Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strong performance of Hong Kong paper stocks, with notable increases in share prices for several companies [1] Group 2 - Nine Dragons Paper Holdings saw its stock price rise by over 10% [1] - Chenming Paper Holdings also experienced a stock price increase of over 10% [1] - Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's stock rose by more than 4% [1]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report analyzes the supply, demand, cost, profit, price, and other aspects of offset printing paper. It shows that the production of offset printing paper is expected to increase slightly next week, with stable demand and inventory likely to accumulate. The cost of offset printing paper has risen due to raw material price increases, and production profit is expected to decline. If the price increase is successfully implemented, it may offset the cost increase. In the short - term, the fundamentals show no significant changes. If the price increase is implemented, appropriate long positions can be established at low prices, but risk control should be noted. 3. Summary by Directory Part 1: Offset Printing Paper Overview - **Supply - Demand - Inventory**: Domestic production in the week of 2025/11/7 was 20.80 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.20 million tons. The capacity utilization rate was 53.40%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.40%. The monthly import volume was 1.10 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.79 million tons. The weekly apparent demand was 19.60 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 3.00 million tons. The monthly export volume was 5.60 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.08 million tons. Domestic demand was 84.05 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 3.84 million tons. Enterprise inventory, social inventory, and total spot inventory all increased, with the total inventory reaching 189.50 million tons. It is expected that the production of the double - offset paper industry will continue to increase, about 21.0 million tons next week, and the demand will remain stable, with inventory likely to accumulate [6]. - **Price**: The ex - factory delivery prices of major brands remained unchanged compared to the previous period, but were lower than the same period last year. It is reported that due to the increase in raw material prices, the intended price increase of double - offset paper is 100 yuan/ton, waiting for implementation. The market self - pick - up prices also remained unchanged compared to the previous period but were lower than the same period last year. The futures prices of OP2601 and OP2603 showed an upward trend compared to the previous period, and the futures market is expected to fluctuate or fluctuate strongly [8]. - **Spread and Basis**: The spread between ex - factory and self - pick - up prices remained stable, and the futures spread between 1 - 3 contracts was expected to remain stable. The basis of some brands was expected to weaken. Seasonally, January is a small peak season for spring teaching and auxiliary textbook tenders, and March is a traditional peak season [10]. - **Cost and Profit**: The raw material costs of major pulp types decreased compared to the same period last year but remained unchanged compared to the previous period. The total production cost decreased compared to the same period last year but remained unchanged compared to the previous period. The production profit decreased compared to the same period last year and is expected to decline mainly due to the increase in raw material prices and the difficulty in raising the price of finished products. If the price increase is successful, it may cover the cost increase [12]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: In the industrial chain, the spot price is stable, and transactions are based on rigid demand. In the short - term, the fundamentals show no significant changes. If the price increase is implemented, appropriate long positions can be established at low prices, but risk control should be noted [14]. Part 2: Offset Printing Paper Balance Sheet The balance sheet shows the monthly supply, demand, inventory, and other data of double - offset paper from 2024 to 2025. In 2025, the cumulative import volume, production, total supply, domestic demand, total demand, etc. showed different trends compared to 2024. For example, in January 2025, the cumulative import volume decreased by 18.05% year - on - year, and the production decreased by 10.87% year - on - year [16]. Part 3: Offset Printing Paper Supply - Demand Analysis - **Supply - Production Situation**: In 2025, a total of 140 million tons of cultural paper production capacity has been put into operation, and 225 million tons are yet to be put into operation, mostly in the third quarter. In 2026, the planned production capacity to be put into operation is 120 - 140 million tons. Major companies such as Nine Dragons Paper, Chenming Paper, and Sun Paper have new production capacity plans or capacity resumption plans [18]. Part 4: Offset Printing Paper Cost - Profit - **Raw Material Cost**: The raw material costs of major pulp types such as Ural Needle, Moon, and Goldfish decreased compared to the same period last year but remained unchanged compared to the previous period [12]. - **Profit**: The production profit decreased compared to the same period last year and is expected to decline mainly due to the increase in raw material prices and the difficulty in raising the price of finished products. If the price increase is successful, it may cover the cost increase [12]. Part 5: Offset Printing Paper Price and Spread Analysis - **Spot Quotation**: The ex - factory delivery prices and market self - pick - up prices of major brands remained unchanged compared to the previous period but were lower than the same period last year. It is reported that due to the increase in raw material prices, the intended price increase of double - offset paper is 100 yuan/ton, waiting for implementation [8]. - **Futures - Spot Basis**: The basis of some brands is expected to weaken [10]. - **OP Main Contract Seasonal Chart and Inter - Month Spread**: Seasonally, January is a small peak season for spring teaching and auxiliary textbook tenders, and March is a traditional peak season. The futures spread between 1 - 3 contracts is expected to remain stable [10].

