Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying and sustaining trends in short-term investing, highlighting that confirming strong fundamentals and positive earnings estimates is crucial for maintaining momentum in stock prices [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Swire Pacific (SWRAY) has shown a solid price increase of 12.7% over the past 12 weeks, indicating investor confidence in its potential upside [3]. - The stock has also experienced a price increase of 14.4% over the last four weeks, suggesting that the upward trend is still intact [4]. - SWRAY is currently trading at 88.3% of its 52-week high-low range, indicating a potential breakout opportunity [4]. Group 2: Fundamental Strength - SWRAY holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, which are critical for near-term price movements [5]. - The stock has an Average Broker Recommendation of 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting strong optimism from the brokerage community regarding its near-term price performance [6]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The article suggests that investors can utilize the "Recent Price Strength" screen to identify stocks like SWRAY that are on an uptrend supported by strong fundamentals [2]. - There are over 45 Zacks Premium Screens available for investors to find stocks that align with their personal investing styles, enhancing the chances of selecting winning stocks [7].

Group 1 - Hong Kong local real estate stocks experienced a broad increase, with Hysan Development rising over 5% [1] - Other notable gainers include Kowloon Development and Kerry Properties, both up over 4%, while Kowloon Group and Sun Hung Kai Properties increased by over 3% [1] - Swire Properties B shares rose nearly 3%, and Longfor Group, Sino Land, Swire Properties A, and Swire Group all saw increases of over 1% [1] Group 2 - Hysan Development's latest price is 21.600 with a market capitalization of 221.83 billion [2] - Kowloon Development's latest price is 26.600 with a market capitalization of 807.64 billion [2] - Kerry Properties' latest price is 22.840 with a market capitalization of 331.48 billion [2] - Kowloon Group's latest price is 24.940 with a market capitalization of 762.17 billion [2] - Sun Hung Kai Properties' latest price is 113.900 with a market capitalization of 3300.57 billion [2] - Swire Properties B's latest price is 12.460 with a market capitalization of 354.98 billion [2] - Longfor Group's latest price is 43.960 with a market capitalization of 1538.5 billion [2] - Sino Land's latest price is 11.500 with a market capitalization of 1090.72 billion [2] - Swire Properties' latest price is 23.380 with a market capitalization of 1346.1 billion [2] - Swire Group's latest price is 74.400 with a market capitalization of 579.57 billion [2]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the performance of Hong Kong composite enterprises will be differentiated in 2025, driven mainly by asset sales and capital recovery activities, with investors shifting to valuing companies based on price-to-book ratios rather than dividend yields [1] Group 1: Company Ratings and Price Targets - UBS prefers Cheung Kong (00001) and Swire A (00019) among the covered stocks, giving Cheung Kong a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 58.8, raised from USD 83.4 and HKD 67 [1] - Swire is given a "Neutral" rating, with its target price reduced from HKD 74 to HKD 72.7 [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - UBS forecasts that Cheung Kong's basic net profit will grow by 3% year-on-year in 2025, a slowdown from the 11% growth seen in the first half of last year, with expected EBITDA growth in the port and retail businesses to decelerate in the second half [1] - For Swire, UBS estimates a 9.1% year-on-year increase in recurring basic earnings to HKD 10.1 billion, with a projected 5% rise in the final dividend [1] Group 3: Asset Management and Valuation - UBS believes that potential asset sales and possible spin-off plans could help Cheung Kong narrow its current 47% discount to net asset value, indicating that the current valuation is attractive [1] - Unlike Cheung Kong and Jardine Matheson, UBS sees limited room for corporate actions for Swire but expects continued improvement in its balance sheet this year, benefiting from growth in its real estate business [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the performance of Hong Kong composite enterprises' stock prices will diverge in 2025, driven mainly by asset sales and capital recovery activities, with investors shifting to valuing companies based on price-to-book ratios rather than dividend yields [1] Group 1: Company Ratings and Price Targets - UBS prefers Cheung Kong (00001) and Swire Properties A (00019) among the covered stocks, with a "Buy" rating for Cheung Kong and a target price of HKD 58.8, raised from USD 83.4 and HKD 67 [1] - For Swire, UBS assigns a "Neutral" rating, lowering the target price from HKD 74 to HKD 72.7 [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - UBS anticipates Cheung Kong's basic net profit will grow by 3% year-on-year in 2025, a slowdown from the 11% growth seen in the first half of last year, with expected EBITDA growth in the port and retail sectors to decelerate in the second half [1] - UBS estimates Swire's recurring basic earnings will increase by 9.1% year-on-year to HKD 10.1 billion, with a projected 5% rise in the final dividend [1] Group 3: Asset Management and Valuation - UBS believes potential asset sales and possible spin-off plans could help Cheung Kong narrow its current 47% discount to net asset value, indicating that the current valuation is attractive [1] - Unlike Cheung Kong and Jardine Matheson, UBS sees limited room for corporate actions for Swire but expects continued improvement in its balance sheet this year, benefiting from growth in its real estate business [1]

