Shares of the content and tech company Thomson Reuters Corp (NASDAQ: TRI) traded nearly 12% higher today, as of 11:42 a.m. ET. In a press release, the company announced that 1 million law professionals now use its artificial intelligence-powered legal solution, CoCounsel. From AI concerns to AI success Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both nee ...

Core Viewpoint - Thomson Reuters Corporation (NYSE:TRI) is currently considered one of the best foreign stocks to buy, with an upgrade from RBC Capital analyst Drew McReynolds from Sector Perform to Outperform, maintaining a price target of $126 [1][2]. Group 1: Analyst Upgrade and Market Context - The upgrade is attributed to a recent sharp drop in the stock price, which was influenced by a broader selloff in software and services stocks, particularly following Anthropic's launch of a legal plug-in for its Claude AI tool [3]. - McReynolds believes that the recent pullback creates an asymmetric opportunity for upside potential for Thomson Reuters [4]. Group 2: AI Impact and Market Dynamics - The analyst emphasizes the significance of "agentic AI" in transforming legal and tax services, which could lead to higher growth potential in the coming years, albeit with a wider range of outcomes [4]. - Thomson Reuters' current valuation is approximately 12.5 times forward EV/EBITDA, reflecting both the opportunities and risks associated with AI [5]. Group 3: Company Overview - Thomson Reuters Corporation is a Canadian company that provides news, information, and technology solutions to professionals in various sectors, including legal, tax, accounting, compliance, and media [6].

Core Insights - The article discusses the shift in investment focus from hardware suppliers to experience-driven companies in the tech sector, particularly in the context of the iPhone and artificial intelligence [1][3][22] Group 1: iPhone Supplier Dynamics - Companies like Skyworks Solutions, Cirrus Logic, and Universal Display saw stock price surges when named as iPhone suppliers, but Apple often imposed low prices and high quality demands, leading to profitability challenges for these suppliers [2] - The real beneficiaries of the iPhone boom were companies providing services and experiences, such as Uber and ByteDance, which have outperformed traditional hardware suppliers [3] Group 2: Current AI Market Trends - A recent selloff in AI infrastructure companies, including chipmakers and data center developers, occurred due to concerns over profitability in a rapidly evolving industry [4] - Analyst Louis Navellier warns of a potential market dislocation for AI companies, suggesting that expectations for "Stage 1" infrastructure firms are overly optimistic [5] Group 3: Investment Opportunities in AI - A select group of "Stage 2" companies in the AI sector is believed to offer significant upside potential, with estimates of around 500% growth [6] - Thomson Reuters, with its established legal research platform, is expected to recover from a 60% selloff, as it combines AI with human expertise to maintain accuracy in legal research [9][14] - ServiceNow, which serves over 85% of Fortune 500 companies, is experiencing rapid growth with a 21% revenue increase in 2025 and projected 20% growth for the current year, driven by its AI capabilities [15][16] Group 4: Comparisons with 5G Technology - The article draws parallels between the 5G technology rollout and the current AI landscape, noting that the biggest winners are not the infrastructure providers but the companies leveraging these technologies for consumer experiences [20][21] - OpenAI's GPT-5 is highlighted as a significant advancement in AI, similar to the leap made by 5G, with the potential for "Stage 2" companies to dominate the market [22][23]

