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社会服务行业简评报告:看好24年出行链景气回升,关注美妆38大促表现
Capital Securities· 2024-02-28 16:00
[Table_Title] 看好 24 年出行链景气回升,关注美妆 38 大促表现 [ 社Ta 会bl 服e_ 务Rep o r 行tDa 业te 简] | 评报告 | 2024.02.28 [评Ta级ble:_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [⚫T abl元e_S宵u节mm周ar边y]游 及短途跨城游需求不减,广州深圳成都等地热度居前。 于那 元宵节恰逢周六,周边游和短途跨城游的需求因此大增。截至2月21 首席分析师 日,同程旅行平台上“元宵节”的相关搜索量周环比增长超300%,逛 SAC执证编号:S0110522070001 庙会、赏花灯、夜游及演出等相关主题的搜索热度相对较高。据同程 yuna3@sczq.com.cn 电话:021-58820297 旅行数据显示,元宵节期间,广州、深圳、成都、重庆、贵阳等城市 的周边游及短途跨城游热度居前。平台数据显示,广州、深圳、上海、 [市Ta场bl指e数_Ch走ar势t]( 最近1年) 成都等核心城市大型灯会外地游客比例均在40%以上。祈福赏灯逛庙 会依然是元宵节期间最具人气的游玩主题,元宵节当晚各地的灯会及 0.2 社会服务 沪深 ...
公司简评报告:优质路产网络赋能业绩表现,高分红比例提升绝对收益
Capital Securities· 2024-02-28 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company, China Merchants Highway (招商公路), is the largest comprehensive highway investment and operation service provider in China, with a total operating mileage of 13,060 kilometers as of June 2023, ranking first among operating expressway companies [3] - The company's operating performance is stable, with a steady cost structure and increased traffic volume boosting profitability. Revenue from 2018 to the first three quarters of 2023 was 67.59, 81.85, 70.69, 86.26, 82.97, and 65.75 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 39.1, 43.27, 22.23, 49.73, 48.61, and 43.63 billion yuan [3] - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 55%, enhancing returns for investors. The actual dividend payout ratios from 2020 to 2022 were 49.20%, 42.99%, and 52.68% [3] - The company is expected to benefit from economic recovery, leading to increased traffic volume and revenue growth. The forecasted net profit for 2023-2025 is 50.3 billion, 60.2 billion, and 64.3 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 13.8, 11.6, and 10.8 [3][4] Summary by Sections Company Overview - China Merchants Highway operates the longest and most comprehensive highway network in China, covering 22 provinces and municipalities, primarily in economically developed and densely populated areas [3] Financial Performance - The company's revenue and net profit have shown fluctuations, with a notable increase in traffic volume and toll revenue in 2023 due to rising demand for passenger and freight transport [3] - The revenue breakdown for 2023 indicates that investment operations account for 72.89%, traffic technology for 19.57%, smart transportation for 4.74%, and ecological investment for 2.80% [3] Profit Forecast - Revenue is projected to grow from 83.0 billion yuan in 2022 to 103.8 billion yuan in 2023, with a growth rate of 25.1%. Net profit is expected to increase from 48.6 billion yuan in 2022 to 50.3 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a growth rate of 3.5% [4]
家用电器行业简评报告:高层再提家电“以旧换新”,利好家电需求释放
Capital Securities· 2024-02-27 16:00
[Table_Title] 高层再提家电“以旧换新”,利好家电需求释放 [Table_ReportDate] 家用电器 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.02.27 [评Ta级ble:_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [⚫T abl习e_近Su平mm主a席ry]主 持召开中央财经委员会第四次会议,强调推动新一轮大 陈梦 规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新,有效降低全社会物流成本。中共中 首席分析师 央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席、中央财经委员会主任习近平 2 SAC执证编号:S0110521070002 月 23 日下午主持召开中央财经委员会第四次会议,研究大规模设备 chenmeng@sczq.com.cn 电话:010-81152649 更新和消费品以旧换新问题,研究有效降低全社会物流成本问题。自 2020年以来,我国政府相关部门多次表态刺激家电消费与更新,相较 潘美伊 于前期相关政府部门表态,我们认为此次会议参会领导级别高,会议 家电分析师 从更高层面再提家电“以旧换新”,推进力度有望进一步加强。 SAC执证编号:S0110524010001 ⚫ 上一轮“家电下乡”产品更换周期已 ...
