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Wall Street's Insights Into Key Metrics Ahead of Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-18 14:15
Core Insights - Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.29 per share, reflecting a decline of 35.6% year over year [1] - Analysts forecast revenues of $237.24 million, indicating a decrease of 20.2% compared to the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, suggesting a reassessment of projections by covering analysts [1] Revenue Estimates - Interest income is projected to reach $237.24 million, down 20.2% from the prior-year quarter [4] - Other revenue from gains on sales, including fee-based services, is estimated at $13.77 million, reflecting a decline of 21.1% year over year [4] - Servicing revenue is expected to be $26.77 million, indicating a decrease of 10.5% from the previous year [4] Additional Revenue Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Other revenue- Mortgage servicing rights' at $10.47 million, suggesting a year-over-year decline of 28% [5] - Over the past month, Arbor Realty Trust shares have gained 11%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which increased by 5.4% [5] - Arbor Realty Trust holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the overall market [5]
Earnings Preview: Navient (NAVI) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-16 15:06
The market expects Navient (NAVI) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, t ...
Navient to announce second quarter 2025 results, host earnings webcast July 30
Globenewswire· 2025-07-16 13:15
HERNDON, Va., July 16, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Navient (Nasdaq: NAVI) will host an audio webcast to review its second quarter 2025 financial results on Wednesday, July 30, 2025, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time. The results are scheduled to be released the same day by 7:00 a.m. on Navient.com/investors. In addition to being available on the company’s investor website, the results will be filed with the SEC on a Form 8-K available at SEC.gov. The webcast and presentation slides also will be available on Navient.co ...
AGNC Investment vs. Annaly: Which mREIT is the Smarter Play?
ZACKS· 2025-07-07 14:36
Core Insights - AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) and Annaly Capital Management (NLY) are leading players in the mortgage real estate investment trusts (mREITs) sector, both providing attractive long-term returns and substantial dividend yields, but differing in portfolio strategies and risk profiles [1] Capital Distribution & Dividend Yield - AGNC has a dividend yield of 15.34% with a payout ratio of 81%, but has not increased its dividend in the last five years [2] - NLY announced a cash dividend of 70 cents per share for Q1 2025, a 7.7% increase from the previous payout, with a current dividend yield of 14.37% and a payout ratio of 101% [3] - AGNC has a share repurchase plan authorizing up to $1 billion of common stock until December 31, 2026 [6] - NLY has a share repurchase program allowing for the repurchase of up to $1.5 billion of common stock until December 31, 2029, but has not executed any repurchases since its announcement [7] Business Model & Portfolio Diversification - AGNC focuses exclusively on agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which exposes it to volatility, while NLY employs a diversified capital allocation strategy that includes residential credit and mortgage servicing rights, reducing rate sensitivity [8][11] - NLY's diversified strategy is expected to contribute to long-term growth and stability, allowing it to capitalize on various market cycles [12] Interest Rate Sensitivity - AGNC is significantly affected by interest rate changes due to its concentrated agency MBS exposure, leading to increased borrowing costs and profit margin pressures [13][14] - AGNC's interest expenses surged from $75 million in 2021 to $2.9 billion in 2024, reflecting its vulnerability to rate hikes [15] - NLY's diversified portfolio allows it to better withstand interest rate volatility, resulting in lower increases in borrowing costs compared to AGNC [16] Benefits From Mortgage Rates - Both AGNC and NLY are expected to benefit from declining mortgage rates, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropping from 6.95% to 5.80% year-over-year [19] - NLY is likely to see stronger book value appreciation due to tightening spreads in the Agency MBS market, while AGNC may benefit from increased refinancing activity [20][21] Earnings Estimates - AGNC's earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 indicate year-over-year declines of 11.2% and 3.9%, respectively [22] - NLY's earnings estimates for the same period suggest year-over-year growth of 6.3% and 1.4% [25] Price Performance & Valuations - Over the past year, AGNC gained 12.6% and NLY rose 17.7%, outperforming the industry average of 8.6% [29] - AGNC trades at a forward price-to-tangible book (P/TB) multiple of 1.10X, while NLY trades at 0.99X, both above the industry average of 0.98X [31][34] Conclusion - NLY's recent dividend hike and diversified strategy position it as a more attractive option for long-term stability and growth compared to AGNC, which has faced challenges due to its concentrated agency MBS exposure [36][38]
Usio Enters into Strategic Partnership with Mortgage Software Leader – Mortgage Automator
Globenewswire· 2025-06-30 13:00
Core Insights - Usio, Inc. has formed a strategic partnership with Mortgage Automator to enhance payment processing capabilities for private lenders, integrating Usio's advanced payment technology into Mortgage Automator's platform [1][2][3] - The integration will provide Mortgage Automator users with access to a variety of payment options, including ACH, card payments, Pinless Debit, and real-time disbursements, streamlining loan servicing and improving compliance [2][3] - Both companies are committed to ongoing innovation and support for private lenders, with the integration officially launched in June 2025 [3] Company Overview - Usio, Inc. is a leading FinTech company that offers a full stack of integrated, cloud-based electronic payment and embedded financial solutions, operating credit, debit/prepaid, and ACH payment processing platforms [4] - The company provides tailored solutions for card issuance, payment acceptance, and bill payments, leveraging its unique technology in the card issuing sector [4] - Mortgage Automator is a premier mortgage origination and servicing software provider focused on delivering powerful and intuitive software solutions for private lenders [3]
Plumas Bancorp(PLBC) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-06-27 11:28
Nevada County INVESTOR PRESENTATION UPDATED THROUGH SEPTEMBER 30, 2024 1 Forward Looking Statements Disclaimer The statements contained herein that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements based on management's current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. Such statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and are generally beyond our control. There can be no assurance that future devel ...