Core Insights - Thomson Reuters Corp. reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results with revenue of $2.009 billion, a 5% increase year-over-year, exceeding the $2.001 billion estimate [1] - Organic revenue rose 7%, driven by 9% growth in its "Big 3" segments: Legal Professionals, Corporates, and Tax and Accounting Professionals [1] - GAAP diluted earnings per share decreased 43% to 74 cents from $1.30, while adjusted EPS increased 6% to $1.07, surpassing the $1.06 estimate [1] Financial Performance - Operating profit fell 25% to $540 million, mainly due to prior-year gains related to the sale of FindLaw [2] - Revenue growth included a 6% rise in recurring revenue, which constituted 84% of total revenue, and an 11% increase in transaction revenue, offset by a 6% decline in Global Print [3] - Adjusted EBITDA rose 8% to $777 million, with the margin improving to 38.7% from 37.6% [3] - Net cash from operations increased 35% to $756 million, and free cash flow grew 38% to $581 million [3] Segment Performance - Legal Professionals unit revenue grew 1% to $738 million, with organic growth reaching 9% driven by Westlaw, CoCounsel, and Practical Law; adjusted EBITDA rose 9% to $327 million, with a margin of 44.3% [4] - Corporates revenue increased 7% to $496 million, despite negative impacts from the sale of non-core businesses, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 32.2% and organic revenue growth of 9% [5] - Tax & Accounting Professionals' revenue climbed 13% to $414 million, supported by the SafeSend acquisition, with organic growth at 11% and adjusted EBITDA jumping 14% to $222 million, resulting in a margin of 53.6% [6] - Reuters News revenue increased 6% (5% organic) to $232 million, driven by higher generative AI-related transactional content licensing revenue and a price increase from a news agreement with LSEG [7]

Core Insights - Anthropic has launched a new model, Claude Opus 4.6, which is gaining attention beyond the tech community due to its potential impact on various sectors, particularly legal data firms [1][2]. Company Developments - The recent release of a plug-in for the Claude chatbot, aimed at legal analysis, has caused significant stock declines for major legal data firms, with Thomson Reuters dropping nearly 16% and RELX falling 12% [2]. - Claude Opus 4.6 is designed to assist knowledge workers, enhancing capabilities in coding and addressing challenges faced by non-coders in applications like Excel and PowerPoint [5][6]. - The new model reportedly outperforms its predecessor, Claude 4.5, in key benchmarks, achieving the best results in 38 out of 40 cybersecurity investigations [7]. Market Reactions - Market participants are reacting strongly to advancements in AI, with a focus on identifying potential losers in the sector, as noted by analysts [3][11]. - The perception of Anthropic is still limited, with a poll indicating that less than 5% of the population is aware of the company [3][12]. - The market's reaction may signal a broader trend where only a narrow set of companies will emerge as winners in the AI space, raising concerns about a potential bubble [11][12].

