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财报点评| AMD:营收、指引均超预期,CPU端全力追赶,GPU端仍未得青眼
贝塔投资智库· 2025-05-08 03:55
Core Viewpoint - AMD reported strong Q1 2025 earnings with a revenue of $7.44 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, but the stock has seen a decline of 17% year-to-date [1][2] Financial Performance - Q1 revenue reached $7.44 billion, a 36% year-over-year increase, surpassing the expected $7.12 billion; gross profit was $3.74 billion, up 46% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 50% [2] - Operating profit margin stood at 11%, with a profit of $710 million and an adjusted EPS of $0.96, better than the anticipated $0.94 [2] Business Segment Analysis - **Data Center Segment**: Revenue of $3.7 billion, a 57% year-over-year increase, driven by sales of EPYC CPUs and Instinct GPUs, outperforming the expected $3.66 billion [5] - **Client and Gaming Segment**: Revenue of $2.9 billion, a 28% year-over-year increase; client revenue was $2.3 billion, up 68% due to strong demand for Zen 5 architecture Ryzen processors, while gaming revenue fell 30% to $647 million due to a decline in semi-custom business [5] - **Embedded Segment**: Revenue of $823 million, a 3% year-over-year decrease, reflecting mixed demand in end markets [6] Guidance Under Tariffs - AMD anticipates a $700 million reduction in sales for its MI308 product due to new licensing requirements, impacting Q2 revenue; the annual revenue impact is projected at $1.5 billion [7] - Q2 revenue is expected to be around $7.4 billion, slightly above analyst expectations, with a non-GAAP gross margin forecasted at approximately 43% [7] - CEO Lisa Su expressed confidence in the company's performance despite tariff impacts, citing four consecutive quarters of accelerated year-over-year growth [7] Market Share Insights - AMD's CPU market share increased from 38.7% to 40.1%, with significant gains across all segments [8] - Desktop market share surpassed Intel at 50.3%, while laptop share rose to 28.2% [10] - Server market share reached a historic high of 31.6%, up from 16.2% in the previous quarter [10] GPU Market Dynamics - Despite a 62% year-over-year increase in capital expenditures among North America's top four cloud providers, AMD has not gained significant market share in the cloud business, remaining behind NVIDIA [11][12] - New product developments include the MI325X and MI350, with the latter expected to significantly enhance performance [12] Price Target Adjustments - HSBC raised its price target for AMD from $70 to $75, while Mizuho and Jefferies lowered their targets from $120 to $117 and from $120 to $100, respectively [13]