Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised the net profit estimates for Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited (02689) for FY26 and FY27 by 11% and 15% to 2.75 billion and 2.88 billion HKD respectively, maintaining an outperform rating and increasing the target price by 17% to 7 HKD [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For FY25, the company achieved revenue of 63.241 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.767 billion HKD, aligning with prior forecasts [1] - In the second half of FY25, the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.297 billion HKD, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 176%, primarily due to the benefits from self-produced pulp and reduced coal prices [1] Group 2: Production and Sales - The company reported total sales of 21.5 million tons for FY25, a year-on-year increase of 10%, with significant contributions from the production of corrugated paper, white card paper, and cultural paper [2] - The company has already launched 1.2 million tons of white card paper, 350,000 tons of cultural paper, and 700,000 tons of chemical pulp in the first half of FY26, with plans for additional production [2] Group 3: Market Outlook - The company is optimistic about the paper price recovery, estimating profits per ton of paper at 59 HKD and 151 HKD for the first and second halves of FY25 respectively, supported by improved industry demand and rising prices of recycled paper [3] - The company anticipates a slight recovery in profits for corrugated paper from July to September, despite potential increases in costs due to rising coal and recycled paper prices [3] Group 4: Capital Expenditure - The capital expenditure for FY25 was 14.8 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 15.7%, with continued pressure on free cash flow and a debt ratio of 66% [4] - For FY26, the company has guided a capital expenditure of 11 billion HKD, which is higher than previous guidance [4]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa's report indicates that Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited (02689) benefits from rapidly growing internal pulp supply, leading to significant cost advantages and improved profitability per ton of paper [1] Financial Performance - For the second half of the fiscal year ending June 2023, the profit per ton of paper improved to RMB 127, a substantial increase from RMB 31 in the first half and RMB 53 in the second half of the fiscal year 2024 [1] - Daiwa has raised the earnings per share estimates for the fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by 22% to 37% [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for Nine Dragons Paper has been increased from HKD 5 to HKD 5.7, while maintaining a "Hold" rating based on fair value considerations [1] Future Outlook - Management anticipates that the average price will stabilize and continue to improve profitability per ton of paper in the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Despite improved visibility for Nine Dragons Paper, the current price-to-earnings ratio (PER) for fiscal year 2026 is 10 times, which is close to the high end of the average level over the past decade, suggesting that investors should wait for a better buying opportunity [1]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa's report indicates that Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited (02689) benefits from rapidly growing internal pulp supply, leading to significant cost advantages and improved profitability per ton of paper [1] Financial Performance - For the second half of the fiscal year ending June 30, the profit per ton of paper improved to 127 RMB, a substantial increase from 31 RMB in the first half and 53 RMB in the second half of the 2024 fiscal year [1] - Daiwa has raised the earnings per share estimates for the company for the fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by 22% to 37% [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for Nine Dragons Paper has been increased from 5 HKD to 5.7 HKD, while maintaining a "Hold" rating based on fair value considerations [1] Future Outlook - Management anticipates that the average price will stabilize and continue to improve profitability per ton of paper in the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Despite improved visibility for Nine Dragons Paper, the current price-to-earnings ratio (PER) for fiscal year 2026 is 10 times, which is close to the high end of the average level over the past decade, suggesting that investors should wait for a better buying opportunity [1]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa's research report indicates that Nine Dragons Paper Holdings benefits from a rapidly growing internal pulp supply, leading to significant cost advantages and improved profitability per ton of paper [1] Financial Performance - For the second half of the fiscal year ending June 30, the profit per ton of paper improved to 127 HKD, a substantial increase from 31 HKD in the first half and 53 HKD in the second half of the fiscal year 2024 [1] - The management anticipates stable average prices and continued improvement in profit per ton of paper for the fiscal year 2026 [1] Valuation and Recommendations - Despite improved visibility, the fiscal year 2026 price-to-earnings ratio (PER) is projected at 10 times, close to the high end of the average over the past decade [1] - Daiwa has raised the earnings per share estimates for the fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by 22% to 37% and increased the target price from 5 HKD to 5.7 HKD, while maintaining a "Hold" rating based on fair value considerations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported FY25 results that met prior forecasts, with revenue of 63.241 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.767 billion yuan, aligning with market expectations [1] Performance Review - FY25 revenue reached 63.241 billion yuan, up 6.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.767 billion yuan after deducting approximately 400 million yuan in perpetual bond interest, consistent with prior guidance [1] - In the second half of FY25, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.297 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 176%, primarily due to the benefits from self-produced pulp and cost improvements from declining coal prices [1] Development Trends - The company expects continued growth in FY26, with total sales of 21.5 million tons in FY25, a 10% year-on-year increase, driven by significant increases in sales of various paper types [2] - The company is focusing on optimizing product structure and increasing the proportion of high-end kraft paper, rather than merely expanding production capacity [2] - In FY26, the company has already launched production of 1.2 million tons of white cardboard, 350,000 tons of cultural paper, and 700,000 tons of chemical pulp, with further expansions planned [2] Price and Cost Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in paper prices, estimating profits per ton of paper at 59 yuan and 151 yuan for the first and second halves of FY25, respectively [3] - The company expects a slight increase in costs due to rising coal and waste paper prices, but overall profit margins for corrugated paper are expected to recover slightly [3] Capital Expenditure and Profit Forecast - Capital expenditure for FY25 was 14.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.7%, with continued pressure on free cash flow and a debt ratio of 66% [3] - For FY26, the company has guided a capital expenditure of 11 billion yuan, which is higher than previous guidance [3] - The company has raised net profit forecasts for FY26 and FY27 by 11% and 15%, respectively, to 2.75 billion yuan and 2.88 billion yuan, with a target price increase of 17% to 7 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 22% [3]

