智通财经APP获悉，玖龙纸业(02689)高开近15%，截至发稿，涨14.88%，报8.57港元，成交额707.03万 港元。 消息面上，1月28日，玖龙纸业公布，预计截至2025年12月31日止6个月将取得盈利约人民币21.5亿元至 人民币22.5亿元，较去年同期人民币6.8亿元增长216.0%至230.7%。主要由于产品销售量增加及销售价 格上升，及原材料成本下降而导致毛利润大幅增加。 公告指出，公司于2024年6月发行4亿美元永续资本证券。期间永续资本证券持有人的应占盈利为约人民 币2.01亿元。因此，集团预计公司的权益持有人应占盈利在本期间为约人民币19.5亿元至人民币20.5亿 元之间，较去年同期人民币4.7亿元增加315.2%至336.5%。 ...

每经AI快讯，1月28日，玖龙纸业(02689.HK)在港交所发布公告称，2005年下半年盈利介于21.5亿元至 22.5亿元之间，较上年同期的6.803亿元增长216.0%至230.7%。盈利增长主要是因为产品销售量增加、 销售价格上升以及原材料成本下降，从而导致毛利润大幅增加。 ...

本公司于2024年6月发行4亿美元永续资本证券。本期间永续资本证券持有人的应占盈利为约人民币2.01 亿元。因此，本集团预计本公司的权益持有人应占盈利在本期间为约人民币19.5亿元至人民币20.5亿元 之间，较去年同期人民币4.7亿元增加315.2%至336.5%。 玖龙纸业(02689)发布公告，本集团预计将取得本期间(截至2025年12月31日止6个月)盈利约人民币21.5 亿元至人民币22.5亿元之间，较去年同期人民币6.8亿元增长216.0%至230.7%。 该盈利增长主要由于产品销售量增加及销售价格上升，及原材料成本下降而导致毛利润大幅增加。 ...

智通财经APP讯，玖龙纸业(02689)发布公告，本集团预计将取得本期间(截至2025年12月31日止6个月) 盈利约人民币21.5亿元至人民币22.5亿元之间，较去年同期人民币6.8亿元增长216.0%至230.7%。 本公司于2024年6月发行4亿美元永续资本证券。本期间永续资本证券持有人的应占盈利为约人民币2.01 亿元。因此，本集团预计本公司的权益持有人应占盈利在本期间为约人民币19.5亿元至人民币20.5亿元 之间，较去年同期人民币4.7亿元增加315.2%至336.5%。 该盈利增长主要由于产品销售量增加及销售价格上升，及原材料成本下降而导致毛利润大幅增加。 ...

格隆汇1月28日丨玖龙纸业(02689.HK)发布公告，截至2025年12月31日止六个月，集团预计将录得本期 间盈利约人民币21.50亿元至人民币22.50亿元之间，较去年同期人民币6.803亿元增长216.0%至230.7%。 该盈利增长主要由于产品销售量增加及销售价格上升，及原材料成本下降而导致毛利润大幅增加。 公司于2024年6月发行4亿美元永续资本证券。本期间永续资本证券持有人的应占盈利为约人民币2.01亿 元。因此，集团预计公司的权益持有人应占盈利在本期间为约人民币19.50亿元至人民币20.50亿元之 间，较去年同期人民币4.696亿元增加315.2%至336.5%。 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對 其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份 內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 董事會謹此通知本公司股東及潛在投資者，根據對本集團管理帳目之初步審閱，本集 團預計將錄得本期間盈利約人民幣2,150百萬元至人民幣2,250百萬元之間，較去年同期 人民幣680.3百萬元增長216.0%至230.7%。該盈利增長主要由於產品銷售量增加及銷售 價格上升，及原材料成本下降而導致毛利潤大幅增加。 本公司於二零二四年六月發行400,000,000 美元永續資本證券。本期間永續資本證券持 有人的應佔盈利為約人民幣201.0百萬元。因此，本集團預計本公司的權益持有人應佔 盈利在本期間為約人民幣1,950百萬元至人民幣2,050百萬元之間，較去年同期人民幣 469.6百萬元增加315.2%至336.5%。 （於百慕達註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：2689） 本公司股東及潛在投資者於買賣本公司股份時務請審慎行事。 截至二零二五年十二月三十一日止六個月 正面盈利預警 本公告乃玖龍紙業（控股）有限公司（ ...

【大宗商品公式定价原理】生意社基准价是基于价格大数据与生意社价格模型产生的交易指导价，又称 生意社价格。可用于确定以下两种需求的交易结算价： 1、指定日期的结算价 2、指定周期的平均结算价 定价公式：结算价=生意社基准价×K＋C K：调整系数，包括账期成本等因素。 C：升贴水，包括物流成本、品牌价差、区域价差等因素。 生意社01月27日讯玖龙纸业重庆基地，自1月26日起瓦楞纸价格上调50元/吨。 PriceSeek评析 瓦楞纸，多空评分：1 文章报道玖龙纸业重庆基地自1月26日起上调瓦楞纸价格50元/吨，表明市场需求增加或供应紧张，对现 货价格构成直接利好影响。该举措可能源于原材料成本上升或下游需求回暖，预计短期现货价格将获得 支撑并小幅上涨。 生意社01月27日讯玖龙纸业重庆基地，自1月26日起瓦楞纸价格上调50元/吨。 PriceSeek评析 瓦楞纸，多空评分：1 文章报道玖龙纸业重庆基地自1月26日起上调瓦楞纸价格50元/吨，表明市场需求增加或供应紧张，对现 货价格构成直接利好影响。该举措可能源于原材料成本上升或下游需求回暖，预计短期现货价格将获得 支撑并小幅上涨。 【大宗商品公式定价原理】生意社基准价 ...

