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Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-21 15:54
General Observation - The content mentions a potential occurrence "3 times" [1] External Link - The content includes a link: https://t.co/CqNLZmW9CN [1]
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Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-21 07:42
Market Dynamics & Competitive Landscape - Nvidia is positioned as a dominant force in the AI GPU market, effectively controlling narratives around GPU demand [1] - The company actively works to suppress any suggestions of decreasing GPU demand [1]
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Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-20 20:32
US-China AI Race - The US is structurally positioned to lose the AI arms race due to China's advantage in power generation development [2] - China's power generation development is accelerating, while US transmission grid development is decelerating due to permitting issues [2] - The US is investing capital into a race it is structurally positioned to lose [2] Technology and Innovation - Nvidia's development roadmap is essentially a power consumption roadmap, focusing on powering and cooling bigger silicon [1] - Efficiency gains cannot keep up with compute install, leading to climbing power needs [1] - The US needs to innovate with AI-tuned ASICs instead of relying on power-hungry chips [3] Market and Competition - Nvidia has a strong hold on development through investments and agreements with US AI companies and startups [3] - The DOJ Antitrust is investigating Nvidia, but intervention is uncertain [3] - The market needs to realize that LLMs may not be the path to AGI or ASI [3]
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Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-20 07:50
AI Development & Competition - China is positioned to win in the AI race, potentially due to advantages not explicitly detailed in the provided content [1] - The U.S approach of relying on power-hungry Nvidia chips may not be the optimal path forward in AI development [1] Technological Factors - The total power advantage, and more importantly, its rate of change (slope), are significant factors in the AI competition [1]
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Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-20 05:46
Investment Strategy - Scion Capital 在 2000 年 10 月成立时做空亚马逊,并看好旧经济股票的反弹 [1] - Scion Capital 在 2000 年 7 月离开医药行业,买入 13 只旧经济股票,例如 Paccar, Ross Stores, 和 Clayton Homes [1]
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Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-20 05:35
Market Timing & Investment Strategy - Many stocks reached their lowest point in October 2008, with even more bottoming out in March 2009 [1] - The author strongly advocated buying stocks in October 2008 [1] Fund Performance & Investor Behavior - Despite the author's recommendation to buy, investors continued to withdraw funds [1] - The fund was ultimately closed [1]
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Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-20 05:25
In early 2021 I banged the inflation drum hard, but I had called it in 2020 when the lockdowns started due to the inevitable impact of supply chain disruption.Michael Burry said as early as April last year — weeks after the first lockdowns in the US — that the post-pandemic reopening could cause inflation to spike. His prediction was proved right this week by data showing that consumer prices had jumped by 4.2% year-on-year last month, the sharpest increase in 11 years."Prepare for #inflation," Burry tweete ...
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Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-20 05:17
Market Analysis - The industry anticipated a meme stock collapse as early as late June 2021 [1] - The meme stock market experienced a crash within a month or two after July 2021 [1] - By the end of 2023, all meme stocks had collapsed [1]
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Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-20 00:23
Behavioral Psychology in Investing - Scarcity: Limited availability increases perceived value [1] - Reciprocation: Obligation to return favors influences decisions [1] - Social Proof: Mimicking crowd behavior, especially under uncertainty, impacts choices [1] - Liking: Persuasion is easier from those who are liked or found attractive [1] - Authority: Opinions from perceived authorities carry significant weight [1] - Consistency/Commitment: Sticking to previous conclusions or choices is common [1] - Unity: Identifying with a group leads to favoring in-group members [1]
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Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-19 17:36
This is well worth 3 minutes and 15 seconds of your time.https://t.co/VcVdhXYrb4 ...