Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate for July, along with average hourly wage growth on a monthly and yearly basis, are set to be released shortly [1]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts express concern that significantly weaker-than-expected U.S. non-farm payroll data could challenge the current strength of the U.S. dollar, potentially undermining the narrative of economic resilience in the face of tariff threats [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Economic Outlook - Analysts are pessimistic about the upcoming non-farm payroll report, suggesting it may disrupt the perception of U.S. economic resilience [1]

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美国贸易代表格里尔：瑞士的问题具有挑战性。 ...

乌克兰总统泽连斯基：我们听到了俄罗斯的声明，如果他们认真准备体面地结束冲突并建立真正持久的 和平，而不仅仅是试图为冲突争取更多时间和推迟制裁，那么乌克兰再次确认，准备随时在领导人一级 举行会晤。 ...

| 预测利率 | 2025.09.18 | 2025.10.30 | 2025.12.11 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3.25%-3.50% | | | 0.0% | | 3.50%-3.75% | | 0.0% | 9.0% | | 3.75%-4.00% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 34.1% | | 4.00%-4.25% | 41.0% | 47.9% | 41.3% | | 4.25%-4.50%(当前利率) | 59.0% | 36.3% | 15.6% | @ JIN10.COM 金十数据 | 一个交易工具 往后三次议息会议可能性预测 EXPECTATIONS OF NEXT THREE FOMC MEETINGS 非农公布前，美联储9月降息的概率为41% 金十数据8月1日讯，据CME"美联储观察"：美联储9月维持利率不变的概率为59.0%，降息25个基点的概率为41.0%。美联储10月 维持利率不变的概率为36.3%，累计降息25个基点的概率为47.9%，累计降息50个基点的概率为15.8%。 ...

Core Points - The "Financial Infrastructure Supervision and Management Measures" has been approved by the People's Bank of China and will be implemented starting October 1, 2025 [1][25] - The measures aim to strengthen the overall supervision and construction planning of financial infrastructure to ensure the safe and efficient operation of the financial system [2][3] Chapter Summaries Chapter 1: General Principles - The measures are based on various laws including the People's Bank of China Law and the Securities Law, among others [2] - Financial infrastructure refers to systems such as asset registration, clearing and settlement systems, trading facilities, important payment systems, and credit systems [2][3] - The management departments for financial infrastructure include the People's Bank of China and the China Securities Regulatory Commission [3] Chapter 2: Establishment - Establishing financial infrastructure in China must comply with relevant laws and regulations, with specific responsibilities assigned to the People's Bank of China and the China Securities Regulatory Commission [5] - No entity or individual may illegally establish or operate financial infrastructure [6] Chapter 3: Operational Requirements - Financial infrastructure operators must establish a clear governance structure and accountability mechanisms [9] - Operators are required to have a robust risk management framework to identify, measure, monitor, and manage risks [12] - Data security management is crucial, with operators responsible for protecting data from damage, theft, or illegal use [14] Chapter 4: Supervision and Management - Financial infrastructure operators must report significant operational changes and incidents to the relevant management departments [17] - The People's Bank of China and the China Securities Regulatory Commission are responsible for inspecting and supervising different types of financial infrastructure [28][21] Chapter 5: Legal Responsibilities - Violations of the measures can lead to penalties, including fines and potential criminal charges for responsible individuals [22][24] - The measures outline specific conditions under which financial infrastructure operators may face sanctions for non-compliance [23] Chapter 6: Supplementary Provisions - The measures will take effect on October 1, 2025, marking a significant regulatory change in the management of financial infrastructure in China [25]

Core Points - The "Financial Infrastructure Supervision and Administration Measures" has been approved by the People's Bank of China during its 9th executive meeting on May 23, 2025, and has received consent from the China Securities Regulatory Commission [1] - The new measures will come into effect on October 1, 2025 [1]

中国人民银行召开2025年下半年工作会议暨常态长效推动中央巡视整改工作推进会。会议要求，持续提 升金融管理和服务水平。统筹推进重点立法修法项目，规范高效推进行政执法。纵深推进金融"五篇大 文章"统计。研究编制中国人民银行"十五五"改革发展规划。抓好数字央行建设重点任务落实。建设安 全高效的跨境支付体系。有序推进快速支付系统互联互通。构建全方位的涉诈涉赌"资金链"治理防护 网。做好现金服务与管理。加强数字人民币基础设施建设和推广应用。加快国家金库工程项目建设，保 障国库业务平稳有序运行。扎实做好第五轮反洗钱评估各项工作。(中国人民银行) ...

美联储理事鲍曼：随着增速放缓，逐步降息是适当的。 ...