Macroeconomic Group - In October, China's export growth rate decreased by 0.8% year-on-year in RMB terms, down from 8.4% in September, while import growth was 1.4%, down from 7.5% [4] - The trade surplus for October was $90.1 billion, lower than the expected $113.7 billion and slightly down from $90.4 billion in September [4] - The decline in export growth is attributed to several factors, including fewer working days, a high base from last year, weakening manufacturing PMI in major Western economies, and increased tariffs from the U.S. [5] Industry Comprehensive Group - SanDisk has significantly raised the contract prices for NAND flash memory by up to 50% in November, marking the third price increase this year [10] - The demand for AI computing power is strong, suggesting that the current round of storage price increases may persist for a longer duration [10] Advanced Manufacturing Group - Tianqi Lithium announced long-term supply agreements with two battery companies, covering approximately 40% of their electrolyte demand for the next three years, totaling 1.595 million tons [13] - This move is aimed at mitigating price volatility risks of upstream raw materials, indicating potential price pressures for key upstream materials in 2026 [13] Consumer Group - The packaging paper market is experiencing a price increase trend, with major companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Shanying Paper raising prices by 30 to 150 RMB per ton [15] - The market average price for boxboard and corrugated paper has risen by 40 RMB per ton, driven by strong demand during the Double Eleven shopping festival [15][16] - The pulp market is seeing a decrease in both inventory and prices, alleviating cost pressures for paper manufacturers [16]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - The pulp market is expected to remain weak, and it is recommended to treat it as a low - level oscillation. The pulp and offset paper futures prices are likely to continue an oscillating and bearish trend, and it is advisable to sell short at high prices [4][14]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Pulp Futures Fundamental Analysis - **Basic Situation**: In Shandong, pulp prices are stable. Downstream paper mills' price increases boost pulp prices, but the implementation of price increase letters needs further observation. Some pulp mills are under maintenance, reducing supply - side pressure. In September, the retail sales of books, newspapers, and magazines were about 21.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 7% (compared to a 12% year - on - year increase in August), and cultural paper consumption did not continue the positive trend in August. High port inventories limit pulp prices. The supply - demand fundamentals have not changed significantly, port de - stocking is lower than expected, and downstream procurement is cautious [4]. Double - Offset Paper Futures Fundamental Analysis - **Basic Situation**: In Shandong, double - offset paper prices are stable. Starting from November, many paper products from various manufacturers will increase in price by 200 yuan/ton, which is favorable for futures prices, and the futures prices continue an oscillating and slightly upward trend. It is recommended to continue to monitor the de - stocking situation [14]. Main Force Trends - For pulp, the short - side main force has increased positions, which is bearish. For double - offset paper, the short - side main force has also increased positions, which is bearish [23].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02689 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 8,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 800,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 8,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 800,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： HKD 800,000,000 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公 ...

