Group 1: Construction Industry Overview - The construction industry is currently under pressure, with revenue and profit expected to improve in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to increased funding and project commencement [2][5] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the construction sector achieved revenue of 5.85 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 5.51%, and a net profit of 123.9 billion yuan, down 10.06% [6][8] - The overall gross margin for the construction sector in 2025 Q1-3 was 9.91%, with a net margin of 2.61%, reflecting a slight decline compared to the previous year [6][7] Group 2: Central Enterprises Performance - Nine major state-owned construction enterprises accounted for 83.45% of the sector's revenue and 83.99% of net profit in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating their dominant role in the industry [8] - Excluding state-owned enterprises, the sector's revenue decline deepened to -12.37%, while the net profit decline narrowed to -5.48%, highlighting the stabilizing effect of state-owned enterprises on revenue [8][9] - The new contracts signed by state-owned enterprises in 2025 Q1-3 totaled approximately 10.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 1.31% [8] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend, low-valuation stocks in a context of loose liquidity and low interest rates, recommending companies like Jianghe Group and Sichuan Road & Bridge [9] - It also emphasizes the importance of companies that are clearly transitioning towards new energy, smart manufacturing, and digital construction, indicating a growth potential in these areas [9] Group 4: OSL Group Overview - OSL Group is a licensed digital asset trading and payment platform, recognized as the first major virtual asset trading platform in Hong Kong [12][13] - The company has developed a digital asset ecosystem comprising brokerage, payment, asset management, exchange, and institutional services, with significant revenue contributions from brokerage and payment services [13][14] - OSL is transitioning from a single trading platform to a comprehensive digital asset financial infrastructure provider, with advantages in payment services and a robust global compliance network [14][15] Group 5: Market Opportunities for OSL - The digital asset industry is expected to benefit from a shift in monetary policy, clearer global regulatory frameworks, and the entry of institutional funds, presenting growth opportunities for OSL [13][14] - The company anticipates significant revenue growth, with projected non-IFRS revenues of 467 million, 764 million, and 1.22 billion HKD for 2025-2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 89% [15]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an investment rating of "Buy" for OSL Group, marking its first coverage [5][10]. Core Insights - OSL Group is a licensed digital asset trading and payment platform, uniquely positioned as Hong Kong's only publicly listed virtual asset exchange focused on digital asset trading and payment services. The company has obtained multiple important licenses across over 10 jurisdictions, including Hong Kong, Japan, Australia, the EU (Italy), and Bermuda [5][6]. - The company is transitioning from a single trading platform to a comprehensive digital asset financial infrastructure provider, leveraging four key advantages: the rise of payment services, significant trading fee advantages, a global compliance network, and a triad of compliance, security, and liquidity [7][68]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of November 19, 2025, OSL Group's closing price is HKD 15.03, with a market capitalization of HKD 11,942.77 million. The stock has seen a one-year high of HKD 20.30 and a low of HKD 6.84 [3]. Business Overview - OSL Group has developed a digital asset ecosystem comprising brokerage, payment, asset management, exchange, and institutional services. The brokerage business contributes approximately half of the revenue, while the payment business, launched only two months prior, accounted for 29% of the revenue in the first half of 2025 [6][8]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts non-IFRS revenues for OSL Group to be HKD 4.67 billion, HKD 7.64 billion, and HKD 12.20 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 119%, 64%, and 60% [8][10]. Strategic Initiatives - OSL is expanding its payment services, with OSL Pay generating significant revenue shortly after its launch. The company is also pursuing acquisitions to enhance its service offerings and expand its operational capabilities [39][69]. Competitive Positioning - OSL Group's fee structure is competitive, with trading fees ranging from 0% to 0.05%, and no deposit fees, positioning it favorably against other major platforms [73]. Regulatory Environment - The report highlights a favorable regulatory landscape for digital assets, with significant developments in compliance frameworks across various jurisdictions, enhancing the stability and credibility of the digital asset market [61][62]. Growth Drivers - The anticipated easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve and the establishment of clear regulatory frameworks are expected to drive growth in the digital asset sector, benefiting OSL Group as it captures institutional interest and expands its market presence [58][66].

Core Insights - The article highlights the top short-selling stocks in the market, indicating significant investor sentiment and potential market movements [1][2]. Short Selling Ratios - AIA Group (81299), Li Ning (82331), and JD Health (86618) have the highest short-selling ratios at 100.00% each [1][2]. - JD Group (89618) follows closely with a short-selling ratio of 98.73%, while Tencent Holdings (80700) has a ratio of 94.71% [2]. Short Selling Amounts - Xiaomi Group (01810) leads in short-selling amount with 2.524 billion, followed by Alibaba (09988) at 2.305 billion and Tencent Holdings (00700) at 1.140 billion [1][2]. - Other notable mentions include Pop Mart (09992) with 1.016 billion and Lenovo Group (00992) at 676 million [2]. Deviation Values - Zhongyuan Bank (01216) has the highest deviation value at 62.66%, indicating a significant difference from its average short-selling ratio over the past 30 days [1][2]. - East Asia Bank (00023) and Autohome (02518) follow with deviation values of 38.85% and 38.65%, respectively [2].

