All right, let's take a look at WTI this morning. Crude oil up by about 1% 6577. It's dropped down from the rough roughly $75 level that we saw just a couple of weeks ago when Israel and Iran were firing missiles at each other.Joining us right now is Don Striven. He is Goldman Sachs co-head of global commodities research and it's the um beginning of a new quarter. So, let's look back at what happened last quarter, Don, and just kind of walk through things.WTI was up 7% for the month, but it's down 9% for th ...

June 17, 2025 04:01 AM GMT North American Energy | North America Navigating Geopolitical Risks & Stronger Oil WTI has rallied ~20% in June alongside rising geopolitical risks. Near-term strength could continue, but prices are biased lower in 2H25 absent supply disruption. Post recent moves, we revisit views across the Energy Sector. From here, we remain selective with a defensive bias & prefer gas over oil. Key Takeaways The Extel Survey is now open. We would greatly appreciate your support for the Joy.Golu ...

Oil option trading volumes at CME Group are up 35% so far in 2025. The uncertain oil outlook makes options useful tools. But that's not all.Once the exclusive domain of hedging specialists, quantitative experts, oil options are democratizing, attracting energy giants, retail traders, and multistrategy commodity funds. Here are three reasons why more traders are getting involved. One, better tools.The proliferation of options analytics and education empowers new firms to explore options and existing users to ...

Core Viewpoint - The rising tensions between Israel and Iran are causing concerns over oil supply risks, leading to an increase in oil prices, which could benefit companies like APA that are involved in oil production [2][5]. Group 1: Oil Price Impact - Israeli airstrikes on Iran have prompted retaliatory drone strikes, raising investor concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies from the Middle East [2]. - As a result of these geopolitical tensions, WTI crude oil prices have risen by 6.5% to $72.50 per barrel, while Brent Crude oil has increased by 6.4%, nearing $74 per barrel [4]. - The ongoing conflict may lead to sustained increases in oil prices as fears of broader regional instability grow [5]. Group 2: APA Company Analysis - APA stock has seen a 3.8% increase, reflecting investor sentiment regarding rising oil prices [1]. - The company reported a profit of $804 million last year, with a current trading valuation of approximately 7.2 times trailing earnings, indicating potential for growth as oil prices rise [6]. - APA offers a 5% dividend yield and generates superior free cash flow of $1.2 billion, which is about 20% more than its reported trailing-12-month earnings, making it an attractive investment option [7].

Oil option trading volumes at CME Group are up 35% so far in 2025. The uncertain oil outlook makes options useful tools. But that's not all.Once the exclusive domain of hedging specialists, quantitative experts, oil options are democratizing, attracting energy giants, retail traders, and multistrategy commodity funds. Here are three reasons why more traders are getting involved. One, better tools.The proliferation of options analytics and education empowers new firms to explore options and existing users to ...

9 June 2025 | 9:44PM EDT Oil Tracker: Price Recovery Amid Easing Demand Concerns and Mixed Tightness Signals Brent prices rose by $3 to $67/bbl over the past 10 days on: 1) fading demand fears, 2) downside risks to North American supply, and 3) geopolitical tensions between Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Iran. Prices rose despite mixed signals about physical tightness—including rising inventories—and about OPEC+ supply. The US May jobs report and ISM surveys suggest the economy is slowing slightly. However, mark ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" (OW) position on cash, equities, credit, and bonds, while being "Underweight" (UW) on commodities for the next three months [3][21]. Core Insights - Emerging Market (EM) equities have shown resilience despite tariff uncertainties, with a projected earnings growth of 10% to 11% for CY 2025/26, which is 2-3 percentage points higher than previous forecasts [2][6]. - The S&P 500 had its best May performance since 1990, outperforming EM equities year-to-date, although EM equities have generally outperformed US equities in the same period [2][7]. - A weaker US Dollar is expected to support EM outperformance, as EM equities have historically benefited from a weaker Dollar [2][14]. Summary by Sections Economic Outlook - The report highlights the importance of upcoming economic data and decisions from G4 central banks, with expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the ECB and stable unemployment rates in the US [1][2]. Market Performance - The S&P 500's performance in May 2025 was notably strong, while EM equities have shown positive macro surprises, contrasting with muted US macro surprises [2][9]. Asset Allocation - The report suggests a diversified approach, advocating for international diversification in equities and bonds, and highlights the potential benefits of EM equity and local rates [3][6][21]. Correlation Analysis - The correlation between MSCI EM and the US Dollar has turned more positive, indicating a decoupling of EM rates from US rates, which may provide investment opportunities [16][18].

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, publications, and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].

May 4, 2025 10:00 PM GMT The Oil Manual Weaker Balances Ahead after OPEC Hike OPEC's quota revision came in higher than we had expected, and is likely a precursor for further supply increases in months ahead. This adds to the market surplus we already modelled for 2H25 and 2026. As a result, we lower our Brent forecasts by $5- 10/bbl. Key Takeaways Exhibit 1: So far, the Brent price is following a trajectory similar to other key downturns; the current period arguably has most parallels to the downturn in 19 ...

4 May 2025 | 7:12PM EDT Oil Comment: Nudging Down Our Price Forecast on Higher OPEC Supply Assumption From July Daan Struyven +1(212)357-4172 | daan.struyven@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby +1(646)446-3905 | yulia.grigsby@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ephraim Sutherland +1(972)368-0395 | ephraim.sutherland@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important discl ...