传媒行业简评报告:AI行情再起,继续看好传媒板块反弹机会
Capital Securities· 2024-02-27 16:00
[Table_Title] AI 行情再起,继续看好传媒板块反弹机会 [Table_ReportDate] 传媒 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.2.27 [评Ta级ble:_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [T[Tabalbel _eS_Sumummmarayr]y ] 李甜露 ⚫ 【核心观点】AI催化不断,看好估值催化背后,产业化应用价值和 传媒互联网行业联席首席分析师 相关应用陆续落地。国外,Sora的推出是大模型领域里程碑式进展, SAC执证编号:S0110516090001 具备高质量、长时长、高精度等优势;国内,央视一套播出首部中 litianlu@sczq.com.cn 电话:86-10-8115 2690 国原创的文生视频AI系列动画片《千秋诗颂》,影片从美术设计到 动效生成,再到后期成片,均为AIGC辅助制作;同时政策端不断 辛迪 释放积极信号。我们认为,当前AIGC进展,大大提升其产业生产 传媒互联网行业分析师 力价值,有望赋能以图片、视频为代表的多模态内容生产,加速内 SAC执证编号:S0110522110003 容制作端生产效率升级。看好:a)优质IP储备 ...
公司简评报告:TWS耳机需求复苏,期待手表芯片持续放量
Capital Securities· 2024-02-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [15][22]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 2.176 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 46.57%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 124 million yuan, up 1.01% year-on-year [4]. - In Q4 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 612 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 94.13%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.38%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same quarter is expected to be 6 million yuan, down 121.20% year-on-year and 91.42% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The company's gross margin is under pressure due to rising upstream costs and declining product prices, with an estimated overall gross margin of 34.20% for the year, down 5.17 percentage points from 2022 [4]. - The company is expanding its presence in the wearable market, particularly in smart watch chips, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth. The BES2700 series wearable main control chip has been launched and is already being used in products from well-known brands [4]. - The demand for TWS (True Wireless Stereo) earphones has shown a stable recovery, with expectations for growth driven by innovations such as AI [4]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 124 million yuan for 2023, 279 million yuan for 2024, and 463 million yuan for 2025, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 110, 49, and 30 times, respectively [4][20]. - Revenue is projected to grow from 2.176 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.570 billion yuan in 2025, with growth rates of 46.54% in 2023, 30.13% in 2024, and 26.09% in 2025 [20]. - The company's R&D expenses are expected to reach 551 million yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.39% [4].
商贸零售行业周报:淘宝成立直播电商公司,直播电商仍为巨头必争之地
Capital Securities· 2024-02-27 16:00
[周Tab报le_:Title淘] 宝成立直播电商公司,直播电商仍为巨头 必争之地 [Table_ReportDate] 商贸零售 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.02.27 [评Ta级ble:_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [Tabl e_Summary] 李田 ⚫ 周度行情:本周(2024.2.19-2024.2.25)主要宽基指数均上涨,风格 首席分析师 偏大盘价值。主要宽基指数中,上证综指数上涨 4.85%,深证成指 SAC执证编号:S0110522090002 上涨 2.82%,创业板指上涨 1.81%。本周(2024.2.19-2024.2.25)商 litian11@sczq.com.cn 贸零售(申万)指数下跌。本周商贸零售指数上涨 6.14%,在申万一 电话: 级行业中排名第11,相对沪深300指数上涨2.43%。商贸零售子板块 方面, 全部上涨。互联网电商涨幅最大,上涨 14.25%。涨幅最小的 [市Ta场bl指e数_Ch走ar势t]( 最近1年) 为旅游零售II,上涨3.17%。 ⚫ 本周个股跌多涨少。本周共 92 只个股上涨,汇通能源、盛迅达、人 0.2 ...
交通运输行业简评报告:春运民航机场迎来开门红,1月数据修复亮眼
Capital Securities· 2024-02-26 16:00
[Table_Title] 春运民航机场迎来开门红,1 月数据修复亮眼 [ 交Ta 通bl 运e_ 输Rep o r 行tDa 业te 简] | 评报告 | 2024.02.26 [评Ta级ble:_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [T[⚫Ta balbel一_eS_周Sumu行mmm情aray回r]y ]顾 。上周沪深300指数上涨3.71%,交通运输(申万) 张功 指数上涨3.86%,在31个申万一级行业中排名第23。二级板块中, 交运行业首席分析师 航空机场周涨跌幅为+1.31%,航运港口的周涨跌幅为+3.62%,物流 SAC执证编号:S0110522030003 周涨跌幅为+5.61%,铁路公路周涨跌幅为+4.60%。 zhanggong1@sczq.com.cn ⚫ 《2024年第8周(02月19日至02月25日)民航运行简报》:全 张莹 国民航执行客运航班量近10.8万架次,日均航班量15536架次,环 交运行业研究助理 比上周上升14.8%,同比2023年上升27%,同比2019年上升4.5%, zhangying2022@sczq.com.cn 航班执飞率为 86 ...