行 行业周报 业 头部纸企白卡纸提价，去年国内消费市场稳增长 研 ——轻工制造&纺织服饰行业周报 | 究 | 分析师： | 袁艺博 | SAC | NO： | S1150521120002 | 2026 年 | 01 | 月 | 26 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 轻工制造 | | 投资要点： | | | | | | | | | | 纺织服饰 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 行业要闻  | | | | | | | | | | 证券分析师 | | （1）200 | | 元/吨，多家白卡纸巨头将在春节后涨价。 | | | | | | | | 袁艺博 | | | | | | | | | | | | yuanyb@bhzq.com 022-23839135 | | （2）泡泡玛特本周连续回购股份，累计金额近 | | 3.5 | 亿港元。 | | | | | | | 研子究行助业理评级 | | 重要公司公告  | | | | | | | | | | 家居用品 | 中性 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The industry is at a valuation and profit bottom, with pulp prices expected to rise due to the US dollar interest rate cut cycle [1][12] - The supply of commodity pulp is tightening, with limited new overseas capacity expected after 2025, while domestic self-sufficient pulp production is increasing [2][19] - Short-term demand remains resilient, driven by Chinese demand, but structural impacts from self-sufficient pulp projects may suppress commodity pulp demand in the medium term [2][25] - Current inventory levels are relatively low, supporting strong price expectations for Q1 2026 [3][41] - Cost differences in pulp production are significant, with domestic pulp relying heavily on imported wood chips [3][33] Summary by Sections Section 1: Market Cycle and Price Dynamics - The pulp and paper cycle is at a bottom, with historical price performance indicating a potential rebound [1][11] - As of January 16, paper prices are at historical low percentiles, while pulp prices are also low, providing a safety margin for the industry [1][11] - The US dollar's depreciation is expected to stimulate demand and drive pulp prices upward [12] Section 2: Supply and Demand Analysis - Commodity pulp supply is slowing, with global capacity at approximately 36.14 million tons as of 2024, and utilization rates around 90% [2][19] - Domestic self-sufficient pulp production is projected to add about 6.6 million tons in 2025-2026, primarily from vertical integration projects [24] - Global demand for hardwood pulp is expected to remain resilient, with a year-on-year increase of 7% in shipments driven by China [25][26] Section 3: Inventory Levels - Global hardwood pulp producer inventory days are at 44.7 days, indicating a relatively low stock level [3][37] - China's main port inventory has decreased to 1.906 million tons, reflecting strong demand and continuous inventory reduction [41] Section 4: Cost Structure - The cash cost of domestic pulp production varies significantly based on the source of wood chips, with costs around $480 per ton for imported wood and $420 per ton for domestic wood [3][33] - The cost structure is influenced by the production of self-sufficient pulp, which may lead to increased domestic wood chip prices [44] Section 5: Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include Sun Paper, Nine Dragons Paper, Xianhe Paper, and Bohui Paper, which have strong cost control and high self-sufficient pulp ratios [4][56][57][58]

Geopolitical Tensions - The geopolitical pressure between the US and Iran has significantly escalated, with the US State Department issuing a high-level security warning for citizens to evacuate Iran and threatening a 25% tariff on countries doing business with Iran [1][17] - Iran's response has been strong, with military readiness declared and warnings issued against US military bases and shipping targets, while also expressing willingness for negotiations [1][17] Impact on Global Commodity Markets - The tensions pose significant risks to the global commodity market, particularly concerning the Strait of Hormuz, which accounts for approximately 20% of global oil transport; any disruption could lead to a spike in oil prices [2][17] - Iran is a key exporter of methanol, LPG, and polyethylene, with methanol accounting for nearly half of China's imports, making the supply chain vulnerable to conflict [2][17] - Geopolitical risk premiums have driven prices of safe-haven assets like gold and silver to historical highs, potentially affecting the metals market as well [2][17] Greenland Dispute - The US has announced tariffs on eight European countries to pressure them into accepting the US's demands for the complete acquisition of Greenland, which has led to increased tensions with Europe [3][17] - Greenland holds about 32% of the world's rare earth reserves and significant amounts of copper, cobalt, and nickel, making the dispute impactful on key metal pricing [3][17] - The geopolitical tensions may lead to strategic reserve behaviors among countries regarding important metal raw materials [3][18] Structural Opportunities in Petrochemicals - The focus is on structural opportunities under the "reduce oil, increase chemicals" strategy, particularly concerning naphtha supply tightness due to peak gasoline demand and refinery capacity constraints [5][20] - The closure of high-cost refineries in Europe and Japan is expected to create market space for China's expanding chemical capacity, leading to discussions on potential volatility in ethylene supply [5][20] Pulp and Soybean Pricing Dynamics - The global supply of hardwood pulp is increasing, while softwood pulp supply remains limited, with a 9% year-on-year increase in shipments to China noted [7][21] - Domestic soybean prices have remained high following a significant price increase, driven by state grain reserves and cautious selling behavior from grain holders [15][29] - The potential for a release of social inventory post-Spring Festival could pressure soybean prices, alongside external factors affecting import dynamics [15][29]