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军工:解读“2024年军费”
Zhong Guo Yin Hang· 2024-05-12 13:17
好的 各位投资者朋友们 大家下午好非常高兴我们能代表中央中线研究所军工团队为大家带来本期关于2024年中国军费及近期军工行业这个变化的一个走势 一个观点 一个分享 首先我这段先跟大家交流一下关于本年度中国军费的整个7.2%增速的这么一个观点。其实目前来看的话,军费增速一直是各位投资者朋友们比较关注的,因为它毕竟是军工行业。 一个主要的资金来源跟物质基础但其实根据我们近年来持续连续三年发布的军费深度报告来看其实军费增速它现在已经不太适合作为一个直接性决定性的对金融行业发展一个核心的前瞻性的指标了因为历史上包括二二年二三年等等的军费增速其实这个7.2%基本上在历史都是一个比较高的一个点 但是事实上从军工板块的走向来看以及军工行业上市公司的收入增速端的变化来看其实与增速达到一个历史新高、军费增速达到一个历史新高是不匹配的当然尽管说这样来看的话其实军费仍然具有一定的一个参考意义因为它毕竟是整个国内军工行业需求端的一个主要来源 因此我们也是在整个今年的南洲策略报告中 我们也是做了一个中期性的 在一个军工行业发展总是中期性的一个研究中 我们也是论证了一点 就是 这个军费依然是整个军工行业收入端增速的一个核心的最高指标,只 ...
500强2024:最具价值、最强的企业年度报告
Zhong Guo Yin Hang· 2024-05-12 04:26
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 : s h u i n u 9 8 7 0 加 V 据 数 报 研 和 要 纪 研 调 手 一 多 更 : s h u i n u 9 8 7 0 加 V 据 数 报 研 和 要 Chi纪na 研 ...
四張图揭示股市有望持续反弹-彭博
Zhong Guo Yin Hang· 2024-05-12 04:01
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 四張圖顯示中國股市有望持續反彈 China’s stock rebound may have room to run based on a number of underlying positives including technicals, fund flows, and the outlook for earnings. 基于技术面、资金流和盈利前景等一系列基本利 好因素,中国股市可能还有反弹空间。 ...
电建[.SH]2023年度业绩说明会
Zhong Guo Yin Hang· 2024-05-11 14:09
Summary of the Conference Call Company Overview - The conference call is regarding China Electric Power Construction Group (中国电建) and its 2023 annual performance and cash dividend announcement [1] Core Points and Arguments - The company expressed gratitude to investors, analysts, and media for their ongoing support and interest in the company's development [1] Other Important Content - No specific financial data, industry trends, or detailed performance metrics were provided in the excerpt [1]
住房需求总量及结构趋势研究之四
Zhong Guo Yin Hang· 2024-05-11 13:55
Summary of the Conference Call on China's Real Estate Industry Industry Overview - The Chinese real estate industry is experiencing a rapid decline in demand, with annual residential sales dropping by 49% and construction starts decreasing by 62% [1] - Land acquisition has also seen a significant decline of approximately 59% across 300 cities [1] - Housing prices in first-tier cities have decreased by about 25% from historical highs, with national housing prices potentially falling by over 25%, approaching 30% [1] Core Insights and Arguments - The rental yield for real estate has surpassed government bond yields, with first-tier cities yielding around 1.8%, second-tier cities at par with bond yields, and third and fourth-tier cities showing significantly higher returns [1][2] - The market fundamentals of the Chinese real estate sector have undergone a deep adjustment, but signs of policy catalysis and bottom support are emerging, indicating a potential gradual recovery [1] - The long-term residential demand center in China is estimated to be around 1.16 billion square meters, despite current market sales and construction volumes declining [1][4] Additional Important Content - The current rental