Core Insights - The updated Hurun Rich List indicates that only individuals with a wealth exceeding 5 billion can qualify for the list [1] - 90% of the listed billionaires have seen an increase in their wealth [1] - The top three individuals on the list are Zhong Shanshan (founder of Nongfu Spring), Zhang Yiming (founder of ByteDance), and Ma Huateng (founder of Tencent) [1] Summary by Categories Wealth Growth - This year, a total of 1,434 billionaires made the list, an increase of 340 from the previous year [1] - The wealth of Zhang Yushuang and Guo Meilan, both from Dongyangguang and aged 38, surged by 86%, reaching 40 billion, surpassing Zhang Yin of Nine Dragons Paper to become the new richest in Dongguan [1] Regional Insights - Dongguan has 20 billionaires on the list this year, an increase of 8 from last year, ranking 14th among cities nationwide [1] Economic Sentiment - Despite a general perception of a poor economic environment, the significant increase in the number of billionaires raises questions about the underlying factors contributing to this growth [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the articles highlights the significant growth in the import of wood chips at Beihai Port, driven by the development of the high-end paper industry in the region [1][2] - Beihai Port has seen a steady increase in wood chip imports from countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, Australia, and South Africa, with over 2.65 million tons handled in the first three quarters of the year, marking a 6.9% year-on-year increase [1] - The arrival of the "Cedar" vessel, carrying 59,561 tons of wood chips, represents the largest shipment since the port's opening, showcasing the port's enhanced logistics and service capabilities [1] Group 2 - The container throughput for paper and pulp from Beihai Port reached 145,500 TEUs in the first three quarters, reflecting a 12% year-on-year growth, indicating robust logistics and trade activity [2] - Beihai Port is increasingly recognized as a key hub for the high-end paper industry, facilitating the integration of port and industry while enhancing connectivity with ASEAN [1][2] - The local government is focused on optimizing the business environment and expanding high-level openness to stimulate the synergy between land and sea, as well as port and industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited (玖龙纸业) experienced a nearly 4% increase in stock price, reaching HKD 5.78 with a trading volume of HKD 47.615 million [2] Group 1 - The stock price of Nine Dragons Paper rose by 3.77% as of the report time [2] - The trading volume for Nine Dragons Paper was recorded at HKD 47.615 million [2]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic white card paper market in China is experiencing a new round of price adjustments, with companies like Nine Dragons Paper announcing a price increase of 200 CNY per ton effective November 1, 2025 [1] Company Summary - Nine Dragons Paper's stock rose nearly 4%, currently trading at 5.78 HKD with a transaction volume of 47.615 million HKD [1] - The company is part of a broader trend where major paper manufacturers are increasing prices, indicating strong pricing power among leading firms [1] Industry Summary - The white card paper prices are gradually recovering but remain at the bottom of the cycle, with strong price support from leading companies [1] - The upcoming Double Eleven shopping festival and the Spring Festival are expected to drive strong packaging demand in Q4, with expectations for corrugated box prices to remain robust [1] - Q4 is traditionally a peak demand season, and with significant cost support, the packaging paper industry's outlook is anticipated to improve [1]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic white card paper market is experiencing a new round of price adjustments, with companies like Nine Dragons Paper announcing a price increase of 200 CNY per ton effective November 1, 2025 [1] Company Summary - Nine Dragons Paper's stock rose nearly 4%, closing at 5.78 HKD with a trading volume of 47.615 million HKD [1] - The company is part of a broader trend where major paper manufacturers are increasing prices, indicating strong pricing power among leading firms [1] Industry Summary - The white card paper prices are gradually recovering but remain at the bottom of the cycle, with strong price support from leading companies [1] - The upcoming demand from events like Double Eleven and the Spring Festival is expected to keep packaging demand robust in Q4, with forecasts suggesting that the price of corrugated box paper may continue to be strong [1] - Q4 is traditionally a peak demand season, and with significant cost support, the packaging paper industry's outlook is expected to improve [1]