2025 年出现"双重拉尼娜"的条件在不断被强化，25 年冬季或将迎来极寒 天气，冷冬预期下天然气采暖季需求有望显著增长。在销量方面，作为国内天 然气产销龙头，"三桶油"不断加强市场开拓，天然气销量快速增长。在销售 定价环节，"三桶油"天然气业务充分受益于天然气市场化改革，随着国内天 然气市场化改革深化，"三桶油"天然气销售环节受管制比例有望持续下降， 非管制部分价格弹性有望持续提升，天然气盈利能力有望持续向好。25Q4 采 暖季来临，"三桶油"天然气业务有望贡献较高经营利润，在油价波动期价值 凸显。 投资建议：在地缘政治仍存不确定的前提下，中长期原油供需格局仍具备景气 基础，在长期主义视角下，我们持续坚定看好"三桶油"及油服板块。此外， 宏观经济恢复提振化工需求，长期来看化工品产能出清利好龙头企业，我们看 好大炼化、煤化工、乙烯盈利向好。建议关注：（1）中国石油（A+H）、中 国石化（A+H）、中国海油（A+H）；（2）"三桶油"下属油服工程企业， 中海油服、海油工程、海油发展、中油工程、石化油服、中石化炼化工程（H 股）。（3）炼化化纤产业链龙头，中国石化、恒力石化、荣盛石化、东方盛 虹、恒逸石化、桐昆股 ...

阿拉伯贸易网11月19日消息，阿布扎比国家石油公司（ADNOC）及旗下马斯达尔、博禄化工和 TA'ZIZ参加第八届中国国际进口博览会，展示能源项目并与中国客户洽谈合作。ADNOC签署三项协 议，包括与中国海油合作备忘录及原油供应延长协议，进一步巩固中阿能源合作。 （原标题：ADNOC三家公司亮相进口博览会） ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company announced the quarterly index review results for the Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Index, Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Select Index, and Hang Seng China Enterprises ESG Enhanced Index, effective from December 8, 2025 [1] - The number of constituents in the Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Index will increase from 76 to 77, with the inclusion of Innovent Biologics (01801) and Zijin Mining Group (02899), while Cheung Kong (00001) will be removed [1][3] - The Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Select Index will also see the addition of Innovent Biologics (01801) and Zijin Mining Group (02899), increasing its constituents from 74 to 75, with Cheung Kong (00001) being removed [1][3] Group 2 - The Hang Seng China Enterprises ESG Enhanced Index will include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883), Innovent Biologics (01801), and Yum China Holdings (09987), maintaining a total of 45 constituents [1][5] - The inclusion of these companies reflects a focus on enhancing the ESG profile of the indices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The oil ETF (561360) opened down by 1.17% at 1.185 yuan, reflecting a mixed performance among its major holdings [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The oil ETF (561360) has a performance benchmark of the CSI Oil and Gas Industry Index return rate [1] - Since its establishment on October 23, 2023, the fund has achieved a return of 19.63% [1] - The fund's return over the past month is reported at 7.61% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) opened down by 0.34% [1] - China Petroleum opened down by 0.10% [1] - China Petrochemical remained unchanged at 0.00% [1] - Jereh Group opened down by 1.55% [1] - China Merchants Energy opened up by 0.33% [1] - Guanghui Energy opened down by 0.39% [1] - COSCO Shipping Energy opened up by 0.79% [1] - Hengli Petrochemical opened down by 1.15% [1] - China Merchants South Oil opened down by 0.31% [1] - CNOOC Engineering opened down by 0.53% [1]

