IPO Details - Medline had the largest IPO in over four years, offering $626 billion [1] - The IPO was unexpected, as Medline is not a widely recognized name [1] Business Model & Strategy - Medline's revenue is evenly split between its own brand medical surgical products and supply chain solutions [2] - Earnings are primarily derived from product sales [2] - The supply chain business provides insights into hospital needs and facilitates product distribution [2] - Medline aims to be the "Costco of healthcare" [3] - It employs a membership model through its supply chain business to offer healthcare providers the best prices [3] - Medline brand products are positioned similarly to Costco's Kirkland signature brand [3] Revenue Growth - Medline experienced solid revenue growth in recent years: 83% in 2023, 98% in 2024, and 103% through the first 9 months of 2025 [4] - Revenue growth appears to be accelerating [4]

Market Analysis - Gold price average in 26 models is expected to be between $42 and $4,500 per ounce [2] - The weakening Japanese Yen (JPY) could be beneficial for the stock market, but currency hedging is recommended [2] Company Mentions - AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) was previously discussed [1] - Lionsgate was mentioned [3] Investment Strategy - Consider DXJ (WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund) for currency neutral exposure [3]

Market Volatility & Outlook - The VIX, a 30-day outlook on S&P 500 implied volatility, may be understated due to upcoming holidays, suggesting a truer measure of 18.12 to 19 [1][2] - Options expiring at the end of January indicate anticipation of increased choppiness, with out-of-the-money puts and calls experiencing greater price increases than at-the-money options [3] - The market may experience a similar pattern to the previous year, with a strong rally up to Thanksgiving followed by a choppy December [4] - Calmness on the surface belies increased alertness in the wings, suggesting potential for significant market movement [6] Macroeconomic Uncertainties - An upcoming presidential announcement, potentially related to Venezuela, introduces macroeconomic uncertainty that could impact options prices and trigger a knee-jerk reaction in risk assets [7][8] - Options market activity suggests concern about potential knee-jerk reactions to risk assets stemming from macroeconomic uncertainties [7][8] Sector Performance - Some of the hottest performing sectors year-to-date are experiencing a roll-off [3]

AI Infrastructure Demand & Financing Concerns - Demand for AI infrastructure continues to grow [1] - Commercial real estate investors are increasingly concerned about hyperscalers turning to private equity for funding instead of directly funding buildings [2] - Lease agreements with hyperscalers could be risky if technology changes and reduces the need for large data centers [2][3] Financial Risks & Market Dynamics - No data center exits have exceeded $45 billion, raising concerns about valuations [3] - Large technology companies with $4 trillion market capitalization are hesitant to own data center assets, questioning the financial prudence [3] - Private equity firms may be left "holding the bag" with investor money (including pension funds) bearing the risk [4] Regulatory & Public Pushback - Towns are pushing back against data centers due to concerns about electricity rates and water usage [5] - Local politics are a growing concern for the commercial real estate market regarding data centers in 2026 [6] - Chandler, Arizona voted down a new data center due to water issues, highlighting public resistance [6]

Defense Industry Challenges & Profitability - Defense contracting is inherently difficult, with programs yielding only 10% operating margins on an accounting basis and 5% on a cash basis, making profitability challenging [1][2] - Imposing further penalties on defense primes could exacerbate these difficulties, potentially leading contractors to withdraw from programs or decline to bid [2] - Lack of clarity in 5-year budgets hinders defense primes' ability to generate proper returns on programs, creating investment uncertainty [8] Capital Allocation & Investment - In 2023 and 2024, defense primes' company-funded R&D plus capex totaled approximately $40 billion, compared to $50 billion returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, representing a 13% investment to return ratio [4] - The analysis suggests that defense primes generally maintain a balanced capital allocation strategy, avoiding inefficient capital use such as excessive buybacks funded by leverage [5][6] Market Dynamics & Growth Opportunities - Commercial aerospace offers growth opportunities, with aircraft needs growing at 3% and aftermarket services growing at 8-10% [7] - International growth, particularly increased NATO spending, presents an upside for defense contractors, with potential increase from 2% to 35% of GDP on actual equipment, translating to $280 billion in investment [10] - Some defense contractors are experiencing double-digit growth in international defense sales, with RTX having 44% of its defense backlog exposed to European spending [11] Geopolitical Influence & Government Support - The US administration is recognizing the importance of investing in smaller contractors to foster innovation, alongside supporting larger contracts [14][15] - The global threat environment, encompassing regions beyond the Middle East, China, and Russia, is driving investment in the defense sector [15]

What what what is all this telling us. He's talking to Gaia. >> I understand about Thanks for watching everybody.Matt Lenny starts right now. What is all this telling us about the AI trade. One of the terms we've used is the sanctity of capex.And I think for a long time people felt like the capex spend was somehow etched in stone as it came down from the mountaintop on one of the you know slabs of Fred Flintstone like granite. it's not etched in stone and I think we're learning that now and I think the whol ...

because there's a substantial beat across the board for this memory maker. Starting with EPS in the quarter for Q1, $4.78% higher than the street anticipated on revenues of 13.64% billion. So very strong beat there for Q1.Uh in regards to Q1 non-GAAP gross margins, which is a big concern for a lot of these chip names, 56%, the street was anticipating 52% so stronger there. for Q2 guidance. The company saying in their statement, "Our Q2 outlook reflects substantial records across revenue, gross margins, EPS, ...

Joining us now is truest securities analyst David Smith. David, welcome. Okay, all all of this betting feels like a bit much to me.Sort of reminds me of the online poker boom, what was it, 15 years ago. What's the risk if consumers culturally pull back on risk or if there are some regulatory issues down the line. >> Thanks, John.um that is certainly a risk but all the trends lately have really pointed to you know uh increased risk seeking and volatility from retail investors. You can see that with um you kn ...

driving these big moves higher. Well, joining us now for an exclusive interview is Michael Steinman, CEO of Paname American Silver. Michael, welcome to the show.Thanks for joining us. >> Thanks for having me. >> So, what is driving silver to these record levels.>> Well, there's really two things to silver, right. A, it's a really important uh metal for the economy. It's a critical metal actually right now declared in the US as a critical uh metal and added to the critical strategic uh list for metals uh in ...

Meanwhile, it was yet another day where the AI narrative had the market swinging back and forth. So, as we head into 2026, how should investors distinguish what's a move led purely by an AI headline and what's a real concern for the market. Joining us now are Doug Peta.He is chief US investment strategist at BCA Research and Matt Stucky, chief portfolio manager at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management. Guys, welcome. Um, let's see.Uh, Matt, how should investors treat this AI turbulence in a market that's st ...