Core Insights - The company expresses confidence in its ability to leverage proprietary content and expertise to deliver professional-grade AI solutions, particularly in the legal sector, amidst growing competition in AI [1][5][6] - The company has reported strong financial results for 2025, with organic revenue growth of 7% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 39.2%, indicating solid operational performance [7][12][14] - The company is committed to a balanced capital allocation strategy, including a 10% increase in annual dividends and ongoing share repurchase programs, while maintaining a strong liquidity position with $11 billion of capital capacity through 2028 [11][28][30] Financial Performance - Full-year organic revenue grew 7%, driven by a 9% increase in the Big Three segments, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 6% to $2.9 billion [12][13][14] - Fourth quarter organic revenues also grew 7%, with legal organic revenue increasing by 9%, supported by strong performance from Westlaw and co-counsel products [12][23][24] - Free cash flow for 2025 was reported at $1.95 billion, slightly exceeding expectations, driven by EBITDA growth [27] AI and Innovation - The company is focusing on AI-driven workflows, with plans to integrate advanced AI capabilities into its legal and tax offerings, which are seen as significant growth opportunities [6][9][10] - The launch of Westlaw Advantage has been successful, with early sales indicating a new standard in legal research capabilities [5][42] - The company has developed over 300 AI use cases across various departments, demonstrating a commitment to leveraging AI for operational efficiency [17][18] Capital Allocation and M&A Strategy - The company executed a $1 billion share repurchase program and completed four acquisitions for approximately $850 million in 2025, enhancing its capabilities in key segments [29][30] - The company aims to return 75% of its free cash flow to investors in 2026, indicating a strong commitment to shareholder value [46][30] - The company maintains a cautious approach to M&A, focusing on strategic acquisitions that enhance customer experience and align with its long-term goals [55][56] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company believes its unique content sets and deep domain expertise create a significant barrier to entry for competitors in the legal research space [41][40] - The percentage of annualized contract value from GenAI-enabled products has increased to 28%, reflecting the growing integration of AI into the company's offerings [24][72] - The company sees a strong demand for its AI-driven tools across all firm sizes, indicating a broad market appeal and potential for growth [71]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Full-year organic revenue grew 7%, driven by 9% growth for Big 3 segments [9][14] - Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 100 basis points to 39.2% [9][14] - Free cash flow for 2025 was $1.95 billion, slightly ahead of expectations [10][24] - Adjusted earnings per share for the year was $3.92, compared to $3.77 per share in the prior year [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Legal organic revenue grew 9%, driven by Westlaw and CoCounsel [12][21] - Corporate organic revenue also grew 9%, supported by legal, tax, and risk portfolios [12] - Tax, Audit, & Accounting organic revenues increased by 11%, driven by UltraTax and CoCounsel [13][21] - Reuters' organic revenues rose 5%, primarily from the agency business and a contract with LSEG [14][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global print organic revenues declined 6% year-on-year [14][22] - The percentage of annualized contract value from GenAI-enabled products increased to 28%, up from 24% [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage proprietary content and deep domain expertise with advanced AI capabilities to deliver specialized workflows [8][10] - The strategy includes aggressive innovation and a focus on AI-driven solutions, particularly in legal workflows [8][10] - The company is committed to a balanced capital allocation approach, including annual dividend growth and strategic M&A [11][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the value of their content and expertise in delivering professional-grade AI solutions [5][6] - The outlook for 2026 includes organic revenue growth of 7.5%-8%, with approximately 9.5% for Big 3 segments [27][29] - The company expects healthy margin expansion and strong free cash flow while continuing to invest in innovation [11][27] Other Important Information - The company executed a $1 billion share repurchase program and announced a 10% increase in the annual common stock dividend [11][25] - The company has an estimated $11 billion of capital capacity through 2028, allowing for aggressive and opportunistic investments [11][25] Q&A Session Summary Question: What drove the slowdown in legal recurring growth from Q3 to Q4? - The slowdown is associated with the government business, but there is strong momentum in Legal Professionals excluding government [34][35] Question: What is the moat around Westlaw and Practical Law? - The moat is based on unique content sets created by skilled lawyers and deep domain expertise, making it difficult for competitors to replicate [39][41] Question: How are share buybacks prioritized in the current environment? - Share repurchases are considered attractive at current levels, and the company plans to discuss this option with the board [45][46] Question: What is the size and adoption progress of CoCounsel? - The reception of CoCounsel Legal has been encouraging across various law firm sizes, and the company is optimistic about its adoption [51][53] Question: How does the company plan to monetize AI product innovations? - The company does not price based on headcount and aims to price based on value, benefiting from increased efficiency in legal departments [66][67]

Group 1: Market Overview - U.S. software and data services companies have experienced a significant decline, with the S&P 500 software and services index dropping 4.6% and losing approximately $1 trillion in market value since January 28, referred to as "software-mageddon" [1] - Major tech companies affected include ServiceNow, which fell 7.6%, Salesforce, which slipped 4.7%, and Microsoft, which sank 5% [1] Group 2: Investor Sentiment - The current market sentiment is characterized by a "sell-everything mindset," indicating widespread fear among investors [2] - Concerns about the impact of artificial intelligence on various sectors have led to a lack of dip-buying, with the S&P 500 software and services index trading about 21% below its 200-day moving average, the lowest since June 2022 [4] Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - Thomson Reuters, despite raising its dividend and reporting fourth-quarter results in line with estimates, fell 5.6% due to investor concerns over AI disrupting its legal business [2][3] - Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist noted that while AI investments are yielding tangible benefits, the uncertainty surrounding AI's long-term impact poses risks to near-term earnings [3] Group 4: Sector Rotation - There is a notable rotation out of technology stocks into value-oriented sectors such as consumer staples, energy, and industrials, which had previously lagged in the bull market that began in October 2022 [6] - This trend reflects a broader strategy of de-risking from technology investments, which has been observed since the beginning of the year [6]