Core Insights - On November 21, 2025, Alibaba-W (09988), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and Yingfu Fund (02800) were the top three stocks by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 75.13 billion, 50.10 billion, and 39.92 billion respectively [1] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and Tencent Holdings (00700) also ranked as the top three, with trading amounts of 59.52 billion, 26.55 billion, and 24.41 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect - Top Active Companies - Alibaba-W (09988) had a trading amount of 75.13 billion with a net buying amount of +8.47 billion [1] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) recorded a trading amount of 50.10 billion with a net buying amount of +9.48 billion [1] - Yingfu Fund (02800) had a trading amount of 39.92 billion but a net selling amount of -37.55 billion [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700) saw a trading amount of 36.12 billion with a net buying amount of +9.61 billion [1] - SMIC (00981) had a trading amount of 31.12 billion with a net buying amount of +1.49 billion [1] - Meituan-W (03690) recorded a trading amount of 12.35 billion with a net selling amount of -55.12 million [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772) had a trading amount of 11.02 billion with a net selling amount of -1.91 billion [1] - Pop Mart (09992) recorded a trading amount of 10.97 billion with a net selling amount of -6.97 million [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) had a trading amount of 10.81 billion with a net selling amount of -6.86 million [1] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883) recorded a trading amount of 9.73 billion with a net buying amount of +650.39 million [1] Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect - Top Active Companies - Alibaba-W (09988) had a trading amount of 59.52 billion with a net buying amount of +3.10 billion [1] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) recorded a trading amount of 26.55 billion with a net buying amount of +3.20 billion [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700) saw a trading amount of 24.41 billion with a net buying amount of +7.75 billion [1] - SMIC (00981) had a trading amount of 24.07 billion with a net selling amount of -3.39 billion [1] - Southern Hang Seng Technology (03033) recorded a trading amount of 14.79 billion with a net buying amount of +723.43 million [1] - Yingfu Fund (02800) had a trading amount of 14.01 billion with a net selling amount of -13.88 billion [1] - Meituan-W (03690) recorded a trading amount of 10.17 billion with a net buying amount of +2.01 billion [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) had a trading amount of 8.68 billion with a net selling amount of -2.69 billion [1] - XPeng Motors-W (09868) recorded a trading amount of 7.82 billion with a net buying amount of +1.34 billion [1] - Kuaishou-W (01024) had a trading amount of 6.63 billion with a net buying amount of +2.36 billion [1]

流动性方面，截止11月21日，港股通红利低波ETF（159117）近20个交易日累计成交金额2.18亿元，日 均成交金额1089.94万元。 港股通红利低波ETF（159117）现任基金经理为闫冬、余展昌。闫冬自2025年9月30日管理（或拟管 理）该基金，任职期内收益6.76%；余展昌自2025年9月30日管理（或拟管理）该基金，任职期内收益 6.76%。 最新定期报告显示，港股通红利低波ETF（159117）重仓股包括恒隆地产、江西铜业股份、中国神华、 远东宏信、中国海洋石油、信和置业、中国石油股份、恒安国际、恒基地产、中银香港，持仓占比如 下。 股票代码股票名称持仓占比持仓股数（股）持仓市值（元）00101恒隆地产1.08%49.60万406.64万00358 江西铜业股份1.08%12.20万405.65万01088中国神华1.05%11.00万397.28万03360远东宏信0.99%58.80万 372.02万00883中国海洋石油0.96%21.00万361.59万00083信和置业0.94%38.40万354.43万00857中国石油 股份0.87%49.60万329.21万01044恒安国际 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong dividend assets are experiencing a correction, but the trend of capital inflow continues, driven by the demand for high-dividend assets from insurance companies under new accounting standards [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 21, the Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend ETF (520900) fell by 1.74% with a trading volume of 33.55 million yuan [1]. - Over the past 10 days, the net inflow into the ETF was 104 million yuan, and over the past 20 days, it was 150 million yuan, with the latest fund size reaching 1.881 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Fund Inflows and Trends - From October 13 to November 14, the ETF has seen continuous growth in shares for five consecutive weeks, with the latest share count at 1.728 billion [1]. - The demand for high-dividend stocks is expected to increase significantly as insurance companies switch to new accounting standards by 2026, with an estimated annual allocation of 250 to 500 billion yuan for high-dividend assets by five A-share listed insurance companies by 2027 [1]. Group 3: Investment Characteristics - The Hong Kong dividend assets exhibit a "defensive" characteristic in volatile markets, with a focus on high-dividend state-owned enterprises [2]. - The ETF tracks the CSI National New Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend Index, which emphasizes high-dividend state-owned enterprises, with the top three sectors being oil and petrochemicals (29.7%), telecommunications (21.2%), and transportation (13.5%) [2]. Group 4: Fund Details - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend ETF (520900) was established on June 26, 2024, with a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [3]. - The current fund managers are Huo Huaming and Lv Xin, with returns of 12.68% and 26.76% respectively during their management periods [3]. Group 5: Top Holdings - The top holdings of the ETF include China Petroleum (10.86%), China Mobile (10.32%), and China Shenhua (9.70%), with significant market values for each [4]. - Investors focused on sustainable dividends and quality earnings can consider the ETF for a balanced exposure to high-dividend stocks in the Hong Kong market [4].

