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小商品城(600415):Q3归母净利润同比+101%,市场经营、贸易服务促利润大幅增长
Soochow Securities· 2025-10-15 14:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company's Q3 net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 101% year-on-year, driven by significant growth in market operations and trade services [1] - The company achieved total revenue of 13.06 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.1% [7] - The company is strategically positioned as a key export hub under the Belt and Road Initiative, with multiple growth drivers such as new market expansions and the Chinagoods platform [7] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company forecasts total revenue of 22.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.44% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 4.90 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 59.47% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 0.89 yuan per share in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 21.30 based on the closing price on October 15 [1][8] Market and Business Development - The new sixth-generation market, the Global Trade Center, commenced operations on October 14, 2025, contributing to revenue growth [7] - The YiwuPay payment service saw transaction volumes exceed 27 billion yuan, growing over 30% year-on-year, indicating expanding business opportunities [7] - The company has successfully launched an overseas market in Osaka, Japan, enhancing its global footprint [7] Future Outlook - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards, now expecting 4.90 billion yuan, 6.16 billion yuan, and 7.28 billion yuan respectively, indicating strong growth potential [7] - The report highlights the ongoing development of the import positive list and overseas expansion as key growth areas [7]