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Is Eli Lilly a Buy Before 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-16 16:30
Core Viewpoint - Eli Lilly's stock is positioned as a strong candidate for a diversified long-term investment portfolio, bolstered by promising results from the Triumph-4 clinical trial for its anti-obesity drug retatrutide [1] Clinical Trial Results - The Triumph-4 trial demonstrated that a 12 mg weekly injection of retatrutide resulted in an average body weight reduction of 28.7% over 68 weeks, alongside a decrease in knee arthritis pain [2] - Retatrutide, a "triple G" medication, outperformed the leading anti-obesity drug tirzepatide, which reported an average weight loss of approximately 20.9% in late-stage trials [4] Market Potential - The global weight-loss medication market is projected to reach $150 billion by 2035, with retatrutide expected to generate annual revenue of around $5 billion by 2030 [8] - Eli Lilly currently holds a 57.9% share of the U.S. market for incretin-mimicking drugs, with its products tirzepatide and Mounjaro demonstrating strong demand [9] Product Pipeline and Future Growth - Eli Lilly anticipates additional phase 3 trial results for retatrutide in obesity and type 2 diabetes by 2026, which could enhance its market segmentation strategy [6] - The company is also seeking FDA approval for orforglipron, a once-daily oral medication for obesity, with expected annual revenue of $8.3 billion by 2030 [10] - Eli Lilly's Alzheimer's medication Kisunla is projected to achieve nearly $5 billion in annual sales at peak, further diversifying its growth engines [11] Financial Performance - Eli Lilly has raised its full-year revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $63 billion to $63.5 billion, with earnings per share (EPS) estimates adjusted to $21.80 to $22.50 [13] Valuation Considerations - The stock trades at nearly 32 times forward earnings, which may seem high, but is justified by the company's leadership in the obesity treatment market and its robust late-stage research pipeline [14]
As Warren Buffett Prepares to Step Down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, His Parting Message to Investors Couldn't Be Any More Clear
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-16 16:23
Core Insights - Warren Buffett announced his resignation as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, prompting increased scrutiny from investors regarding the company's portfolio management as Greg Abel prepares to take over in 2026 [1][2] Recent Portfolio Moves - Berkshire's largest purchase in the last quarter was a 16% increase in its stake in Chubb, acquiring 4.3 million shares [4] - The company also made significant investments in the American consumer sector, purchasing shares of Domino's Pizza and Sirius XM, along with smaller investments in Lamar Advertising and Lennar [5] - A notable move was the initiation of a position in Alphabet, acquiring 17.8 million shares valued at $4.3 billion [6] Financial Position - Berkshire's balance sheet reported a record $381.7 billion in cash and short-term investments at the end of Q3, indicating a strategy of stockpiling cash and limited buying activity [10] - The short-term investments primarily consist of U.S. Treasury Bills, reflecting a cautious approach in the current market environment [10] Investment Philosophy - Buffett's investment philosophy emphasizes contrarian strategies, seeking value rather than following market trends, and focusing on long-term growth through reinvestment [11][12] - The company has been prudent in taking gains from core positions and reallocating capital into perceived better value opportunities [13] - Buffett's steadfast approach has consistently outperformed the S&P 500 over decades, showcasing the effectiveness of his investment strategies [14] Strategic Messages - Berkshire's recent moves convey Buffett's enduring messages: take gains when appropriate, identify value, support American resilience, maintain cash reserves, and leverage compound interest [16]
Why Navan Stock Just Crashed
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-16 16:16
Can Navan ever turn a profit? It's too soon to say.Navan (NAVN 18.69%) stock, which uses artificial intelligence to power software for "business travel, payments, and expense management," and which has been falling basically ever since its late-October IPO, took another tumble after reporting fiscal Q3 2026 earnings last night.As of 10:50 a.m. ET this morning, the stock is down 16.8%. Navan Q3 earningsNavan grew its revenue 29% year-over-year in Q3, to $195 million, with "usage" revenue of $180 million, and ...
Stock Market Crash Is Here: How Bad Can It Get?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-16 16:03
The rotation out of technology is here.Technology stocks, particularly those connected to AI in some shape or form, are the ones that have carried the market in 2025 and even the years before that. However, things AI related are hitting a rough patch as investors are taking profits and rebalancing their portfolios as we enter the last portion of the year.In today's video I am going to discuss my thoughts on the current pullback in the stock market and the direction for the S&P 500 (SPY 0.53%) heading to the ...