Group 1 - Cryptocurrency concept stocks continue to decline, with Okex Chain (01499.HK) down 8.68%, trading at 0.221 HKD [1] - OSL Group (00863.HK) has decreased by 5.08%, currently priced at 15.15 HKD [1] - Boyaa Interactive (00434.HK) fell by 3.85%, now at 4.25 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency concept stocks continue to decline, with significant drops observed in various companies, indicating a potential weak period for the cryptocurrency market [1]. Company Performance - OK Blockchain (01499) fell by 8.68%, trading at 0.221 HKD [1]. - OSL Group (00863) decreased by 5.08%, trading at 15.15 HKD [1]. - Boyaa Interactive (00434) dropped by 3.85%, trading at 4.25 HKD [1]. Market Analysis - On November 17, Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline, briefly falling below the 93,000 USD mark, erasing over 30% of its gains since the beginning of the year [1]. - Analysts suggest that the ongoing sell-off in the cryptocurrency market may be driven by capital withdrawal, indicating the market may be entering a fragile period [1]. - Patrick Munnelly from Tickmill Group noted that major investment funds, exchange-traded fund investors, and corporate treasury departments have retreated from Bitcoin, removing the key support that fueled this year's rebound, thus signaling a new phase of market vulnerability [1].

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency concept stocks continue to decline, with significant drops observed in companies such as OKLink (01499), OSL Group (00863), and Boyaa Interactive (00434) following a sharp decline in Bitcoin prices [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the report, OKLink (01499) fell by 8.68% to HKD 0.221, OSL Group (00863) decreased by 5.08% to HKD 15.15, and Boyaa Interactive (00434) dropped by 3.85% to HKD 4.25 [1] - On November 17, Bitcoin experienced a significant drop, briefly falling below USD 93,000, erasing over 30% of its gains since the beginning of the year [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - Analysts suggest that the ongoing decline in the cryptocurrency market may be attributed to capital withdrawal, indicating a potential onset of a fragile period for the market [1] - Patrick Munnelly from Tickmill Group reported that major investment funds, exchange-traded fund investors, and corporate treasury departments have retreated from Bitcoin, removing the key support that fueled this year's rebound, thus signaling a new phase of market vulnerability [1]

Core Viewpoint - Cryptocurrency-related stocks experienced a decline on November 14, with notable drops in several companies' share prices [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Boyaa Interactive (00434.HK) fell by 5.51%, trading at 4.46 HKD [1] - MStrategy (02440.HK) decreased by 3.74%, with a share price of 2.06 HKD [1] - OSL Group (00863.HK) saw a decline of 3.65%, priced at 16.38 HKD [1] - OKLink (01499.HK) dropped by 2.4%, trading at 0.244 HKD [1]

Group 1 - Cryptocurrency concept stocks have declined, with notable drops including Boyaa Interactive down 5.51% to HKD 4.46, MStrategy down 3.74% to HKD 2.06, OSL Group down 3.65% to HKD 16.38, and OKLink down 2.4% to HKD 0.244 [1][1][1] - The cryptocurrency market has been severely impacted, with Bitcoin falling below the USD 100,000 mark and Ethereum dropping below USD 3,200, experiencing a 24-hour decline of over 7% [1][1][1] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the recent sell-off was catalyzed by cautious remarks from several Federal Reserve officials, indicating that interest rate cuts should be approached with caution [1][1][1] - According to CME data, the probability of interest rate cuts has sharply decreased from over 70% a week ago to around 50% [1][1][1] - Federal Reserve officials, including Kashkari, Musalem, and Harmack, expressed concerns about inflation remaining above the 2% target, advocating for a cautious approach to further rate cuts [1][1][1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the top short-selling ratios and amounts for various companies, indicating significant market sentiment against these stocks [1][2]. Short-Selling Ratios - The top three companies with the highest short-selling ratios are Hang Seng Bank-R (80011) and BYD Company-R (81211), both at 100.00%, followed by Kuaishou-WR (81024) at 90.79% [1][2]. - The short-selling ratio for Shengjing Bank (02066) is 83.46%, while Meituan-WR (83690) has a ratio of 77.62% [2]. Short-Selling Amounts - The companies with the highest short-selling amounts are Xiaomi Group-W (01810) at 2.038 billion, Tencent Holdings (00700) at 1.705 billion, and Pop Mart (09992) at 1.689 billion [1][2]. - Other notable companies include Alibaba-SW (09988) with 1.451 billion and Ping An Insurance (02318) with 1.368 billion [2]. Short-Selling Deviation Values - The top three companies with the highest deviation values are Shengjing Bank (02066) at 71.47%, Hang Seng Bank-R (80011) at 60.71%, and BYD Company-R (81211) at 49.79% [1][2]. - Kuaishou-WR (81024) has a deviation value of 40.46%, indicating a significant difference from its historical short-selling average [2].

Group 1 - The report indicates that Chinese regulatory authorities maintain a cautious stance towards digital assets, but do not impose a ban. The internationalization of the Renminbi and the development of digital assets are areas that regulators wish to explore further, with various pathways including the central bank digital currency (e-CNY) [1] - DBS believes that banks play a crucial role in the digital asset space, contrasting with some investors' concerns that stablecoins may impact banking operations. Instead, banks are deeply involved in digital assets [1] - The report maintains a positive outlook for Hong Kong banks and fintech companies. Short-term catalysts for related fintech companies include the approval of stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong and the introduction of more favorable cryptocurrency policies in the United States [1] Group 2 - The report favors companies with clear stablecoin and digital asset application scenarios, including OSL Group (00863), LianLian Digital (02598), and Linklogis Technology-W (09959). In the banking sector, Bank of China Hong Kong (02388) is expected to benefit from the long-term opportunities of Renminbi tokenization and internationalization [1] - During the Hong Kong Fintech Week, regulation emerged as a frequently mentioned topic in the digital asset forum. The regulatory framework in the digital asset sector is still evolving compared to traditional finance [2] - DBS reiterated "buy" ratings for Bank of China Hong Kong (02388) and OSL Group (00863), with target prices set at HKD 39.4 and HKD 20, respectively [2]