Core Insights - Thomson Reuters reported solid revenue momentum with organic revenues up 9% for its "Big 3" segments in both the fourth quarter and full year of 2025 [1] - The company experienced a 5% increase in total revenues for Q4 2025 and a 3% increase for the full year, with organic revenues growing by 7% in both periods [1] - The CEO emphasized the benefits of investments in AI and technology to enhance product innovation and customer service [1] Financial Highlights - Q4 2025 - Total revenues reached $2,009 million, a 5% increase from $1,909 million in Q4 2024 [1] - Operating profit decreased by 25% to $540 million, primarily due to prior-year gains from the sale of FindLaw [1] - Diluted EPS fell to $0.74 from $1.30, reflecting lower operating profit [1] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 8% to $777 million, with a margin of 38.7%, up from 37.6% [1] Financial Highlights - Full Year 2025 - Total revenues for the year were $7,476 million, a 3% increase from $7,258 million in 2024 [2] - Operating profit increased by 1% to $2,132 million [2] - Diluted EPS decreased to $3.33 from $4.89, largely due to a prior-year non-cash tax benefit [2] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 6% to $2,936 million, with a margin of 39.2%, up from 38.2% [2] Segment Performance - Q4 2025 - Legal Professionals segment revenues increased by 1%, with organic growth of 9% [2] - Corporates segment revenues rose by 7%, with organic growth also at 9% [2] - Tax, Audit & Accounting Professionals segment saw a 13% revenue increase, with organic growth of 11% [2] - Reuters segment revenues increased by 6%, driven by AI-related content licensing [2] Segment Performance - Full Year 2025 - Legal Professionals segment revenues decreased by 2% to $2,868 million, with organic growth of 8% [3] - Corporates segment revenues increased by 8% to $1,987 million, with organic growth of 9% [3] - Tax, Audit & Accounting Professionals segment revenues rose by 12% to $1,302 million, with organic growth of 11% [3] - Reuters segment revenues increased by 3% to $853 million, with organic growth of 1% [3] 2026 Outlook - The company anticipates approximately 7% organic revenue growth in Q1 2026 and an adjusted EBITDA margin of around 42% [3] - Full-year 2026 total revenue growth is expected to be between 7.5% and 8.0% [3] - The adjusted EBITDA margin for 2026 is projected to increase by 100 basis points compared to 2025 [3] Dividend and Share Repurchase - The company announced a 10% increase in its annual dividend to $2.62 per common share, marking the 33rd consecutive annual increase [3] - A share repurchase program of up to $1.0 billion was completed, repurchasing 6.0 million shares [3]

Core Insights - Thomson Reuters Corporation (NASDAQ:TRI) is recognized as one of the promising stocks in the QQQ index according to hedge funds, with an Outperform rating reaffirmed by CIBC's Robert Bek, although the price target has been lowered from $198 to $183 [1] Group 1: Product Developments - To enhance its compliance sector, Thomson Reuters launched ONESOURCE Sales and Use Tax AI on January 16, aimed at automating sales and use tax compliance for US firms [2] - The company made significant advancements in legal AI by introducing CoCounsel Legal in the UK on January 26, integrating agentic AI capabilities into its Westlaw and Practical Law offerings, following its US launch last year [3] Group 2: Company Operations - Thomson Reuters operates as a content and technology company across various regions including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific, with five segments: Legal Professionals, Corporates, Tax & Accounting Professionals, Reuters News, and Global Print [4]