摩根士丹利发布研报称，港府新一份《财政预算案》宣布将价值超过1亿元的住宅物业印花税率上调至 6.5%。该行估算此类物业在2025年占总成交量0.3%，但占总成交额8%，预期措施将对九龙仓集团 （00004）构成负面影响； 其他有此类物业风险敞口的公司包括恒隆地产（00101）（如蓝塘道洋房）、长实集团（01113）（如波 老道21号项目）、恒基地产（00012）（如西半山天御）及新鸿基地产（00016） 商业地皮方面，连续第二年没有商业用地推出发售，将透过改善供需情况来支持写字楼及零售物业市 场。而各项人才计划已吸引27万人来港，其中逾10万人透过高端人才通行证计划来港，为香港创造额外 的住屋需求。 。 商业地皮方面，连续第二年没有商业用地推出发售，将透过改善供需情况来支持写字楼及零售物业市 场。而各项人才计划已吸引27万人来港，其中逾10万人透过高端人才通行证计划来港，为香港创造额外 的住屋需求。 另外，政府正寻求将房托基金（REITs）纳入互联互通机制，并引入修订条例草案以促进REITs私有化 或重组，以及可能豁免寻求上市的REITs转让非住宅物业的印花税； 此举对领展房产基金（00823）属正面因素。 ...

港股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：磐石 商业地皮方面，连续第二年没有商业用地推出发售，将透过改善供需情况来支持写字楼及零售物业市 场。而各项人才计划已吸引27万人来港，其中逾10万人透过高端人才通行证计划来港，为香港创造额外 的住屋需求。 另外，政府正寻求将房托基金(REITs)纳入互联互通机制，并引入修订条例草案以促进REITs私有化或重 组，以及可能豁免寻求上市的REITs转让非住宅物业的印花税；此举对领展属正面因素。整体而言，该 行对香港楼价复苏保持建设性看法，预期今年楼价升10%，且不预期年内会推出任何收紧措施。香港地 产股年初至今股价已累升约20%至50%，部分上行空间已被消化。即将展开的业绩期，在利润率下降及 2026年盈利展望疲弱下，可能带来波动。 2月26日，摩根士丹利发表研报指，港府新一份《财政预算案》宣布将价值超过1亿港元的住宅物业印花 税率上调至6.5%。该行估算此类物业在2025年占总成交量0.3%，但占总成交额8%，预期措施将对九龙 仓集团构成负面影响；其他有此类物业风险敞口的公司包括恒隆地产、长实、恒地及新地。 ...

整体而言，该行对香港楼价复苏保持建设性看法，预期今年楼价升10%，且不预期年内会推出任何收紧 措施。香港地产股年初至今股价已累升约20%至50%，部分上行空间已被消化。即将展开的业绩期，在 利润率下降及2026年盈利展望疲弱下，可能带来波动。 另外，政府正寻求将房托基金(REITs)纳入互联互通机制，并引入修订条例草案以促进REITs私有化或重 组，以及可能豁免寻求上市的REITs转让非住宅物业的印花税；此举对领展属正面因素。 摩根士丹利发表研报指，港府新一份《财政预算案》宣布将价值超过1亿港元的住宅物业印花税率上调 至6.5%。该行估算此类物业在2025年占总成交量0.3%，但占总成交额8%，预期措施将对九龙仓集团构 成负面影响；其他有此类物业风险敞口的公司包括恒隆地产、长实、恒地及新地。 商业地皮方面，连续第二年没有商业用地推出发售，将透过改善供需情况来支持写字楼及零售物业市 场。而各项人才计划已吸引27万人来港，其中逾10万人透过高端人才通行证计划来港，为香港创造额外 的住屋需求。 ...

