每经AI快讯，潍柴动力(02338.HK)涨超5%，截至发稿涨5.31%，报28.18港元，成交额1.51亿港元。 ...

该行续指，公司大型发动机、数据中心及能源供应业务成为核心增长点。其中，该行上调2025-2027年 大型发动机销量预期至1.35万台/1.6875万台/2.025万台(其中数据中心用发动机销量分别为1350台/2835 台/5103台)，将数据中心用发动机毛利率预期上调至平均36.5%，非数据中心大型发动机毛利率上调至 32%。 花旗发布研报称，该行通过经销商调研及行业验证(含中国重汽（000951）反馈)，维持对2026年中国重 卡(HDT)需求稳定增长的积极判断。鉴于人工智能中心对固体氧化物燃料电池(SOFC)及人工智能数据中 心(AIDC)主动/被动能源供应的强劲需求，花旗认为潍柴动力可能战略转型，将更多资源从机械领域转 向能源供应业务，支撑长期增长。 潍柴动力（000338）(02338)涨超5%，截至发稿，涨5.31%，报28.18港元，成交额1.51亿港元。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Weichai Power (02338) has seen a stock increase of over 5%, currently trading at 28.18 HKD with a transaction volume of 151 million HKD [1] - Citigroup maintains a positive outlook on the stable growth of China's heavy-duty truck (HDT) demand through 2026, based on dealer surveys and industry feedback, including insights from China National Heavy Duty Truck Group [1] - The strong demand for solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC) and artificial intelligence data centers (AIDC) is leading Citigroup to believe that Weichai Power may strategically shift resources from mechanical fields to energy supply businesses, supporting long-term growth [1] Group 2 - Citigroup identifies large engines, data centers, and energy supply businesses as core growth drivers for Weichai Power [1] - The firm has raised its sales forecasts for large engines for 2025-2027 to 13,500 units, 16,875 units, and 20,250 units respectively, with data center engine sales projected at 1,350 units, 2,835 units, and 5,103 units [1] - The gross margin expectations for data center engines have been increased to an average of 36.5%, while the gross margin for non-data center large engines has been raised to 32% [1]

Group 1: Transformer Industry - The transformer orders have significantly increased since June 2022, with some production lines nearing full capacity due to a global "transformer shortage" [2][3] - China has become the world's largest transformer producer, accounting for approximately 60% of global production capacity, which supports domestic companies in securing international orders [2] - Major companies like Igor are expanding production capacity in multiple countries, with expectations of sustained industry growth for the next 3-5 years [3] Group 2: Large Bore Engine Sector - Large bore engines are essential for ensuring the continuous operation of AI data centers, with the global electricity demand for data centers projected to double by 2030 [4] - Weichai Power has broken the monopoly of international giants in the large bore engine market, with a forecasted 259% increase in sales of data center power generation equipment by 2025 [5] - The company is expanding its production capabilities and investing in technology to meet the growing demand from both domestic and international markets [6] Group 3: Core Components - The core components sector is experiencing high demand, with companies like Tianrun Industrial operating at full capacity to meet the needs of large engine manufacturers [7] - The company has established multiple production lines for large crankshafts and is set to become a leading player in the market with significant capacity expansions planned [8] - The global market for data center power generation units is expected to grow from $6 billion in 2023 to $12 billion by 2030, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the industry [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Weichai Power is upgraded to "Buy" [2][7]. Core Views - The power energy sector is driving a dual enhancement in profit valuation for engine companies, with significant revenue and profit growth observed in overseas engine companies' power generation segments [7]. - The company is expected to achieve substantial revenue growth, with projected revenues of RMB 233.71 billion, RMB 249.96 billion, and RMB 269.94 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][7]. - The net profit forecast for the company is RMB 12.02 billion, RMB 14.26 billion, and RMB 16.36 billion for the same years, indicating a strong growth trajectory [6][7]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from RMB 1.38 in 2025 to RMB 1.88 in 2027, reflecting a positive outlook on profitability [6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue growth rates are expected to be 8.4%, 7.0%, and 8.0% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, following a significant growth of 22.2% in 2023 [6][8]. - The net profit growth rates are forecasted at 5.4%, 18.6%, and 14.8% for the years 2025 to 2027, showcasing a robust profit expansion [6][8]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 12.9% in 2025 to 15.4% in 2027, indicating enhanced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity [6][8].