Core Viewpoint - As of January 15, a total of 105 stocks reached their 52-week highs, with notable performers including 德莱建业 (01546), 东曜药业－Ｂ (01875), and 大森控股 (01580) achieving high rates of 78.00%, 51.36%, and 37.61% respectively [1]. Summary by Category 52-Week Highs - 德莱建业 (01546) closed at 0.355, with a peak of 0.445, marking a high rate of 78.00% [1]. - 东曜药业－Ｂ (01875) closed at 4.190, reaching a high of 4.450, with a high rate of 51.36% [1]. - 大森控股 (01580) closed at 0.275, with a peak of 0.300, achieving a high rate of 37.61% [1]. - 顺兴集团控股 (01637) and 怡园酒业 (08146) also showed significant increases, with high rates of 36.36% and 24.74% respectively [1]. Additional Notable Stocks - JBB BUILDERS (01903) reached a high rate of 24.12% with a closing price of 2.830 [1]. - 天臣控股 (01201) and 江苏创新 (02116) had high rates of 15.38% and 15.00% respectively [1]. - 万国黄金集团 (03939) and 竣球控股 (01481) also performed well, with high rates of 12.95% and 12.44% respectively [1]. 52-Week Lows - The report also noted stocks reaching 52-week lows, with 天彩控股 (03882) showing a low rate of -14.42% [3]. - 中国智慧能源 (01004) and 基石控股 (01592) followed with low rates of -13.64% and -12.86% respectively [3]. - 弘毅文化集团－旧 (02990) and 中原建业 (09982) also reported significant declines of -9.09% and -6.06% respectively [3].

Core Viewpoint - Cathay Pacific announced a share buyback plan and a share placement agreement with China National Aviation Holding Company, which will result in changes to the shareholding structure of the company [1] Group 1: Share Buyback and Placement - Cathay Pacific plans to conduct an off-market share buyback, with the announcement made on January 6 [1] - China National Aviation has entered into a share placement agreement to sell 108,080,000 shares, expected to be completed before a special shareholders' meeting [1] - Following the completion of the share placement and buyback, Swire's shareholding will increase from approximately 43.09% to about 47.65% [1] Group 2: Shareholding Changes - After the share placement, China National Aviation's shareholding will rise from approximately 27.11% to about 29.98% [1] - The changes in shareholding reflect the adjustments made in the irrevocable commitment previously signed by China National Aviation [1]

Group 1 - Major investment banks like Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and UBS are optimistic about the global stock market outlook for 2026, expecting double-digit gains in both developed and emerging markets due to strong earnings growth, declining interest rates, and reduced policy headwinds [1] - The United States is projected to maintain its position as the global growth engine, driven by a resilient economy and an AI-driven supercycle that is leading to record capital expenditures and rapid earnings expansion [1] - The momentum of the AI industry is spreading globally across various sectors including technology, utilities, banking, healthcare, and logistics, creating both winners and losers amid an already imbalanced K-shaped economy [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs has released a list of recommended stocks for investment based on the Earnings Revision Leading Indicator (ERLI), which includes companies such as AIA Group (01299.HK), Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK), Lenovo Group (00992.HK), and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388.HK) [1] - Other notable stocks on the list include China Ping An (02318.HK), Zijin Mining (02899.HK), Techtronic Industries (00669.HK), and China Pacific Insurance (02601.HK) [1] - Additional companies mentioned are ZTO Express-W (02057.HK), Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK), Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK), and China Aluminum (02600.HK) [1]

第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年12月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | Swire Pacific Limited 太古股份有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年1月2日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 不適用 | | | 備註： | | | | Swire Pacific Limited 太古股份有限公司並無法定股本，及其股本並無股份面值。 | | | FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 FF301 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00019 | 說明 | A股 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that 2026 will be filled with catalysts for Hong Kong conglomerates, with Chow Tai Fook (00659), Jardine Matheson, and First Pacific (00142) expected to have the most catalysts [1] - The industry is anticipated to see a 5% growth in recurring profits by 2026, supported by a weak US dollar, and the likelihood of dividend cuts is low, leading to a projected 3% year-on-year increase in industry dividends for 2026 [1] Group 2 - The top stock picks are Chow Tai Fook and Cheung Kong (00001), as they offer the most attractive risk-reward profiles, with target prices set at HKD 8.8 and HKD 61 respectively, both rated as "outperform" [1] - The report is also optimistic about First Pacific, Swire Properties (00019), and Jardine Matheson, with target prices of HKD 8.2 and HKD 74 for the first two, both rated as "outperform" [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that the year 2026 will be filled with catalysts for Hong Kong conglomerates, with Chow Tai Fook (00659), Jardine Matheson, and First Pacific (00142) expected to experience the most catalysts [1] Industry Summary - The industry is projected to see a 5% growth in recurring earnings by 2026, supported by a weak US dollar, which creates favorable conditions [1] - The likelihood of dividend cuts is considered low, supporting a year-on-year growth of 3% in industry dividends for 2026 [1] Company Summary - Chow Tai Fook and Cheung Kong (00001) are identified as top picks due to their attractive risk-return profiles, with target prices set at HKD 8.8 and HKD 61 respectively, both rated as "Outperform" [1] - First Pacific, Swire Properties (00019), and Jardine Matheson are also viewed positively, with target prices of HKD 8.2 and HKD 74, both rated as "Outperform" [1]