Group 1 - Anta Sports-R (82020), JD Health-R (86618), and Geely Automobile-R (80175) have the highest short-selling ratios at 100.00%, 100.00%, and 95.46% respectively [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba-W (09988), and Meituan-W (03690) lead in short-selling amounts, with 2.193 billion, 1.867 billion, and 1.658 billion respectively [1] - Geely Automobile-R (80175), Tencent Holdings-R (80700), and Blue Moon Group (06993) have the highest deviation values at 56.09%, 35.57%, and 33.29% respectively [1] Group 2 - The top short-selling ratio rankings show Anta Sports-R (82020) at 100.00% with a short-selling amount of 29.79 thousand, followed by JD Health-R (86618) at 100.00% with 9.88 thousand, and Geely Automobile-R (80175) at 95.46% with 31.09 thousand [2] - The top short-selling amounts are led by Tencent Holdings (00700) at 2.193 billion, Alibaba-W (09988) at 1.867 billion, and Meituan-W (03690) at 1.658 billion [2] - The highest short-selling deviation values are led by Geely Automobile-R (80175) at 56.09%, followed by Tencent Holdings-R (80700) at 35.57%, and Blue Moon Group (06993) at 33.29% [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the short-selling ratios and amounts for various companies, indicating significant market activity and investor sentiment towards these stocks [1][2]. Group 2 - The top three companies by short-selling ratio are China Resources Beer (80291), Great Wall Motor (82333), and JD Health (86618), all at 100.00% [1][2]. - The top three companies by short-selling amount are Meituan (03690) with 1.878 billion, Zijin Mining (02899) with 1.770 billion, and Tencent Holdings (00700) with 1.606 billion [1][2]. - The companies with the highest deviation values in short-selling are Kuaishou (81024) at 36.81%, Zhaojin Mining (01818) at 33.02%, and China Shipbuilding Leasing (03877) at 30.32% [1][2].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains an optimistic outlook on the Hong Kong residential market, predicting a 10% year-on-year increase in property prices and a 5% rise in rental rates for this year [1] Group 1: Market Predictions - Property prices are expected to rebound by 5% this year after hitting a bottom last year, supported by strong purchasing power from mainland buyers [1] - Overall, the residential market is anticipated to experience an upward cycle that could last for several years [1] Group 2: Stock Recommendations - Morgan Stanley prefers stocks such as Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016), Cheung Kong Holdings (01113), and Henderson Land Development (00012), all rated as "Overweight" [1] - The firm is bearish on Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (00004), assigning it a "Underweight" rating [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Developers are becoming more active in the land market and are raising average prices for new development projects [1] - Despite improved market sentiment, the vacancy rate for commercial properties remains high, with only prime assets in Central expected to see rental increases [1] Group 4: Cost and Development Challenges - Significant increases in construction costs are likely to compress profit margins for residential projects and hinder the conversion of secondary office buildings or industrial properties into student accommodations [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains an optimistic outlook on the Hong Kong residential market, predicting a 10% year-on-year increase in property prices and a 5% rise in rents for this year [1] Group 1: Market Predictions - Property prices are expected to rebound by 5% this year after hitting a bottom last year, driven by strong purchasing power from mainland buyers [1] - Overall, the residential market is anticipated to experience an upward cycle that could last for several years [1] Group 2: Company Preferences - Morgan Stanley prefers New World Development (00016), Cheung Kong Holdings (01113), and Henderson Land Development (00012), all rated as "Overweight" [1] - The firm is bearish on Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (00004), assigning it a "Underweight" rating [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Developers are becoming more active in the land market and are raising average prices for new development projects [1] - Despite improved market sentiment, the commercial property vacancy rate remains high, with only prime assets in Central expected to see rental increases [1] Group 4: Cost and Risk Factors - Significant increases in construction costs are likely to compress profit margins for residential projects and hinder the conversion of secondary office buildings or industrial properties into student accommodations [1] - Geopolitical risks and macroeconomic uncertainties may pose downward pressure on the market [1]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley maintains an optimistic outlook on the Hong Kong residential market, predicting a 10% year-on-year increase in property prices and a 5% growth in rental rates for this year [1] - The firm favors New World Development, Cheung Kong Property, and Henderson Land Development, assigning them "overweight" ratings, while it is bearish on Wharf Real Estate Investment Company, giving it a "underweight" rating [1] - Recent discussions with JLL Hong Kong Chairman, C. K. Chan, indicated that strong purchasing power from mainland buyers is expected to drive property prices up by 5% this year after hitting a bottom last year, with this upward cycle likely to continue for several years [1] Group 2 - The report highlights that a reduction in interest rates and favorable capital market performance could provide further upward momentum for the property market, although geopolitical risks and macroeconomic uncertainties may pose downward pressures [1] - Despite an overall improvement in market sentiment, C. K. Chan noted that the vacancy rate for commercial properties remains high, with only prime assets in Central expected to see rental increases [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley expresses an optimistic outlook on the Hong Kong residential market, predicting a 10% annual increase in property prices by 2026 and a 5% growth in rental prices, although stock prices are expected to experience increased volatility ahead of earnings season [1] Group 1: Market Predictions - Property prices in Hong Kong are expected to rebound by 5% this year after hitting a low last year, with a potential upward cycle lasting several years, according to JLL Hong Kong Chairman, C. H. Tsang [1] - The forecast includes a 10% annual increase in property prices by 2026 and a 5% increase in rental prices [1] Group 2: Stock Ratings - Morgan Stanley favors stocks of Sun Hung Kai Properties, Cheung Kong Holdings, and Henderson Land Development, assigning them an "Overweight" rating [1] - The firm holds a negative outlook on Wharf Holdings and New World Development, assigning them a "Underweight" rating [1]

| 截至月份: | 2026年1月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 九龍倉集團有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年2月5日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 不適用 | | 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 FF301 FF301 足夠公眾持股量的確認(註4) | 根據《主板上市規則》第13.32D(1)條或第19A.28D(1)條 / 《GEM上市規則》第17.37D(1)條或第25.21D(1)條，我們在此確認，就上述所列股份類別而言，截至本月底: | | --- | | ✔ 已符合適用的公眾持股量要求（見下方） | | 未符合適用的公眾持股量要求（見下方） | | 根據《主板上市規則》第13.32B條或第19A.28B條 / 《GEM上市規則》第17.37B條或第25.21B條（視情況而定）所載的有關股份類別的最低公眾持股量要求為： | | 適用的公眾持股量門檻 初始指定門檻 - 上市股份所屬類 ...