Group 1: Transformer Industry - The transformer orders have significantly increased since June 2022, with some production lines nearing full capacity due to a global "transformer shortage" [1][2] - China has become the world's largest transformer producer, accounting for approximately 60% of global production capacity, which supports domestic companies in securing international orders [2] - Companies like Igor are expanding production capacity in multiple countries, with projections of reaching 500 units per month in Mexico and 700 units in Thailand once fully operational [2] Group 2: Large Bore Engine Industry - Large bore engines are essential for ensuring the continuous operation of AI data centers, with a projected global electricity demand from data centers expected to double by 2030 [3][4] - Weichai Power has broken the monopoly of international giants in the large bore engine market, with a forecasted 259% increase in sales of data center power generation equipment by 2025 [4] - The company is expanding its production capacity and technological investments to cover critical scenarios in data centers, aiming to capture a significant share of the trillion-dollar market [4] Group 3: Core Components Industry - The core components sector is experiencing high demand, with companies like Tianrun Industrial operating "dark factories" that run 24/7 to meet production needs [5][6] - The demand for large engine core components is driven by the explosion of self-supply power needs in North American data centers, with orders from foreign brands extending to 2028 [5][6] - Tianrun Industrial is enhancing its production capabilities with new production lines and advanced equipment, aiming to become a leader in the global market for core components [6] Group 4: Market Outlook - The global market for data center generator sets is projected to grow from $6 billion in 2023 to $12 billion by 2030, indicating a doubling in size [6] - The Chinese market for large bore diesel engines for data centers is expected to approach 10 billion yuan by 2025, with the global market reaching 41.1 billion yuan by 2026 [6]

1. 潍柴动力全年业绩预期怎么样？ 截至2026年02月06日，根据朝阳永续季度业绩前瞻数据： | | | | 大 预测营业收入 | 同比 | 预测净利润 | 同比 | 预测扣非净利润 | 同比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 卖方预测区间 | | | 2458.14~2583.50 | | 139.42~152.57 | | - | - | | 平均数 | | -- | 2523.83 | - | 143.35 | | - | - | | 中位数 | | -- | 2522.38 | -- | 141.36 | -- | -- | -- | | 财通证券 | | 2026-02-05 | 2499.60 | -- | 142.55 | -- | -- | -- | | 国泰海通 | | 2026-02-05 | 2583.50 | -- | 152.57 | -- | -- | -- | | 高盛集团(GoldmanSachs) | | 2026-02-03 | 2536.99 | - | 148.08 | - | -- ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the premium rates of AH shares, with Northeast Electric, Zhejiang Shibao, and Sinopec Oilfield Services leading in premium rates, while CATL, China Merchants Bank, and WuXi AppTec are at the bottom of the list [1][2][3]. Premium Rate Rankings - The top three AH shares by premium rate are: - Northeast Electric (00042) with a premium rate of 831.03% - Zhejiang Shibao (01057) with a premium rate of 353.97% - Sinopec Oilfield Services (01033) with a premium rate of 302.25% [2] - The bottom three AH shares by premium rate are: - CATL (03750) with a premium rate of -11.84% - China Merchants Bank (03968) with a premium rate of -3.56% - WuXi AppTec (02359) with a premium rate of 1.72% [3] Deviation Value Rankings - The top three shares by deviation value are: - Dazhu CNC (03200) with a deviation value of 60.25% - Muyuan Foods (02714) with a deviation value of 37.19% - Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric (00187) with a deviation value of 27.09% [1][4] - The bottom three shares by deviation value are: - Zhejiang Shibao (01057) with a deviation value of -39.99% - Junda Co., Ltd. (02865) with a deviation value of -35.13% - Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) with a deviation value of -23.61% [1][5]

Group 1 - Weichai Power announced that it will accept investor research from February 3 to February 5, 2026, with participation from company representatives Wang Li and Li Tingting [1] - The company will address questions raised by investors during this period [1] Group 2 - The news also includes an investigation into the legality of personal stock trading by fund managers, revealing unexpected answers from several leading public funds [1]

Group 1: Heavy Truck Industry Outlook - The heavy truck market in China sold 1.145 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27% [2] - Exports accounted for 341,000 units, reflecting a growth of 17.4% [2] - The industry is experiencing a balanced development of multiple energy sources, including diesel, natural gas, and new energy [2] Group 2: Electric Power Energy Product Layout - The demand for electric power equipment in data centers is rapidly expanding due to advancements in AI technology [4] - The company has established comprehensive energy solution capabilities and has successfully delivered projects in various regions [4] - Future efforts will focus on leveraging delivery, product performance, and product mix advantages to expand strategic customer bases [4] Group 3: New Energy Powertrain Development - The company is accelerating its layout in new energy and technology sectors, focusing on pure electric power systems, fuel cells, and hybrid technologies [5] - The aim is to meet diverse market demands across different regions and application scenarios [5] - The company plans to capitalize on opportunities in the new energy sector by utilizing its full industry chain advantages [5] Group 4: Shareholder Return Outlook - The company is committed to optimizing its profit structure and enhancing long-term competitiveness [6] - Plans include high-frequency cash dividends and share buybacks to improve shareholder returns [6] - The company will consider shareholder expectations and market conditions to maintain a proactive and stable return policy [6]