Annaly vs. Starwood: Which Mortgage REIT Offers More Resilience Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-26 15:20
Core Viewpoint - Both Annaly Capital Management (NLY) and Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) are mortgage real estate investment trusts (mREITs) with different portfolio strategies and risk profiles, leading to a comparison of their investment opportunities for investors [1] Group 1: Annaly Capital Management (NLY) - NLY's investment strategy focuses on prudent asset selection and effective capital allocation, including traditional Agency MBSs for downside protection and non-agency assets for enhanced returns [2] - As of March 31, 2025, NLY's investment portfolio totaled $84.9 billion, benefiting from a low prepayment environment through a scaled mortgage servicing rights (MSR) platform [3] - The decline in mortgage rates is expected to improve NLY's book value and net interest spread, enhancing the overall yield of its portfolio [4] - By the end of Q1 2025, NLY had $7.5 billion in total assets available for financing, including $4.7 billion in unencumbered Agency MBS, providing liquidity during adverse market conditions [5] - NLY has a monthly dividend yield of 14.6% with a payout ratio of 101%, reflecting confidence in its cash flow and growth prospects [6] - NLY's diversified portfolio and growth in MSR position it for improved returns as mortgage rates decline, trading at a discount compared to the industry average [10][17] Group 2: Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) - STWD's investment strategy includes commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) and related commercial real estate assets, with a diversified portfolio of $1.02 billion as of March 31, 2025 [7] - The company has engaged in acquisitions and divestitures to optimize its portfolio, including the sale of 16 retail properties for $387.1 million, recognizing a gain of $92 million [8] - STWD's liquidity position is concerning, with cash and cash equivalents of $692 million against long-term debt of $18.4 billion as of March 31, 2025 [11] - STWD pays a quarterly dividend of 48 cents, yielding 9.5% with a payout ratio of 108%, but has not increased its dividend over the last five years [11] - STWD's earnings estimates suggest a year-over-year decline of 10.9% for 2025, with downward revisions indicating a more cautious outlook from analysts [20][22] Group 3: Comparative Analysis - Over the past year, shares of STWD and NLY have risen 13.7% and 11.8%, respectively, outperforming the industry's growth of 5.2% [12] - STWD is trading at a 12-month forward P/E of 10.87X, higher than its five-year median, while NLY trades at a lower P/E of 6.65X, indicating better value for NLY [14] - NLY's earnings estimates reflect a year-over-year rise of 6.3% for 2025, with upward revisions suggesting a bullish outlook, contrasting with STWD's downward revisions [20][22] - NLY is viewed as the more resilient and better-valued option for investors seeking stable income with lower risk, while STWD's higher debt levels and exposure to commercial real estate present more risks [23]
Will Annaly Benefit From Its Portfolio Diversification Efforts?