Core Insights - The company, Nine Dragons Paper (02689.HK), reported a 9.6% increase in sales volume to approximately 21.5 million tons for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025 [1] - Revenue rose by approximately 6.3% to 63.241 billion yuan, driven by the increase in sales volume despite a 3.0% decrease in average selling price [1] - Gross profit increased by approximately 26.9% to 7.245 billion yuan, with the gross profit margin improving from 9.6% in the 2024 fiscal year to about 11.5% in the 2025 fiscal year [1] - The profit attributable to equity holders surged by approximately 135.4% to 1.767 billion yuan, translating to basic earnings per share of 0.38 yuan [1] Revenue and Sales Performance - Sales volume increased by 9.6% to around 21.5 million tons [1] - Revenue grew by approximately 6.3% to 63.241 billion yuan, influenced by the sales volume increase [1] - Average selling price experienced a decrease of about 3.0%, impacting overall revenue [1] Profitability Metrics - Gross profit rose by approximately 26.9% to 7.245 billion yuan [1] - Gross profit margin improved from 9.6% to approximately 11.5% due to a larger decline in raw material costs compared to product prices [1] - Profit attributable to equity holders increased by approximately 135.4% to 1.767 billion yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America reports that Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited (02689) is expected to meet its fiscal year 2025 performance targets, with a net profit of RMB 1.767 billion, aligning with earlier profit guidance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For fiscal year 2025, the sales volume is projected to increase by 9.7% year-on-year to 21.5 million tons, driven by a strong customer base and enhanced production capacity [1] - The sales volume for the second half of fiscal year 2025 is expected to see a moderate year-on-year growth of 5.2% to 10.1 million tons [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 6.5 [1] Group 2: Production Capacity and Investment - Nine Dragons plans to increase its wood pulp production capacity from the current 6 million tons to 8 million tons by the first quarter of 2027 [1] - New production capacities will be added in Chongqing (700,000 tons), Tianjin (500,000 tons), and Beihai, Guangxi (800,000 tons) [1] - The capital expenditure for pulp production capacity is currently estimated at RMB 4,000 to 6,000 per ton [1]

鉴于成本优势，玖龙计划将木浆产能从目前的600万吨增加至2027年第一季度的800万吨，在重庆、天津 和广西北海分别新增70万吨、50万吨和80万吨。 浆产能的资本支出目前为每吨4000-6000元人民币。 智通财经APP获悉，美银发布研报称，玖龙纸业(02689)2025财年业绩符合预期，净利润为17.67亿元人 民币，符合早前盈喜预期，指引范围17亿至19亿元人民币，2025财年销量同比增长9.7%至2150万吨， 主要受惠于强大的客户基础和新产能的提升，而2025财年下半年销量同比温和增长5.2%至1010万吨， 维持"买入"评级，目标价6.5港元。 ...

来源：市场资讯 （来源：中纸网） 9月24日，玖龙纸业发布截至2025年6月30日止年度全年业绩报告。报告显示，玖龙纸业自2024年7月1日 至2025年6月30日财年期间，营业收入为632.4亿元人民币，同比上一财年增长约6.3%；当期毛利润增长 约26.9%达到72.5亿元人民币。玖龙表示毛利润增幅扩大主要是因为原料成本降幅较产品价格降幅更大 更快。 与往年一样，玖龙纸业在财报期内继续推进新项目建设。据悉，该集团位于广西北海、湖北荆州的高端 造纸及原料配置扩产项目顺利投产。今年三季度，荆州、北海基地又分别有年产120万吨白卡纸及70万 吨木浆项目、年产40万吨文化纸项目投产。 目前，玖龙纸业在东莞、太仓、泉州、重庆、荆州、天津、河北、沈阳、乐山、北海共布局了十大生产 基地，产品涵盖牛卡纸、高价特种纸及浆产品、高强瓦楞芯纸、涂布灰底白板纸、白卡纸及文化用纸； 在美国的四家浆纸厂，主要生产单面涂布纸、铜版纸、特种纸等。 截至2025年6月30日止，玖龙纸业的纤维原料、造纸、包装年产能再创新高。其中，纤维原料年产能达 750万吨、造纸年设计产能达2350万吨；瓦楞纸板、纸箱年设计产能约29亿平方米。 在新的财年 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited reported a significant increase in annual performance metrics, yet the stock price declined over 3% following the announcement, indicating market skepticism about future growth potential [1] Financial Performance - Sales volume increased by 9.6% to approximately 21.5 million tons [1] - Revenue rose by approximately 6.3% to 63.241 billion yuan [1] - Gross profit increased by approximately 26.9% to 7.245 billion yuan [1] - Profit attributable to equity holders surged by approximately 135.4% to 1.767 billion yuan [1] Future Capacity Expansion - The company plans to add 2.5 million tons of cultural paper and packaging paper capacity, along with 1.35 million tons of pulp capacity in the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Initial contributions from the increased capacity may be limited and could be offset by lower average pulp prices [1] Profitability Outlook - Citigroup's report suggests that as long as monthly profits remain above 200 million yuan, there is potential for further upward adjustments in profit forecasts for fiscal year 2026 [1]