消息面上， 隔夜国际油价下跌。据报道，乌克兰总统办公室宣布，总统泽连斯基已正式收到美方提交 的俄乌冲突和平计划草案。泽连斯基预计近日将与特朗普总统通电话，就现有外交可能性及实现和平的 核心要素展开详细磋商。花旗表示，油市未来走向将同时取决于地缘政治演变、OPEC+产量策略及美 国国内政策变化，市场需密切关注主要产油国的后续行动及美国在全球能源市场的政策信号。 石油股集体走低，截至发稿，中海油服（601808）(02883)跌3.07%，报7.59港元；中石油(00857)跌 2.67%，报8.76港元；中石化(00386)跌2.41%，报4.45港元；中海油(00883)跌1.64%，报21.6港元。 ...

消息面上， 隔夜国际油价下跌。据报道，乌克兰总统办公室宣布，总统泽连斯基已正式收到美方提交 的俄乌冲突和平计划草案。泽连斯基预计近日将与特朗普总统通电话，就现有外交可能性及实现和平的 核心要素展开详细磋商。花旗表示，油市未来走向将同时取决于地缘政治演变、OPEC+产量策略及美 国国内政策变化，市场需密切关注主要产油国的后续行动及美国在全球能源市场的政策信号。 智通财经APP获悉，石油股集体走低，截至发稿，中海油服(02883)跌3.07%，报7.59港元；中石油 (00857)跌2.67%，报8.76港元；中石化(00386)跌2.41%，报4.45港元；中海油(00883)跌1.64%，报21.6港 元。 ...

他介绍了中国海油在巴西推动绿色低碳发展的战略方向。首先，持续优化能源结构，作为巴西首家 实现天然气自主销售的外资企业，中国海油将持续巩固先发优势，推动当地市场健康发展，构建清洁能 源供应体系；其次，加快零碳产业的发展，重点布局海上风电，推动可再生能源开发合作，助力深水油 气田的绿色开发；最后，拓展绿色领域的国际合作，发挥中巴两国在能源方面的互补优势，共同推进技 术研发，完善制度体系，健全行业规范，为全球绿色低碳转型提供优秀范例。 巴西石油学会主席罗伯托·阿尔登吉表示，中国已经成为世界经济的重要引领者，他期待中巴双方 继续深化合作，以创新中心为平台，以科技研发为驱动，通过科技创新推动降碳进程，助力两国企业在 全球碳减排领域发挥更大作用。我认为，中巴在能源与环保领域的合作具有广阔前景。随着全球对低碳 发展的重视不断加深，科技创新将成为推动可持续发展的关键力量。中国在新能源技术方面的快速发 展，为国际合作提供了良好范例，而巴西丰富的自然资源也为双方合作奠定了坚实基础。这种基于共同 目标的合作，不仅有助于两国企业提升竞争力，也将为全球气候治理作出积极贡献。 人民网里约热内卢11月18日电 （记者陈一鸣）巴西贝伦消息： ...