and modest market share gains in the U.S. nicotine pouch market could stabilize net sales and support modest earnings and dividend growth [9] - Currently, Altria's shares trade at 11.7 times forward earnings, while Philip Morris International trades at nearly 20 times forward earnings, indicating a potential for valuation catch-up [9][10]
Is Altria Stock a Long-Term Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-24 07:50
Core Viewpoint - Altria Group, known for its Marlboro brand, faces an uncertain future despite its history of consistent dividend increases and dominance in the tobacco market [1][2]. Industry Transition - The tobacco industry is shifting from combustible cigarettes to smoke-free products, with Altria's ability to adapt to these trends being crucial for its long-term viability [2][5]. - The U.S. tobacco market remains lucrative, with Altria holding a 41% share of the retail cigarette market and 59.5% of the premium segment [4]. Product Development Challenges - Altria has struggled to establish itself in the next-generation product categories, including electronic vapes and heated tobacco devices, following a failed investment in Juul and a recent patent loss [5][6][7]. - Oral nicotine salt pouches have been Altria's most successful smoke-free product, but it still lags behind competitors like Philip Morris International's Zyn [8]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, approximately 83% of Altria's operating income came from smokeable products, indicating that smoke-free products are not yet a significant revenue source [9]. - The legacy smokeable segment remains profitable, allowing Altria to slowly increase free cash flow per share through price hikes and stock repurchases [10]. Dividend and Growth Outlook - Altria recently raised its dividend by 3.9%, offering a starting yield of 6.5%, with analysts projecting an average earnings growth of 3.4% annually over the next three to five years [11][12]. - The company is expected to maintain steady dividend growth for at least another five years, provided it can improve its performance in next-generation products [12]. Distribution Network Advantage - Altria's extensive distribution network, built through its Marlboro brand, positions it to potentially regain market share in new product categories if it executes effectively [13]. Investment Considerations - Altria is considered a strong high-yield dividend stock, appealing to investors seeking steady income, though it may not be suitable for those looking for high growth and capital gains [14][15]. - The company must enhance its product rollout and market presence in the transitioning nicotine industry to secure its long-term position [16].
Headlines Today in Finance, Technology & Geopolitics — Wall Street’s Party, Main Street’s Hangover
Medium· 2025-09-15 17:14
Headlines Today in Finance, Technology & Geopolitics — Wall Street’s Party, Main Street’s HangoverThe Fed is poised to cut rates, stocks keep breaking records, but consumers feel poorer and less secureBetween the Lines2 min read·Just nowJust now--The Fed’s Cut ConundrumMarkets are salivating over a likely Fed rate cut this week, but the real economy isn’t feeling it. Consumer sentiment just fell to a four-month low, households still see groceries and rent as unaffordable, and job creation is cooling. Yet th ...
Big Tobacco Isn’t Up in Smoke Just Yet
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-15 10:30
Industry Overview - The tobacco industry is experiencing a strong year, contrary to the belief that it is shrinking, with significant sales growth in non-cigarette products [1] - The FDA has agreed to fast-track the approval process for nicotine pouches, a move influenced by the White House, indicating a favorable regulatory environment for the industry [1][3] Product Development - The FDA has historically taken a long time to approve new nicotine delivery methods, but recently approved 20 flavors of Zyn, a leading nicotine pouch brand owned by Philip Morris International, after a five-year review [2] - The agency is now expediting the approval process for pouch products from four industry leaders, with potential legal launches expected by December [3] Financial Performance - A basket of six global tobacco stocks has yielded an average total return of 43% year-to-date, showcasing strong market performance [6] - Philip Morris International reported a 32% year-over-year increase in shipments of oral smoke-free products, surpassing 200 million cans in the Americas [6] - Altria reported a 26% year-over-year growth in shipments of its Zyn competitor, with its share price up 27% year-to-date [6] Historical Context - The tobacco industry has historically outperformed all other sectors in the US from 1900 to 2015, providing financial benefits to municipalities through securitized payments from major tobacco companies [4]
X @mert | helius.dev
mert | helius.dev· 2025-09-04 10:27
day 2 of nicotine withdrawal after my zyn scaredid a few more follow-up tests with the cardiologisthe did a relatively long ultrasound on my heart and found that I have "leakage" — this is when the blood flow from your heart leaks back to one of your chambers instead of being fully pumped outhe said this is most likely caused by excessive nicotine stiffening up the arteries (it can also be made worse by mixing it with caffeine, since caffeine *also* constricts blood vessels)(if you're curious, I used to do ...
Philip Morris: Quality Growth And What To Look For Going Forward
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-28 13:40
Core Insights - Philip Morris' Zyn US volumes for Q2 fell slightly below expectations, leading to a decline in stock price and presenting a potential buying opportunity [1] Company Performance - The underperformance of Zyn volumes in the US has been a significant factor affecting Philip Morris' stock [1] Investment Opportunity - The decline in stock price due to the Q2 results is viewed as an opportunity for investors to buy into Philip Morris [1]