Why Frontier Group Stock Just Crashed
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-16 15:46
Frontier's guidance hasn't changed, but its management just did.Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC 11.37%) stock tumbled 10.9% through 10::10 a.m. ET Tuesday after announcing a change in leadership. Effective immediately, CEO Barry L. Biffle will no longer be CEO (although he'll remain with the company "in an advisory capacity" through the end of the year).Company president James G. Dempsey will take over as interim CEO in his stead. Details, pleaseNo explanation was given for the CEO switcheroo, not even the s ...
The Evidence Is Piling Up: Should You Buy Nvidia Before 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-16 15:45
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is positioned as a top stock to own heading into 2026 due to its significant growth, strong market position, and attractive valuation [1][11]. Group 1: Growth Potential - Nvidia's revenue increased by 62% last quarter, reaching $57 billion, with revenue more than tripling over the past two years and nearly increasing tenfold in the past three years [2]. - Approximately 90% of Nvidia's revenue is derived from its data center segment, which is crucial for training large language models and running AI inference [3]. - The data center networking portfolio has seen a remarkable growth of 162% last quarter, generating $8.2 billion in revenue [3]. Group 2: Market Position - Nvidia has established a wide moat around its chips, primarily through its CUDA software platform, which has been widely adopted in universities and research labs for AI development [7]. - The company has captured approximately 90% market share in the GPU data center space, aided by its proprietary interconnect system, NvLink, which enhances chip performance [8]. - While custom AI ASICs are gaining traction, Nvidia's general-purpose GPUs offer flexibility that is advantageous in a rapidly changing tech landscape [9]. Group 3: Valuation - Despite Nvidia's substantial growth and strong future prospects, the stock is trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of under 24 times 2026 analyst estimates and a price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of less than 0.7 times, indicating it is relatively undervalued [10].
Is This ETF the Best Way to Invest in the S&P 500 in 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-16 14:45
Investors may want to hedge the high concentration of "Magnificent Seven" stocks going into the new year.The S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.19%) is arguably the stock market's most important index. Tracking around 500 of the largest American companies on the market, it has long been a way that people get a peek into the health of the U.S. economy (though the two are not directly tied).After slipping into a brief correction amid the Trump administration's tariff plan in April, the S&P 500 has bounced back impressively. Th ...
3 Reasons Netflix Will Remain a Great Stock to Buy
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-16 14:05
Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of Warner Bros. by Netflix is generating significant attention, but the company's long-term prospects remain strong regardless of the acquisition outcome [1]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Netflix has made a $72 billion bid to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, which includes HBO Max [1]. - Paramount Skydance has also entered the fray with a hostile $108 billion bid, adding uncertainty to the acquisition process [2]. Group 2: Subscriber Growth - Netflix operates in 190 countries and offers content in 50 languages, indicating its global reach [6]. - The company has implemented measures to reduce subscription sharing, positively impacting net new subscriber growth [6]. - While U.S. and Canada subscriber numbers are nearing saturation, there is significant growth potential in Asia, Europe, and Latin America [7]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Netflix's gross margins are improving and are among the highest in the streaming industry, with a year-over-year increase of over 4% [8][9]. - Total revenue, earnings per share, and EBITDA metrics are consistently improving, showcasing the company's effective management and upward trajectory [10]. Group 4: New Revenue Streams - The ad-supported tier is gaining traction, with expectations to double ad revenue by 2025, and over half of new subscribers are opting for this tier [13]. - Netflix is expanding into gaming, with new party games announced, tapping into a gaming market worth over $300 billion [14]. - Additional monetization opportunities include live events, sports, and merchandising, with successful franchises generating revenue through apparel and live sports broadcasts [15]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - Netflix is positioned to win the streaming wars by improving efficiency in original content production and exploring new monetization avenues [16]. - Despite competition from Amazon and Apple, Netflix currently leads in subscriber numbers and improving business fundamentals [17].
3 Unstoppable Trends That Will Push Silver Higher in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-16 14:05
These technological revolutions are driving ravenous demand for the white metal.2025 has been a banner year for silver. Not only has its price more than doubled this year, on top of its 21% gain in 2024, but over the last 12 months, its gains have equaled those of the AI darling Nvidia, the tech-heavy Nasdaq, and even gold... combined. You can see silver's meteoric trajectory in the share price of iShares Silver Trust (SLV +3.58%), a fund designed to generally track silver prices.NYSEMKT : SLViShares Silver ...
Buy the Dip in These 3 Stocks
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-16 13:46
These three stocks are trading at intriguing valuations.In the stock market right now, we are seeing a rotation of sorts, but for a few stocks the pullback looks overdone and valuations are looking intriguing. One of those stocks to buy the dip in is Meta Platforms (META +0.58%) as it is now the cheapest of all the "Magnificent Seven" stocks.Watch this short video to learn more, consider subscribing to the channel, and check out the special offer in the link below.*Stock prices used were end-of-day prices o ...