汽车行业周报:年前车市销量承压,节后改善动能强
Capital Securities· 2024-02-26 16:00
[Table_Title] 汽车周报:年前车市销量承压,节后改善动能强 [ 汽Ta 车bl e |_ R 行ep 业or 简tDa 评te 报] 告 | 2023.02.27 [评Ta级ble:_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [ Table_Summary] 岳清慧 ⚫ 年前车市销量承压,节后有望快速改善 汽车首席分析师 SAC执证编号:S0110521050003 1)整体车市:据乘联会,2 月前三周(1-17 日)全国乘用车市场零售 yueqinghui@sczq.com.cn 55.9万辆,同比去年同期下降14%,较上月同期下降43%。其中第一周 日均零售 5.4 万辆,同比增长 48%,环比上月同期增长 1%;第二至三 [市Ta场bl指e数_Ch走ar势t]( 最近1年) 周日均零售2.6万辆,同比下降32%,环比上月同期下降55%。 0.2 汽车 沪深300 2)新能源车:2 月前三周新能源车市场零售 16.5 万辆,同比去年同期 下降 15%,较上月同期下降 44%,今年以来累计零售 83.2 万辆,同比 0 2 1 2 1 1 2 7 - 0 - 1 - - O ...
公司简评报告:拟收购Twin Hills金矿开启海外资源布局
Capital Securities· 2024-02-26 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][8]. Core Views - The company announced plans to acquire 100% of Osino Resources Corp. at a price of CAD 1.9 per share, totaling CAD 368 million. The main asset is the Twin Hills gold mine project in Namibia, which has a gold resource of 99 tons [3]. - The Twin Hills gold mine is expected to start production in 2026, with an annual gold output of approximately 50,000 tons. The feasibility study indicates a processing capacity of 5 million tons per year and a total capital expenditure of USD 365 million [3]. - The company aims to enhance its international presence and become a growth-oriented international gold mining company. The strategic plan includes achieving gold production of 12 tons by the end of 2025 and 28 tons by the end of 2030 [3]. - The company is positioned as a leading domestic gold mining enterprise with significant cost advantages and is expected to benefit from a favorable long-term gold price outlook due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenues for 2023, 2024, and 2025 are CNY 93.32 billion, CNY 103.62 billion, and CNY 118.64 billion, respectively, with corresponding net profits of CNY 14.92 billion, CNY 19.26 billion, and CNY 24.43 billion [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be CNY 0.54, CNY 0.69, and CNY 0.88 for the years 2023, 2024, and 2025, respectively [4].
基础化工行业简评报告:硫磺价格涨幅居前,华恒生物2023年归母净利润同比快速增长
Capital Securities· 2024-02-26 16:00
[硫Tab磺le_价Titl格e] 涨幅居前,华恒生物 2023 年归母净利润同 比快速增长 [Table_ReportDate] 基础化工 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.02.26 [评Ta级ble:_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [⚫T abl本e_S周um化m工ar板y] 块表现:本周(1 月 19 日-2 月 23 日)上证综指报收 翟绪丽 3004.88,周涨幅 4.85%,深证成指报收 9069.42,周涨幅 2.82%,中小 首席分析师 板 100 指数报收 5593.85,周涨幅 2.60%,基础化工(申万)报收 SAC执证编号:S0110522010001 3110.93,周涨幅5.10%,跑赢上证综指0.25pct。申万31个一级行业, zhaixuli@sczq.com.cn 全部涨幅为正,申万化工 7 个二级子行业中,全部涨幅为正,申万化 电话:010-81152683 工 23 个三级子行业中,全部涨幅为正。涨幅居前的个股有安诺其、泉 为科技、同大股份、领湃科技、扬帆新材、科创新源、奇德新材、鹿 甄理 山新材、恒大高新、宁科生物。 化工行业研究助理 ...