Principles by Ray Dalio
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You Need to Pay Attention to the Bond Markets
Principles by Ray Dalio· 2025-05-21 19:55
Bond Market Fundamentals - The bond market serves as the foundation for all markets, acting as the backbone [1] - It establishes the risk-free interest rate, influencing all asset returns [1] - A breakdown in the bond market's supply-demand balance leads to rising long rates relative to short rates and currency depreciation [1] - Gold prices increase due to movement away from the bond market caused by supply-demand imbalances [2] Central Bank Dilemma - Supply-demand imbalances in the bond market pressure central banks [2] - Central banks face a choice between allowing interest rates to rise, negatively impacting markets and the economy, or printing money to buy bonds [3] - Printing money to meet bond demand creates inflationary pressures [3]
Meditation is the Secret To My Success
Principles by Ray Dalio· 2025-05-21 15:42
Meditation Types & Techniques - Transcendental Meditation (TM) is highlighted as a beneficial practice, involving mantra repetition to shift focus away from thoughts [1][2] - The core mechanism involves repeating a sound internally to redirect thoughts [2] Benefits of Meditation - Meditation offers a sense of vacation, fostering creativity and equanimity [3] - Meditation helps to regain clarity and equanimity, enabling better stress management and problem-solving [5] Practice & Implementation - Meditation is recommended in the morning before breakfast and in the evening before dinner [4] - Meditation is also beneficial when feeling stressed or overwhelmed [5] - Impatience during meditation indicates a need for the practice [2][3]
My Advice for New College Graduates
Principles by Ray Dalio· 2025-05-18 13:20
If you were talking to your 20-year-old self, ready to graduate college, what is something that you wish you did differently. The thing I would have done differently would have been uh be less arrogant. I think you come out of school, you think you know it all.I was just uh speaking with Bill Bellichic. He was saying the same thing. Kids come out of college and they think they know something.They're, you know, they don't become arrogant. Because I was asking him, um, does arrogance a problem. He said for ab ...
The Time the United States Ran Out of Money
Principles by Ray Dalio· 2025-05-13 15:41
Historical Context & Monetary Policy Shift - In 1971, the US defaulted on its debts due to insufficient gold reserves to back its paper currency [1][2][3] - President Nixon suspended the dollar's convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard [3][5] - President Roosevelt similarly broke the link between paper dollars and gold in 1933 [7][8] Economic Impact & Market Reaction - The stock market surprisingly rose nearly 25% after Nixon's announcement, contrary to initial expectations of a plunge [6] - Devaluation of the dollar occurred because the US printed more paper money than it had in gold reserves [9] - Breaking the link to gold allowed the US to continue spending beyond its earnings by printing more dollars [9] Currency Strength & Economic Fundamentals - A nation's currency strength is based on the strength of its economy [4] - The US economy was considered the strongest in the world at the time of Nixon's decision [5]
Things are Changing, Let me Explain
Principles by Ray Dalio· 2025-05-12 17:05
World Order & Economic Cycles - The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding the changing world order and its underlying mechanics [2] - The speaker highlights the cyclical nature of monetary, domestic political, and global world orders, noting their eventual breakdown [2] - The speaker suggests that understanding these cycles is crucial, especially now, given the brink of major changes [2] Author's Intent & Background - The speaker, a 75-year-old global macro investor with 50 years of experience, aims to share accumulated knowledge [1] - The speaker has authored a book and created a video, both titled "Changing World Order," to explain current events [2] - The speaker's upcoming book, releasing on June 3rd, focuses on how countries go broke [2] Communication Strategy - The speaker intends to communicate through various means, including videos and written communications, to stay connected [2]