yield across most cities exceeds 2.5%, while the 10-year government bond yield has dropped to approximately 2.29%, indicating a narrowing spread that may favor real estate investment [2] - The construction starts per thousand people in China is 4.5, which is lower than Japan's 6.6 and comparable to the US's 4.2, suggesting that China's real estate market has a solid foundation after deep adjustments [3] - The residential sales area in 2023 has fallen to 950 million square meters, with construction area dropping below 700 million square meters, indicating an oversold market state [4] - The second-hand housing market has shown relative improvement, with transaction data from 17 cities indicating a better performance compared to 2022, although still below 2021 levels [5] - Recent policy changes include a shift towards demand-side support, with over 30 cities promoting "old-for-new" policies and easing purchase restrictions in key cities like Beijing and Chengdu [6][7] - The government is implementing strict controls on new land supply and utilizing "old-for-new" policies to manage inventory, which is expected to provide support for both market volume and prices [6][8]
海油20240509
Zhong Guo Yin Hang· 2024-05-11 11:47
Summary of Conference Call Company and Industry Involved - The conference call pertains to **CNOOC (China National Offshore Oil Corporation)** and **CNOOC Services** [1] Core Points and Arguments - The call is hosted by **Dongxing Securities**, focusing on a deep report regarding the energy sector, specifically offshore oil and gas exploration and production [1] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The participants were muted at the beginning of the call, indicating a structured format for the presentation [1]
咖啡机行业概览:顺应咖啡经济新趋势,国产品牌创新突围
Zhong Guo Yin Hang· 2024-05-11 11:47
哈喽大家好我是投包研究员消费行业的分析师张晴瑞欢迎收看投包带你读研报栏目本期我们一起讨论一下2024年中国咖啡机行业的发展情况生意咖啡经济新趋势国产品牌创新助理 西蒙咖啡厂的扩容新品牌的优先以及技术的创新共同推动了咖啡机市场高速增长与本土而创新但中国家用咖啡机的普遍率仍然较低市场发展空间较为充足随着消费者对于中国咖啡机品牌认可度的日益提升本土品牌已逐渐扩大其市场份额并营销提升市场竞争力 技术的不断迭代和市场趋势升级为中国咖啡机行业向高端化和智能化方向迈进提供了坚持的基础那今天我们来分享大概分为五个部分首先是一个行业的概览其次是发展的现状第三是市场的容量第四是市场格局然后最后是一个发展趋势我们首先来看一看咖啡厂的一个发展历程吧 随着中国消费者生活方式的转变和口味的日益多元化咖啡机作为咖啡文化的重要载体在中国省的发展历程呈现出鲜明的阶段性跟趋势性从2000年到2013年是中国咖啡厂也在启动阶段台湾品牌纷纷进入中国市场比如2005年德荣进入中国市场定位于高端消费群体产品的均价均超过5000元 自2013年去朝旗下高端胶囊咖啡机品牌多曲库斯也就是进入中国大陆市场这一举措引领了胶囊咖啡制的一个风潮从2014年到2019 ...
患病负担全球占比近40
Zhong Guo Yin Hang· 2024-05-11 11:46
哈喽大家好我是投保研究院医疗组的分析师金静今天我要带来的主题是卡金森药物治疗的行业分析那我将从卡金森引发的机制用药的分类产业链概览市场规模展望和市场竞争格局联判等方面为大家进行行业梳理那首先来到的是行业专属 中文普通话 接下来是行业综述,叛逆症病是由黑石多巴胺等神经元退化,脉状体多巴胺减少,和神经元内异常蛋白聚集形成的路易小体等病理症状引发的一种神经系统变性的疾病,表冠症状主要表现为禁止性振颤,强制运动迟缓,从不开异常等等。 那帕金森帕金森患者发病的特有症状呢包含寂寞现象和开关现象那么寂寞现象呢是指患者在进行药物治疗一段时间之后每次用药的有效时间逐渐缩短症状的缓解与加重随着血药粘度发生规律性波动的现象开关现象呢都是发生于患者服用左旋头八类药物三到五年之后是一种难以预测的药效波动现象 其中的关系主要表现为突然出现的肢体僵持和运动障碍开期是指在未接受任何形式治疗的情况下运动功能突然恢复正常开期分定的SOI分期是临床常用的评估方法根据病情严重程度可以将患者分为五期其中将1-2.5期患者定义为早期3-5期患者定义为中晚期早期患者临床都采用了多巴胺收取机动器 mAOV抑制剂RX多酚甲烯转移酶抑制剂和胆解能药物等进行疾病 ...
股市高波动之谜
Zhong Guo Yin Hang· 2024-05-10 14:27
中国股市高波动之谜 燕翔 2024年4月 202 ...