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:41
Core Insights - Annaly Capital Management (NLY) benefits from a well-diversified capital allocation strategy, with an investment portfolio totaling $84.9 billion as of March 31, 2025, which includes residential credit, mortgage servicing rights (MSR), and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) [1][9] Investment Strategy - The diversified investment strategy is expected to contribute significantly to long-term growth and stability, allowing the company to capitalize on various opportunities while mitigating risks from overexposure to specific areas [2] - In 2022, NLY divested its Middle Market Lending portfolio and exited the commercial real estate sector, reallocating capital to enhance its core housing finance strategy and focus on residential credit, MSR, and Agency MBS [3] - The inclusion of MSRs is particularly advantageous as their value tends to rise with increasing interest rates, providing a hedge against declines in agency MBS values, which may lead to more consistent returns [4] Competitive Landscape - AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) adopts a proactive portfolio management approach, frequently adjusting asset allocations and hedging strategies to reduce risks and capture yield opportunities [5] - Starwood Property Trust (STWD) focuses on commercial real estate, holding a diversified portfolio of $1.02 billion as of Q1 2025, and maintains steady income through principal repayments and targeted acquisitions [6] Performance Metrics - NLY shares have increased by 9.2% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 4.8% [7][9] - The forward price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio for Annaly is 0.98X, slightly above the industry average of 0.96X [10] - Earnings estimates for NLY indicate a year-over-year increase of 6.3% for 2025 and 1.4% for 2026, with upward revisions in the past 60 days [13]
Will AGNC Investment's Active Portfolio Management Drive Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:05
Core Insights - AGNC Investment Corp. is adopting a proactive and defensive portfolio management strategy aimed at long-term growth by frequently adjusting asset allocations and hedging strategies to mitigate risks while seizing yield opportunities [1] Portfolio Management - The company has maintained a robust hedge position, covering 91% of its Investment Securities Repo, TBA positions, and other debt as of March 31, 2025, indicating a strong focus on protecting against interest rate volatility [2] - AGNC has strategically reduced its exposure to more volatile non-agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and shifted towards higher-coupon Agency MBS, which enhances prepayment probability and supports better cash flow visibility [3] Market Positioning - With spreads between Agency MBS and benchmarks reaching near-pandemic highs in early April 2025, AGNC's $77.9 billion Agency MBS portfolio is well-positioned for compelling forward returns, particularly on a leveraged basis, as these securities are backed by Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) [4] - Despite potential fluctuations in short-term earnings due to market volatility, AGNC's disciplined active management and defensive positioning provide a solid foundation for long-term growth [5] Competitive Landscape - AGNC competes with Annaly Capital Management (NLY) and Starwood Property Trust (STWD) within the mortgage REITs industry, with differing investment approaches among the companies [6] - Annaly pursues a diversified strategy combining traditional Agency MBS with non-agency and credit-sensitive assets, focusing on acquiring newly originated mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) to enhance returns [7] - Starwood focuses primarily on commercial real estate, including commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) and real estate debt investments, maintaining steady income through principal repayments and targeted acquisitions [8] Performance Metrics - AGNC shares have gained 6.4% year to date, outperforming the industry's growth of 2.8% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-tangible book ratio of 1.08X, above the industry's average of 0.96X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AGNC's 2025 and 2026 earnings implies year-over-year declines of 11.2% and 3.9%, respectively, with estimates remaining unchanged over the past 30 days [15]
Northern Trust Gains 18% in 6 Months: How to Play the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-23 16:36
Core Insights - Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) shares have increased by 18% over the past six months, outperforming the industry which declined by 4.3% [1] - The company's performance is supported by steady organic growth, improving return on equity, manageable debt levels, and impressive capital distribution activities [5][7][9][10] Performance Analysis - NTRS has shown consistent revenue growth with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.8% from 2020 to 2024, and net interest income (NII) and non-interest income have continued to grow in the first quarter of 2025 [5] - The loan and lease balance also experienced a CAGR of 6.7% over the last four years, although a reversal was noted in the first quarter of 2025 [6] - The return on equity (ROE) reached 13% in the first quarter of 2025, aligning with the company's long-term target of maintaining ROE between 10% and 15% [7] Financial Health - As of March 31, 2025, Northern Trust held $52 billion in Federal Reserve and Central bank deposits against $12 billion in total debt, indicating a strong liquidity position [9] - The company has a capital distribution strategy that includes a share repurchase program and quarterly dividends, with a current dividend yield of 2.7% [10][11][12] Market Position - NTRS is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 13.2X, which is above the industry average of 10.7X and higher than peers M&T Bank and Fifth Third Bancorp [16] - Analysts have revised earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 upward, reflecting positive sentiment and encouraging prospects for the company [15] Investment Consideration - Given the premium valuation of NTRS, it is suggested that investors wait for a better entry point to optimize returns, while those who already own the stock may consider holding it for long-term growth [19]